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South Korea vs Lebanon Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 97-86
26-17 26-19 22-20 23-30
Position#8
Record5-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#5
Record7-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game77.6
EuropeAsia CupRound 3· King Abdullah Sports City
Other2023
Meetings · South Korea v Lebanon
26 Feb 2027
SOUT v LEBA
upcoming
10 Aug 2025
SOUT97
LEBA86
29 Nov 2018
SOUT84
LEBA71
27 Sep 2015
SOUT85
LEBA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Korea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lebanon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South KoreaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKorea
Date
Competition
Iran
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
no box
A04/10
Asian Games
Japan
#8
W
74-55
74
55
+19
no box
H06/10
Asian Games
Australia
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
A22/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
96-62
96
62
+34
no box
H25/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
86-78
86
78
+8
89avg 76
H21/11
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
75-98
75
98
-23
64avg 76
H24/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
91-90
91
90
+1
86avg 76
A20/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
90-63
90
63
+27
85avg 76
A23/02
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
61-97
61
97
-36
42avg 76
A06/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
97-83
97
83
+14
90avg 76
H08/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
28-19
15-26
19-23
19-18
22-7
18-18
15-12
15-14
25-22
17-17
14-32
28-15
27-16
17-11
24-20
19-15
21-25
18-23
28-15
19-19
13-35
26-17
17-27
24-23
31-20
17-19
19-28
24-17
25-7
24-23
17-16
17-25
14-23
16-20
14-29
25-22
28-16
22-23
22-22
162.3Avg total
82.3Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.482.0165.4+1.462%
Season at home (4)88.580.2168.8+8.275%
Season away (4)78.283.8162.0-5.550%
Last 10 (10)82.380.0162.3+2.360%
Last 5 (5)82.886.2169.0-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.692.0162.6-21.40%
vs Similar (5)81.280.6161.8+0.640%
vs Weaker (16)91.371.8163.1+19.694%
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LebanonLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLebanon
Date
Competition
Ivory Coast
#21
W
94-84
94
84
+10
no box
A31/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
A02/09
World Cup
Syria
#20
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
A23/02
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
94-63
94
63
+31
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
99-77
99
77
+22
99avg 85
A22/11
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
89-64
89
64
+25
88avg 85
H25/11
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
84-78
84
78
+6
84avg 85
A21/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
91-88
91
88
+3
96avg 85
H24/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
84-80
84
80
+4
68avg 85
A06/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
69avg 85
H08/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-20
23-21
18-25
21-18
20-13
28-23
14-13
19-24
28-22
23-14
25-20
11-22
21-13
18-20
29-13
26-17
26-20
22-15
30-19
21-23
33-16
14-18
18-14
24-16
22-15
27-18
19-24
16-21
18-21
25-16
24-31
24-20
16-11
19-24
26-16
23-29
14-31
24-27
22-26
20-9
166.1Avg total
88.3Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.577.6166.1+10.988%
Season at home (4)88.577.0165.5+11.575%
Season away (4)88.578.2166.8+10.2100%
Last 10 (10)88.377.8166.1+10.590%
Last 5 (5)85.680.6166.2+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.397.7176.0-19.317%
vs Similar (1)73.075.0148.0-2.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)89.574.6164.0+14.991%
This opponent (South Korea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
South KoreaLebanon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
South KoreaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iran
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A04/10
Asian Games
Japan
#8
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H06/10
Asian Games
Australia
#1
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H25/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H21/11
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H24/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A20/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
49-24
49
24
+25
A23/02
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A06/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H08/08
Asia Cup
82.3Avg total
44.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.538.481.9+5.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.038.782.7+5.360%-
Last 30 away (15)42.938.181.1+4.853%-
Last 10 (10)44.437.982.3+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.485.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.046.381.3-11.322%-
vs Similar (5)43.437.881.2+5.660%-
vs Weaker (16)48.234.282.4+14.175%-
