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Guam vs Japan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 11:10
Final 63-102
15-27 18-25 19-26 11-24
Position#14
Record8-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Japan 🏆
Position#6
Record6-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game75.9
EuropeAsia CupRound 3· King Abdullah Sports City
Other2023
Meetings · Guam v Japan
10 Aug 2025
GUAM63
JAPA102
24 Nov 2024
GUAM78
JAPA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guam winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Japan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuamLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuam
Date
Competition
Japan
#6
L
56-77
56
77
-21
no box
A22/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
74-63
74
63
+11
no box
A25/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
53-101
53
101
-48
42avg 60
A21/11
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
78-83
78
83
-5
67avg 60
H24/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
L
63-74
63
74
-11
49avg 60
H20/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
74avg 60
H23/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
73-113
73
113
-40
58avg 60
A19/03
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 60
H20/03
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
52-77
52
77
-25
32avg 60
H06/08
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
82-73
82
73
+9
77avg 60
A08/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
24-18
8-20
12-22
21-13
18-19
19-16
16-15
17-21
10-24
15-27
11-29
15-20
16-28
22-20
25-15
19-22
12-17
12-20
20-15
16-19
17-25
23-22
22-20
19-29
19-25
14-37
21-22
22-21
26-17
24-19
17-24
10-23
10-18
21-11
11-25
27-21
16-19
21-19
18-14
152.6Avg total
69.8Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)71.977.7149.6-5.753%
Season at home (7)72.778.0150.7-5.343%
Season away (8)71.277.4148.6-6.162%
Last 10 (10)69.882.8152.6-13.030%
Last 5 (5)74.886.0160.8-11.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)70.780.8151.4-10.142%
vs Similar (2)88.093.0181.0-5.050%
vs Weaker (6)86.371.5157.8+14.883%
This opponent (Japan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJapan
Date
Competition
Saudi Arabia
#7
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
A04/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
55-74
55
74
-19
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Guam
#14
W
77-56
77
56
+21
no box
H22/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
W
76-73
76
73
+3
no box
H25/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
93-75
93
75
+18
98avg 79
H21/11
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
83-78
83
78
+5
82avg 79
A24/11
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
58-100
58
100
-42
41avg 79
A20/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
89-79
89
79
+10
93avg 79
A23/02
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
99-68
99
68
+31
95avg 79
H06/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
70-78
70
78
-8
66avg 79
A08/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
13-27
19-19
19-14
18-19
7-22
18-18
12-15
17-12
18-24
20-8
22-12
19-20
19-18
17-13
21-22
22-22
25-14
20-15
26-24
20-15
28-16
20-22
15-25
12-19
21-31
12-19
13-31
23-22
23-22
21-18
22-17
18-13
14-28
28-10
39-17
13-16
21-18
24-24
12-20
153.4Avg total
77.4Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.675.9156.5+4.875%
Season at home (4)86.268.0154.2+18.2100%
Season away (4)75.083.8158.8-8.850%
Last 10 (10)77.476.0153.4+1.460%
Last 5 (5)79.880.6160.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.684.6155.1-14.029%
vs Similar (6)80.886.0166.8-5.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.567.5156.0+21.194%
This opponent (Guam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
GuamJapan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Japan
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A22/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A25/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A21/11
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H24/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H20/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H23/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A19/03
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H20/03
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
20-41
20
41
-21
H06/08
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A08/08
Asia Cup
76.2Avg total
34.6Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)38.540.078.5-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (10)37.942.680.5-4.730%-
Last 30 away (10)39.237.376.5+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)34.641.676.2-7.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.443.479.8-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.440.975.3-6.525%-
vs Similar (2)43.048.091.0-5.050%-
vs Weaker (6)45.335.380.7+10.067%-
This opponent (Japan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JapanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saudi Arabia
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A04/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A06/10
Asian Games
Guam
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H22/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H25/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H21/11
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A24/11
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A20/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A23/02
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H06/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A08/08
Asia Cup
77.1Avg total
37.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.379.7+1.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.537.579.0+4.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.341.280.5-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)37.439.777.1-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.078.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.144.378.4-10.114%-
vs Similar (6)33.545.579.0-12.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.435.180.5+10.371%-
This opponent (Guam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guamtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guam: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.118.4
42.7%
49.3%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.8
31.6%
32.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws14.39.5
66.4%
70.1%9.5
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Japantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀34%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.1 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.413.6
49.8%
49.3%27.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.912.4
33.6%
32.7%37.1
🏀 Free throws19.415.2
78.7%
70.1%15.2
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 57% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 10 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guam
WLWLLLLLWL
Japan
LWWLWWWWLL
#14
League position
#6
-16.1
Net rating
+5.9
91.1
Offensive rating
105.2
107.2
Defensive rating
99.2
44.4%
Effective FG%
50.1%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.6%
3-point %
33.6%
54.2%
Assist %
74.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.1 · 105.2Defence107.2 · 99.2Shooting44.4% · 50.1%3-point %31.6% · 33.6%Ball care18.9% · 16.5%Off. rebounds27.7% · 25.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Guam   ■ Japan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Guam wins
2
Japan wins
DateGameScore
24/11/24Guam v Japan78-83
22/02/24Japan v Guam77-56
Guamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/08/25ASyria82-73
06/08/25HIran52-77
20/03/25HThailand89-81
19/03/25AChinese Taipei73-113
23/02/25HChina78-86
20/02/25HMongolia63-74
24/11/24HJapan78-83
21/11/24AChina53-101
25/02/24AMongolia74-63
22/02/24AJapan56-77
Japanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/08/25AIran70-78
06/08/25HSyria99-68
23/02/25AMongolia89-79
20/02/25AChina58-100
24/11/24AGuam83-78
21/11/24HMongolia93-75
25/02/24HChina76-73
22/02/24HGuam77-56
06/10/23ASouth Korea55-74
04/10/23ASaudi Arabia74-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guam
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW53%
HomeLLLWL43%
AwayLWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%43%62%
Points / game71.972.771.2
Allowed / game77.778.077.4
Point differential-5.7-5.3-6.1
Avg total149.6150.7148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Japan
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL75%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game80.686.275.0
Allowed / game75.968.083.8
Point differential+4.8+18.2-8.8
Avg total156.5154.2158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia990100%101.465.6+35.9
2 China98189%90.365.7+24.7
3 New Zealand98189%93.170.9+22.2
4 Iran87188%76.053.4+22.6
5 Lebanon87188%88.577.6+10.9
6 Jordan97278%77.271.2+6.0
7 Japan86275%80.675.9+4.8
8 Saudi Arabia96367%75.270.6+4.7
9 Chinese Taipei117464%86.981.5+5.5
10 South Korea85362%83.482.0+1.4
11 Philippines95456%86.676.0+10.6
12 Thailand158753%83.083.1-0.1
13 Guam158753%71.977.7-5.7
14 Qatar147750%72.972.9+0.1
15 Mongolia136746%76.979.2-2.2
16 Iraq167944%72.675.6-3.0
17 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
18 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
19 Syria83538%75.980.5-4.6
20 United Arab Emirates114736%71.074.5-3.5
21 Kazakhstan62433%53.567.7-14.2
22 Palestine113827%69.073.7-4.7
23 India113827%68.282.1-13.9
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Bahrain82625%75.082.2-7.2
26 Hong Kong112918%65.682.8-17.2
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia6060%62.896.0-33.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guam1518191163
Japan27252624102
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