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Troy vs Southern Miss Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 82-56
35-21 47-35
Position#98
Record10-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game70.4
Troy 🏆
USA
vs
Position#211
Record9-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Troy v Southern Miss
08 Mar 2026
TROY78
SOUT70
14 Jan 2026
TROY91
SOUT65
27 Jan 2025
TROY70
SOUT61
13 Jan 2024
TROY82
SOUT56
02 Feb 2023
TROY65
SOUT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Miss winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#173
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A28/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H02/12
NCAA
Dayton
#30
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A09/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#557
W
110-63
110
63
+47
H13/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
53-74
53
74
-21
A20/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H22/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A30/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H05/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-40
42-37
41-31
42-29
–
–
48-37
62-26
22-31
31-43
48-41
40-40
33-33
39-32
55-34
31-39
23-26
43-36
37-30
42-43
149.3Avg total
78.3Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.470.4151.8+10.962%
Season at home (10)88.166.0154.1+22.190%
Season away (6)70.277.8148.0-7.717%
Last 10 (10)78.371.0149.3+7.370%
Last 5 (5)78.270.8149.0+7.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.084.0163.0-5.00%
vs Similar (8)66.172.1138.2-6.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)80.968.8149.7+12.178%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Milwaukee
#157
W
90-84
90
84
+6
A25/11
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A02/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H09/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
48-67
48
67
-19
A14/12
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A19/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A23/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
67-88
67
88
-21
A30/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H05/01
NCAA
James Madison
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H06/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
71-58
71
58
+13
A12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-26
49-58
46-46
39-36
36-25
47-49
26-38
22-29
38-35
44-44
30-47
42-42
38-46
29-42
44-35
35-38
44-35
37-36
28-29
43-29
152.3Avg total
75.8Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)71.170.6141.8+0.556%
Season at home (8)71.163.9135.0+7.262%
Season away (8)71.177.4148.5-6.250%
Last 10 (10)75.876.5152.3-0.770%
Last 5 (5)74.075.8149.8-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)63.870.8134.6-7.040%
vs Similar (14)73.972.4146.3+1.664%
vs Weaker (9)73.468.3141.8+5.178%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: -1.6-1.6
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: -1.6-1.6
TroySouthern Miss
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#173
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A28/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H02/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#557
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H13/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A20/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H22/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A30/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H05/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H06/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H11/01
NCAA
71.6Avg total
37.9Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.233.068.2+2.248%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.130.869.8+8.372%-
Last 30 away (11)28.936.665.5-7.79%-
Last 10 (9)37.933.771.6+4.256%-
Last 5 (5)39.232.872.0+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.737.773.3-2.033%-
vs Similar (7)24.735.159.9-10.40%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)39.132.271.3+6.867%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Milwaukee
#157
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A25/11
NCAA
UAB
#77
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A02/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H09/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A14/12
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A19/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A23/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A30/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H05/01
NCAA
James Madison
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H06/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A12/01
NCAA
73.3Avg total
37.1Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.833.166.9+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.730.664.2+3.162%-
Last 30 away (14)34.035.969.9-1.929%-
Last 10 (10)37.136.273.3+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.838.475.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)32.235.067.2-2.840%-
vs Similar (14)34.133.867.9+0.443%-
vs Weaker (9)34.431.666.0+2.956%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Troy wins
2
Southern Miss wins
DateGameScore
03/02/23Troy v Southern Miss65-74
30/12/22Southern Miss v Troy64-60
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/24HLouisiana Lafayette79-73
06/01/24HAppalachian State66-62
05/01/24HOld Dominion86-73
30/12/23ACoastal Carolina72-65
22/12/23HEastern Kentucky88-81
20/12/23AOle Miss53-74
13/12/23HSouthern-New O.110-63
09/12/23ADayton70-82
02/12/23HSiu Edwardsville83-60
28/11/23AEastern Kentucky76-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/24ALouisiana Monroe71-58
06/01/24HJames Madison81-71
05/01/24HGeorgia State79-73
30/12/23AGeorgia Southern67-88
23/12/23AOle Miss72-89
19/12/23ALamar82-79
14/12/23AMcNeese State48-67
09/12/23HNorthwestern St.83-74
02/12/23AUAB85-82
25/11/23AWisc. Milwaukee90-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %62%90%17%
Points / game81.488.170.2
Allowed / game70.466.077.8
Point differential+10.9+22.1-7.7
Avg total151.8154.1148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %12%10%17%
Southern Miss
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW56%
HomeLLWWW62%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game71.171.171.1
Allowed / game70.663.977.4
Point differential+0.5+7.2-6.2
Avg total141.8135.0148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison1715288%86.870.1+16.7
2 Appalachian State1713476%76.763.1+13.6
3 Troy1610662%81.470.4+10.9
4 Southern Miss169756%71.170.6+0.5
5 Georgia State158753%79.974.4+5.5
6 Louisiana Lafayette179853%76.872.4+4.4
7 South Alabama179853%74.177.0-2.9
8 Marshall189950%76.776.6+0.1
9 Texas State1771041%70.170.4-0.2
10 Arkansas State1771041%78.979.4-0.5
11 Coastal Carolina1651131%76.577.4-0.9
12 Louisiana Monroe1541127%66.972.1-5.2
13 Old Dominion1741324%71.077.9-6.9
14 Georgia Southern1621412%69.279.6-10.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy354782
Southern Miss213556
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