PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Troy vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 66-54
31-27 35-27
Position#115
Record10-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game65.8
Troy 🏆
USA
vs
Position#278
Record9-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game67.1
Allowed / game65.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Troy v Arkansas State
30 Jan 2027
TROY v ARKA
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
TROY99
ARKA74
10 Mar 2025
TROY94
ARKA81
11 Jan 2025
TROY78
ARKA84
15 Feb 2024
TROY71
ARKA82
02 Mar 2023
TROY63
ARKA59
07 Jan 2023
TROY66
ARKA54
10 Feb 2022
TROY79
ARKA77
25 Jan 2020
TROY62
ARKA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern-New O.
#653
W
118-61
118
61
+57
H23/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A03/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A06/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H10/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A17/12
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H22/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A30/12
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A31/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
66-30
52-31
33-31
28-43
34-41
38-37
33-29
22-31
43-30
44-34
37-37
40-34
32-41
47-41
23-26
37-38
20-22
35-30
38-32
40-39
141.9Avg total
74.2Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.665.8142.4+10.962%
Season at home (7)88.363.0151.3+25.386%
Season away (9)67.667.9135.4-0.344%
Last 10 (10)74.267.7141.9+6.550%
Last 5 (5)69.868.0137.8+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.075.0145.0-5.050%
vs Similar (13)64.567.8132.2-3.331%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)71.964.5136.4+7.582%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethel (TN)
#453
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H27/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H02/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A07/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A10/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H15/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#348
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H20/12
NCAA
UALR
#322
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H22/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
72-84
72
84
-12
H31/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
45-63
45
63
-18
A06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
44-27
46-38
30-20
28-18
35-27
32-45
27-44
28-36
24-26
44-35
27-31
45-34
31-39
46-36
29-16
31-41
36-47
36-37
18-29
27-34
132.4Avg total
66.4Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)67.165.0132.1+2.156%
Season at home (10)73.463.2136.6+10.280%
Season away (6)56.568.0124.5-11.517%
Last 10 (10)66.466.0132.4+0.460%
Last 5 (5)65.268.8134.0-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)62.869.5132.2-6.838%
vs Similar (11)63.967.5131.5-3.645%
vs Weaker (10)73.263.7136.9+9.580%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +0.9+0.9
TroyArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern-New O.
#653
W
66-30
66
30
+36
H23/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A29/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A03/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A06/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H10/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A17/12
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H22/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A30/12
NCAA
Texas State
#236
L
20-22
20
22
-2
A31/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H06/01
NCAA
67.8Avg total
35.9Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.030.965.0+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.829.466.1+7.464%-
Last 30 away (16)31.632.363.9-0.744%-
Last 10 (10)35.931.967.8+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)30.031.661.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.030.562.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (13)31.531.362.8+0.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)32.929.962.8+3.055%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethel (TN)
#453
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H27/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
30-20
30
20
+10
H02/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A07/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A10/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H15/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#348
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H20/12
NCAA
UALR
#322
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H22/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
29-16
29
16
+13
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H31/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
18-29
18
29
-11
A06/01
NCAA
60.7Avg total
30.1Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.232.563.7-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.931.564.4+1.441%-
Last 30 away (13)29.033.962.9-4.931%-
Last 10 (10)30.130.660.7-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)28.232.460.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)28.035.663.6-7.60%-
vs Similar (11)30.031.661.6-1.636%-
vs Weaker (10)34.231.565.7+2.760%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Troy wins
2
Arkansas State wins
DateGameScore
11/02/22Troy v Arkansas State79-77
25/01/20Troy v Arkansas State62-78
11/01/20Arkansas State v Troy76-68 OT
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/23HOld Dominion78-71
31/12/22ATexas State55-52
30/12/22ASouthern Miss60-64
22/12/22HMercer79-82
17/12/22ASE Louisiana77-71
10/12/22HTennessee Tech87-64
06/12/22ASan Diego State55-60
03/12/22ASiu Edwardsville72-78
29/11/22AArkansas61-74
23/11/22HSouthern-New O.118-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/23ASouth Alabama45-63
31/12/22HLouisiana Monroe72-84
30/12/22AOld Dominion60-57
22/12/22HUALR77-75
20/12/22HAlabama State72-65
15/12/22HSoutheast Missouri State68-61
10/12/22AAir Force55-80
07/12/22ACentral Arkansas67-72
02/12/22HMiss. Valley St.58-38
27/11/22HBethel (TN)90-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %62%86%44%
Points / game76.688.367.6
Allowed / game65.863.067.9
Point differential+10.9+25.3-0.3
Avg total142.4151.3135.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%71%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %56%80%17%
Points / game67.173.456.5
Allowed / game65.063.268.0
Point differential+2.1+10.2-11.5
Avg total132.1136.6124.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss1714382%76.162.0+14.1
2 Marshall1713476%81.769.1+12.6
3 Louisiana Lafayette1511473%81.271.7+9.5
4 James Madison1611569%88.065.1+22.9
5 Troy1610662%76.665.8+10.9
6 Old Dominion1610662%68.866.2+2.6
7 Georgia Southern1710759%69.264.6+4.6
8 Arkansas State169756%67.165.0+2.1
9 Georgia State158753%66.963.2+3.7
10 Texas State179853%65.564.8+0.6
11 Appalachian State168850%74.565.1+9.4
12 Coastal Carolina157847%75.668.7+6.9
13 South Alabama167944%68.466.1+2.3
14 Louisiana Monroe1771041%70.668.7+1.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy313566
Arkansas State272754
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.