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LebanonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ivory Coast
#21
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A31/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A02/09
World Cup
Syria
#20
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A23/02
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H26/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A22/11
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H25/11
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A21/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H24/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A06/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H08/08
Asia Cup
83.1Avg total
45.3Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.839.282.0+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.539.479.9+1.164%-
Last 30 away (16)44.938.983.8+5.969%-
Last 10 (10)45.337.883.1+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.481.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.052.088.0-16.00%-
vs Similar (1)28.038.066.0-10.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.335.981.1+9.487%-
This opponent (South Korea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
South Koreatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South Korea: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.222.1
51.2%
49.3%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.0
32.3%
32.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.911.1
70.1%
70.1%11.1
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lebanontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lebanon: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.5 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.425.2
55.6%
49.3%50.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.0
31.6%
32.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws22.517.0
75.6%
70.1%17.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 10 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
South Korea
WLWWLWWLWL
Lebanon
LWWWWWWWWW
#8
League position
#5
+1.7
Net rating
+14.7
101.8
Offensive rating
111.8
100.1
Defensive rating
97.1
50.1%
Effective FG%
53.0%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.0%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.3%
3-point %
31.6%
71.9%
Assist %
63.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 111.8Defence100.1 · 97.1Shooting50.1% · 53.0%3-point %32.3% · 31.6%Ball care17.1% · 17.0%Off. rebounds27.3% · 32.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ South Korea   ■ Lebanon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
South Korea wins
2
Lebanon wins
DateGameScore
24/02/19Lebanon v South Korea72-84
29/11/18South Korea v Lebanon84-71
08/08/17Lebanon v South Korea72-66
03/10/15Lebanon v South Korea88-87
27/09/15South Korea v Lebanon85-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/08/25HQatar97-83
06/08/25AAustralia61-97
23/02/25AIndonesia90-63
20/02/25AThailand91-90
24/11/24HAustralia75-98
21/11/24HIndonesia86-78
25/02/24HThailand96-62
22/02/24AAustralia71-85
06/10/23HJapan74-55
04/10/23AIran82-89
Lebanonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/08/25HAustralia80-93
06/08/25AQatar84-80
24/02/25HUnited Arab Emirates91-88
21/02/25ABahrain84-78
25/11/24HSyria89-64
22/11/24AUnited Arab Emirates99-77
26/02/24HBahrain94-63
23/02/24ASyria87-78
02/09/23AIran81-73
31/08/23AIvory Coast94-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Korea
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game83.488.578.2
Allowed / game82.080.283.8
Point differential+1.4+8.2-5.5
Avg total165.4168.8162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lebanon
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game88.588.588.5
Allowed / game77.677.078.2
Point differential+10.9+11.5+10.2
Avg total166.1165.5166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia990100%101.465.6+35.9
2 China98189%90.365.7+24.7
3 New Zealand98189%93.170.9+22.2
4 Iran87188%76.053.4+22.6
5 Lebanon87188%88.577.6+10.9
6 Japan97278%83.074.4+8.6
7 Jordan97278%77.271.2+6.0
8 Saudi Arabia96367%75.270.6+4.7
9 Chinese Taipei117464%86.981.5+5.5
10 South Korea85362%83.482.0+1.4
11 Philippines95456%86.676.0+10.6
12 Thailand158753%83.083.1-0.1
13 Qatar147750%72.972.9+0.1
14 Guam168850%71.479.2-7.8
15 Mongolia136746%76.979.2-2.2
16 Iraq167944%72.675.6-3.0
17 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
18 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
19 Syria83538%75.980.5-4.6
20 United Arab Emirates114736%71.074.5-3.5
21 Kazakhstan62433%53.567.7-14.2
22 Palestine113827%69.073.7-4.7
23 India113827%68.282.1-13.9
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Bahrain82625%75.082.2-7.2
26 Hong Kong112918%65.682.8-17.2
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia6060%62.896.0-33.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
South Korea2626222397
Lebanon1719203086
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