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Spain W vs Belgium W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 65-67
19-18 18-13 15-18 13-18
Position#2
Record11-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game61.7
Spain W
vs
Belgium W 🏆
Position#1
Record10-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game56.6
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenEuroBasket Women - Final· Peace and Friendship Stadium
Women2024Neutral venue
Meetings · Spain W v Belgium W
29 Jun 2025
SPAI65
BELG67
07 Aug 2024
SPAI66
BELG79
25 Jun 2023
SPAI58
BELG64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spain W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belgium W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Spain WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#7
L
66-79
66
79
-13
53avg 74
H07/08
Olympic Games Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
66-59
66
59
+7
no box
H07/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
W
78-62
78
62
+16
82avg 74
H10/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
76-45
76
45
+31
82avg 74
A06/02
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
81-64
81
64
+17
77avg 74
A09/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
85-70
85
70
+15
79avg 74
A19/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
W
79-60
79
60
+19
76avg 74
H20/06
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
W
78-75 OT
78
75
+3
65avg 74
A22/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
88-81
88
81
+7
89avg 74
H25/06
European Championship Women
France W
#3
W
65-64
65
64
+1
69avg 74
A27/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
11-22
12-19
17-12
16-7
15-18
19-16
16-18
18-18
25-16
21-16
14-12
28-17
15-10
16-8
17-10
19-15
17-16
28-13
17-20
18-13
30-12
20-24
17-21
19-16
17-14
18-13
25-17
16-16
15-7
19-19
14-22
12-18
21-26
28-22
27-15
18-18
13-20
18-8
16-18
142.1Avg total
76.2Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.561.7138.2+14.7100%
Season at home (5)77.259.2136.4+18.0100%
Season away (6)75.863.8139.7+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.265.9142.1+10.390%
Last 5 (5)79.070.0149.0+9.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)67.870.2138.0-2.460%
vs Similar (2)71.567.0138.5+4.5100%
vs Weaker (23)78.358.7136.9+19.691%
This opponent (Belgium W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belgium WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Australia W
#3
L
81-85
81
85
-4
72avg 77
H11/08
Olympic Games Women
Lithuania W
#17
W
81-70
81
70
+11
72avg 77
H07/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
W
80-77
80
77
+3
78avg 77
A10/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
97-24
97
24
+73
105avg 77
H06/02
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
W
70-69
70
69
+1
60avg 77
A09/02
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#12
W
81-52
81
52
+29
88avg 77
H19/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#19
W
87-53
87
53
+34
90avg 77
A20/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
72-60
72
60
+12
74avg 77
H22/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
W
83-59
83
59
+24
87avg 77
H25/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
W
66-64
66
64
+2
68avg 77
A27/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
17-17
25-23
20-25
19-15
22-20
25-14
15-21
17-17
15-24
24-16
24-20
27-5
25-7
29-4
16-8
15-13
20-25
13-17
22-14
15-14
25-11
26-11
15-16
31-8
17-24
15-13
24-8
17-17
24-20
17-9
14-14
21-21
20-15
24-17
18-6
17-20
23-13
17-10
9-21
141.1Avg total
79.8Scored
61.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.256.6139.8+26.591%
Season at home (6)79.355.3134.7+24.083%
Season away (5)87.858.2146.0+29.6100%
Last 10 (10)79.861.3141.1+18.590%
Last 5 (5)77.857.6135.4+20.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.083.0159.0-7.00%
vs Similar (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)84.457.0141.4+27.392%
This opponent (Spain W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +8.1+8.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +8.1+8.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
Spain WBelgium W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Spain WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H07/08
Olympic Games Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H07/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A06/02
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A09/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A19/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H20/06
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A22/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H25/06
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A27/06
European Championship Women
69.4Avg total
36.9Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.529.567.0+8.073%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.130.868.9+7.271%-
Last 30 away (13)36.827.764.5+9.177%-
Last 10 (10)36.932.569.4+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)35.832.067.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)33.834.668.4-0.840%-
vs Similar (2)32.037.069.0-5.050%-
vs Weaker (23)38.827.766.5+11.183%-
