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South Korea vs Guam Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 99-66
17-18 33-10 26-17 23-21
Position#8
Record6-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#14
Record8-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game79.2
EuropeAsia Cup· King Abdullah Sports City
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Korea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guam winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South KoreaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKorea
Date
Competition
Japan
#8
W
74-55
74
55
+19
no box
H06/10
Asian Games
Australia
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
A22/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
96-62
96
62
+34
no box
H25/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
86-78
86
78
+8
89avg 79
H21/11
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
75-98
75
98
-23
64avg 79
H24/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
91-90
91
90
+1
86avg 79
A20/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
90-63
90
63
+27
85avg 79
A23/02
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
61-97
61
97
-36
42avg 79
A06/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
97-83
97
83
+14
90avg 79
H08/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
97-86
97
86
+11
97avg 79
H10/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
22-7
18-18
15-12
15-14
25-22
17-17
14-32
28-15
27-16
17-11
24-20
19-15
21-25
18-23
28-15
19-19
13-35
26-17
17-27
24-23
31-20
17-19
19-28
24-17
25-7
24-23
17-16
17-25
14-23
16-20
14-29
25-22
28-16
22-23
22-22
26-17
26-19
22-20
23-30
163.5Avg total
83.8Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.982.4167.3+2.467%
Season at home (5)90.281.4171.6+8.880%
Season away (4)78.283.8162.0-5.550%
Last 10 (10)83.879.7163.5+4.170%
Last 5 (5)87.283.8171.0+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.089.6163.6-15.611%
vs Similar (5)81.280.6161.8+0.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)91.371.8163.1+19.694%
This opponent (Guam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuamLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuam
Date
Competition
Mongolia
#15
W
74-63
74
63
+11
no box
A25/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
53-101
53
101
-48
42avg 58
A21/11
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
78-83
78
83
-5
67avg 58
H24/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
L
63-74
63
74
-11
49avg 58
H20/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
74avg 58
H23/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
73-113
73
113
-40
58avg 58
A19/03
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 58
H20/03
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
52-77
52
77
-25
32avg 58
H06/08
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
82-73
82
73
+9
77avg 58
A08/08
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
63-102
63
102
-39
43avg 58
H10/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
18-19
19-16
16-15
17-21
10-24
15-27
11-29
15-20
16-28
22-20
25-15
19-22
12-17
12-20
20-15
16-19
17-25
23-22
22-20
19-29
19-25
14-37
21-22
22-21
26-17
24-19
17-24
10-23
10-18
21-11
11-25
27-21
16-19
21-19
18-14
15-27
18-25
19-26
11-24
155.8Avg total
70.5Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)71.479.2150.6-7.850%
Season at home (8)71.581.0152.5-9.538%
Season away (8)71.277.4148.6-6.162%
Last 10 (10)70.585.3155.8-14.830%
Last 5 (5)71.889.2161.0-17.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)70.182.4152.5-12.338%
vs Similar (2)88.093.0181.0-5.050%
vs Weaker (6)86.371.5157.8+14.883%
This opponent (South Korea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -3.1-3.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -3.1-3.1
South KoreaGuam
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
South KoreaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Japan
#8
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H06/10
Asian Games
Australia
#1
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H25/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H21/11
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H24/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A20/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
49-24
49
24
+25
A23/02
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A06/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H08/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H10/08
Asia Cup
82.3Avg total
44.8Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.238.082.2+6.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.437.983.3+7.567%-
Last 30 away (15)42.938.181.1+4.853%-
Last 10 (10)44.837.582.3+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)48.037.885.8+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.344.982.2-7.633%-
vs Similar (5)43.437.881.2+5.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)48.234.282.4+14.175%-
This opponent (Guam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mongolia
#15
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A25/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A21/11
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H24/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H20/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H23/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A19/03
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H20/03
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
20-41
20
41
-21
H06/08
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A08/08
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H10/08
Asia Cup
77.6Avg total
34.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)38.340.578.8-2.238%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.543.580.9-6.027%-
Last 30 away (10)39.237.376.5+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)34.343.377.6-9.030%-
Last 5 (5)36.445.081.4-8.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.341.876.1-7.523%-
vs Similar (2)43.048.091.0-5.050%-
vs Weaker (6)45.335.380.7+10.067%-
This opponent (South Korea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
South Koreatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South Korea: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.721.1
51.9%
49.3%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.4
36.0%
32.7%31.3
🏀 Free throws15.610.7
68.6%
70.1%10.7
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guamtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guam: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.718.1
43.4%
49.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.3
32.7%
32.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws14.79.5
64.6%
70.1%9.5
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 12 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
South Korea
WWLWWLWWLW
Guam
LWLWLLLLLW
#8
League position
#14
+3.6
Net rating
-18.0
105.4
Offensive rating
92.8
101.8
Defensive rating
110.8
52.8%
Effective FG%
45.5%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.9%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.0%
3-point %
32.7%
72.9%
Assist %
55.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 92.8Defence101.8 · 110.8Shooting52.8% · 45.5%3-point %36.0% · 32.7%Ball care17.3% · 18.9%Off. rebounds26.8% · 27.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ South Korea   ■ Guam
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
South Korea wins
0
Guam wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/08/25HLebanon97-86
08/08/25HQatar97-83
06/08/25AAustralia61-97
23/02/25AIndonesia90-63
20/02/25AThailand91-90
24/11/24HAustralia75-98
21/11/24HIndonesia86-78
25/02/24HThailand96-62
22/02/24AAustralia71-85
06/10/23HJapan74-55
Guamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/08/25HJapan63-102
08/08/25ASyria82-73
06/08/25HIran52-77
20/03/25HThailand89-81
19/03/25AChinese Taipei73-113
23/02/25HChina78-86
20/02/25HMongolia63-74
24/11/24HJapan78-83
21/11/24AChina53-101
25/02/24AMongolia74-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Korea
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game84.990.278.2
Allowed / game82.481.483.8
Point differential+2.4+8.8-5.5
Avg total167.3171.6162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guam
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayLWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%38%62%
Points / game71.471.571.2
Allowed / game79.281.077.4
Point differential-7.8-9.5-6.1
Avg total150.6152.5148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%0%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia990100%101.465.6+35.9
2 China98189%90.365.7+24.7
3 Iran98189%76.752.2+24.4
4 New Zealand98189%93.170.9+22.2
5 Japan97278%83.074.4+8.6
6 Lebanon97278%88.279.8+8.4
7 Jordan107370%75.971.9+4.0
8 Chinese Taipei128467%86.280.0+6.2
9 South Korea96367%84.982.4+2.4
10 Philippines106460%87.477.2+10.2
11 Saudi Arabia106460%76.573.0+3.5
12 Thailand158753%83.083.1-0.1
13 Qatar147750%72.972.9+0.1
14 Guam168850%71.479.2-7.8
15 Mongolia136746%76.979.2-2.2
16 Iraq167944%72.675.6-3.0
17 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
18 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
19 United Arab Emirates114736%71.074.5-3.5
20 Syria93633%72.280.7-8.4
21 Kazakhstan62433%53.567.7-14.2
22 Palestine113827%69.073.7-4.7
23 India113827%68.282.1-13.9
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Bahrain82625%75.082.2-7.2
26 Hong Kong112918%65.682.8-17.2
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia6060%62.896.0-33.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
South Korea1733262399
Guam1810172166
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