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Southern Miss vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 64-63
33-34 31-29
Position#211
Record10-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#98
Record11-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Southern Miss v Troy
13 Jan 2027
SOUT v TROY
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
SOUT69
TROY65
28 Feb 2025
SOUT58
TROY70
20 Jan 2024
SOUT64
TROY63
29 Dec 2022
SOUT64
TROY60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#334
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H09/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
48-67
48
67
-19
A14/12
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A19/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A23/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
67-88
67
88
-21
A30/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H05/01
NCAA
James Madison
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H06/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
71-58
71
58
+13
A12/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
56-82
56
82
-26
A13/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-25
47-49
26-38
22-29
38-35
44-44
30-47
42-42
38-46
29-42
44-35
35-38
44-35
37-36
28-29
43-29
21-35
35-47
31-33
38-33
145.5Avg total
70.8Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)70.271.0141.2-0.856%
Season at home (9)70.964.1135.0+6.867%
Season away (9)69.477.9147.3-8.444%
Last 10 (10)70.874.7145.5-3.960%
Last 5 (5)71.270.0141.2+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)62.572.7135.2-10.233%
vs Similar (13)72.772.1144.8+0.662%
vs Weaker (9)73.468.3141.8+5.178%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dayton
#30
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A09/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#557
W
110-63
110
63
+47
H13/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
53-74
53
74
-21
A20/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H22/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A30/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H05/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H11/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
82-56
82
56
+26
H13/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
–
–
48-37
62-26
22-31
31-43
48-41
40-40
33-33
39-32
55-34
31-39
23-26
43-36
37-30
42-43
35-21
47-35
25-30
46-44
148.0Avg total
77.7Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.869.8150.7+11.061%
Season at home (11)87.565.1152.6+22.591%
Season away (7)70.377.3147.6-7.014%
Last 10 (10)77.770.3148.0+7.470%
Last 5 (5)76.867.6144.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.081.5156.5-6.50%
vs Similar (8)66.172.1138.2-6.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)80.669.2149.8+11.474%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: +4.8+4.8
Southern MissTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#334
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H09/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A14/12
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A19/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A23/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A30/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H05/01
NCAA
James Madison
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H06/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A12/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A13/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H18/01
NCAA
69.4Avg total
33.6Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.032.965.9+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.929.962.9+3.060%-
Last 30 away (15)33.135.969.0-2.727%-
Last 10 (10)33.635.869.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)33.633.467.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)30.335.065.3-4.733%-
vs Similar (13)33.333.366.6+0.038%-
vs Weaker (9)34.431.666.0+2.956%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern-New O.
#557
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H13/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A20/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H22/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A30/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H05/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H06/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H11/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H13/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A19/01
NCAA
67.7Avg total
36.2Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.832.667.4+2.145%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.130.269.3+8.971%-
Last 30 away (12)28.636.164.7-7.58%-
Last 10 (9)36.231.467.7+4.856%-
Last 5 (5)35.028.263.2+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.539.071.5-6.50%-
vs Similar (7)24.735.159.9-10.40%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)38.531.870.3+6.763%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Southern Miss wins
1
Troy wins
DateGameScore
13/01/24Troy v Southern Miss82-56
03/02/23Troy v Southern Miss65-74
30/12/22Southern Miss v Troy64-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24HArkansas State69-66
13/01/24ATroy56-82
12/01/24ALouisiana Monroe71-58
06/01/24HJames Madison81-71
05/01/24HGeorgia State79-73
30/12/23AGeorgia Southern67-88
23/12/23AOle Miss72-89
19/12/23ALamar82-79
14/12/23AMcNeese State48-67
09/12/23HNorthwestern St.83-74
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24ASouth Alabama71-74
13/01/24HSouthern Miss82-56
11/01/24HLouisiana Lafayette79-73
06/01/24HAppalachian State66-62
05/01/24HOld Dominion86-73
30/12/23ACoastal Carolina72-65
22/12/23HEastern Kentucky88-81
20/12/23AOle Miss53-74
13/12/23HSouthern-New O.110-63
09/12/23ADayton70-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Miss
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW56%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%67%44%
Points / game70.270.969.4
Allowed / game71.064.177.9
Point differential-0.8+6.8-8.4
Avg total141.2135.0147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Troy
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL61%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %61%91%14%
Points / game80.887.570.3
Allowed / game69.865.177.3
Point differential+11.0+22.5-7.0
Avg total150.7152.6147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%64%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %11%9%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison1816289%86.970.1+16.8
2 Appalachian State1814478%76.763.4+13.3
3 Troy1811761%80.869.8+11.0
4 Louisiana Lafayette1810856%77.372.2+5.1
5 Southern Miss1810856%70.271.0-0.8
6 South Alabama1810856%74.176.7-2.6
7 Georgia State189950%79.374.4+4.8
8 Marshall1991047%76.277.4-1.2
9 Arkansas State1871139%78.278.8-0.6
10 Texas State1871139%70.071.2-1.2
11 Coastal Carolina1751229%76.177.2-1.1
12 Old Dominion1851328%72.177.2-5.1
13 Louisiana Monroe1641225%67.173.2-6.1
14 Georgia Southern1941521%69.979.1-9.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Miss333164
Troy342963
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