This opponent (Belgium W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belgium WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Australia W
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H11/08
Olympic Games Women
Lithuania W
#17
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H07/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A10/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
52-12
52
12
+40
H06/02
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A09/02
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#12
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H19/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#19
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A20/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H22/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H25/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A27/06
European Championship Women
73.2Avg total
40.6Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.830.772.6+11.177%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.931.475.2+12.581%-
Last 30 away (14)39.530.069.5+9.571%-
Last 10 (10)40.632.673.2+8.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.032.674.6+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.037.076.0+2.067%-
vs Similar (1)36.037.073.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)42.429.872.2+12.681%-
This opponent (Spain W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spain Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain W: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.621.4
50.2%
45.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.85.9
31.4%
30.0%17.7
🏀 Free throws18.414.7
79.9%
72.4%14.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Belgium Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium W: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.022.2
54.1%
45.4%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.6
30.6%
30.0%22.8
🏀 Free throws14.911.8
79.2%
72.4%11.8
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spain W
WWWWWWWWWL
Belgium W
WWWWWWWWWL
#2
League position
#1
+13.8
Net rating
+25.7
102.6
Offensive rating
108.4
88.9
Defensive rating
82.7
49.3%
Effective FG%
51.1%
43.6%
Opp. effective FG%
41.7%
18.9%
Turnover %
17.0%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.4%
3-point %
30.6%
71.1%
Assist %
81.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 108.4Defence88.9 · 82.7Shooting49.3% · 51.1%3-point %31.4% · 30.6%Ball care18.9% · 17.0%Off. rebounds30.1% · 34.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)90% · 90%
■ Spain W   ■ Belgium W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Spain W wins
2
Belgium W wins
DateGameScore
07/08/24Spain W v Belgium W66-79
25/06/23Spain W v Belgium W58-64
Spain Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/06/25AFrance W65-64
25/06/25HCzech Republic W88-81
22/06/25ASweden W78-75 OT
20/06/25HGermany W79-60
19/06/25AGreat Britain W85-70
09/02/25ANetherlands W81-64
06/02/25AAustria W76-45
10/11/24HCroatia W78-62
07/11/24HNetherlands W66-59
07/08/24HBelgium W66-79
Belgium Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/06/25AItaly W66-64
25/06/25HGermany W83-59
22/06/25HCzech Republic W72-60
20/06/25AMontenegro W87-53
19/06/25HPortugal W81-52
09/02/25ALithuania W70-69
06/02/25HAzerbaijan W97-24
10/11/24APoland W80-77
07/11/24HLithuania W81-70
11/08/24HAustralia W81-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spain W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game76.577.275.8
Allowed / game61.759.263.8
Point differential+14.7+18.0+12.0
Avg total138.2136.4139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Belgium W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %91%83%100%
Points / game83.279.387.8
Allowed / game56.655.358.2
Point differential+26.5+24.0+29.6
Avg total139.8134.7146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%83%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spain W11110100%76.561.7+14.7
2 Belgium W1110191%83.256.6+26.5
3 France W1210283%87.251.7+35.6
4 Sweden W97278%75.466.6+8.9
5 Turkey W129375%82.067.7+14.3
6 Italy W129375%69.060.8+8.2
7 Slovenia W96367%77.668.3+9.2
8 Croatia W64267%76.067.8+8.2
9 Luxembourg W64267%63.257.2+6.0
10 Slovakia W64267%71.565.7+5.8
11 Germany W128467%73.370.4+2.9
12 Portugal W96367%60.058.8+1.2
13 Latvia W64267%75.076.5-1.5
14 Serbia W95456%74.859.4+15.3
15 Poland W63350%79.862.3+17.5
16 Hungary W63350%73.567.7+5.8
17 Lithuania W126650%76.672.0+4.6
18 Great Britain W94544%72.363.8+8.6
19 Montenegro W94544%65.466.8-1.3
20 Switzerland W94544%62.269.1-6.9
21 Czech Republic W125742%69.270.8-1.7
22 Greece W93633%68.872.7-3.9
23 Bulgaria W62433%76.381.5-5.2
24 Ukraine W62433%64.270.0-5.8
25 Netherlands W62433%63.770.3-6.7
26 Israel W62433%71.880.2-8.3
27 Finland W62433%62.577.3-14.8
28 Denmark W61517%66.773.8-7.2
29 Iceland W61517%68.877.7-8.8
30 Romania W61517%66.588.3-21.8
31 Estonia W61517%51.577.8-26.3
32 Austria W6060%53.074.0-21.0
33 Bosnia & Herzegovina W6060%54.083.2-29.2
34 North Macedonia W6060%56.086.8-30.8
35 Ireland W6060%55.597.2-41.7
36 Azerbaijan W6060%41.0105.5-64.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Spain W1918151365
Belgium W1813181867
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