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Alkar vs Dinamo Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 May 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 63-62
13-8 19-20 18-16 13-18
Position#7
Record13-18
FormWLWWL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game76.4
Alkar 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#6
Record15-16
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game84.8
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 23· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb
22 Jan 2027
ALKA v DINA
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
ALKA77
DINA72
11 Oct 2025
ALKA74
DINA72
02 May 2025
ALKA63
DINA62
08 Dec 2024
ALKA88
DINA80
20 Apr 2024
ALKA79
DINA100
03 Dec 2023
ALKA53
DINA76
29 Mar 2023
ALKA75
DINA85
17 Dec 2022
ALKA74
DINA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dinamo Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
86-96
86
96
-10
81avg 64
A01/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
72-70
72
70
+2
60avg 64
H12/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
66-103
66
103
-37
67avg 64
A14/03
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
44-63
44
63
-19
28avg 64
H23/03
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
73-60
73
60
+13
65avg 64
A29/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
69-60
69
60
+9
63avg 64
H04/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
78-95
78
95
-17
61avg 64
A08/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
71-62
71
62
+9
62avg 64
A13/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
85-71
85
71
+14
86avg 64
H19/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
L
92-98
92
98
-6
79avg 64
A25/04
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
23-14
15-28
18-31
13-31
16-18
23-10
20-11
20-27
17-26
11-24
18-26
14-13
15-18
8-20
7-12
15-14
16-21
24-14
18-11
22-11
17-17
12-12
18-20
21-21
21-32
11-20
25-22
13-14
19-25
21-13
18-10
22-20
20-20
23-13
20-18
28-24
26-23
23-23
15-28
151.4Avg total
73.6Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)71.376.4147.7-5.142%
Season at home (15)73.170.2143.3+2.973%
Season away (16)69.682.2151.9-12.612%
Last 10 (10)73.677.8151.4-4.250%
Last 5 (5)79.077.2156.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)70.779.2149.9-8.527%
vs Similar (10)72.670.6143.2+2.060%
vs Weaker (4)72.063.8135.8+8.275%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
61-79
61
79
-18
54avg 80
A06/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
100-82
100
82
+18
100avg 80
A12/03
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
L
70-73
70
73
-3
55avg 80
H17/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
86-74
86
74
+12
83avg 80
H22/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
82-98
82
98
-16
77avg 80
A28/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
80-107
80
107
-27
76avg 80
H05/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
86-94
86
94
-8
91avg 80
A09/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
78-100
78
100
-22
72avg 80
H13/04
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
119-65
119
65
+54
123avg 80
A18/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
86-71
86
71
+15
78avg 80
H27/04
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
17-23
14-17
12-21
28-26
20-29
24-13
28-14
14-19
22-19
17-18
17-17
19-19
28-23
17-21
22-11
25-24
20-27
21-12
16-35
19-27
24-31
19-25
18-24
20-23
28-25
16-20
22-26
19-27
24-26
18-22
17-25
25-14
25-11
43-12
26-28
19-19
18-17
28-14
21-21
169.1Avg total
84.8Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)85.384.8170.1+0.548%
Season at home (16)85.583.4168.9+2.156%
Season away (15)85.186.3171.3-1.240%
Last 10 (10)84.884.3169.1+0.540%
Last 5 (5)89.887.4177.2+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.294.0173.2-14.88%
vs Similar (3)82.079.0161.0+3.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.978.1169.0+12.779%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
AlkarDinamo Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A01/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H12/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A14/03
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H23/03
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A29/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H04/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A08/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A13/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H19/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A25/04
Premijer liga
80.0Avg total
38.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.038.175.1-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.037.973.9-1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)37.938.376.2-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)38.841.280.0-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.483.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.240.978.1-3.740%-
vs Similar (10)37.137.074.1+0.150%-
vs Weaker (4)33.830.864.5+3.050%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A06/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A12/03
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H17/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H22/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A28/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H05/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A09/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H13/04
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
50-25
50
25
+25
A18/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/04
Premijer liga
87.9Avg total
43.2Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.244.186.2-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.941.782.7-0.860%-
Last 30 away (15)43.446.489.8-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)43.244.787.9-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)44.244.088.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.148.087.1-8.917%-
vs Similar (3)44.340.084.3+4.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.041.485.4+2.664%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.717.2
48.2%
53.5%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.9
34.1%
34.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws15.811.3
71.5%
73.3%11.3
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.821.0
58.7%
53.5%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.9
35.1%
34.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.712.3
69.5%
73.3%12.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
LWWLWWLLWL
Dinamo Zagreb
WWLLLLWLWL
#7
League position
#6
-6.4
Net rating
+0.7
100.5
Offensive rating
110.5
106.9
Defensive rating
109.8
49.4%
Effective FG%
56.0%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
18.3%
Turnover %
18.3%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.1%
3-point %
35.1%
62.1%
Assist %
72.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 110.5Defence106.9 · 109.8Shooting49.4% · 56.0%3-point %34.1% · 35.1%Ball care18.3% · 18.3%Off. rebounds27.3% · 29.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Alkar   ■ Dinamo Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alkar wins
8
Dinamo Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar96-86
08/12/24Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb88-80
20/04/24Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb79-100
02/03/24Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar74-68
03/12/23Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb53-76
25/04/23Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar99-72
29/03/23Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb75-85
17/12/22Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb74-86
01/10/22Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar91-83
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/25AKvarner92-98
19/04/25HDubrava85-71
13/04/25AZabok71-62
08/04/25ADubrovnik78-95
04/04/25HGKK Sibenka69-60
29/03/25AOsijek73-60
23/03/25HZadar44-63
14/03/25ASplit66-103
12/03/25HCedevita Junior72-70
01/03/25ADinamo Zagreb86-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25HGKK Sibenka86-71
18/04/25AOsijek119-65
13/04/25HZadar78-100
09/04/25ASplit86-94
05/04/25HCedevita Junior80-107
28/03/25ACibona82-98
22/03/25HDubrovnik86-74
17/03/25HKvarner70-73
12/03/25ADubrava100-82
06/03/25ASplit61-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL42%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayLWLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %42%73%12%
Points / game71.373.169.6
Allowed / game76.470.282.2
Point differential-5.1+2.9-12.6
Avg total147.7143.3151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%27%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW48%
HomeLWLLW56%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %48%56%40%
Points / game85.385.585.1
Allowed / game84.883.486.3
Point differential+0.5+2.1-1.2
Avg total170.1168.9171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %13%19%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar3128390%80.765.5+15.2
2 Split3125681%87.773.7+14.0
3 Cedevita Junior31201165%84.578.7+5.8
4 Cibona31181358%86.779.8+7.0
5 Kvarner31161552%80.781.0-0.3
6 Dinamo Zagreb31151648%85.384.8+0.5
7 Zabok31151648%81.084.9-3.9
8 Alkar31131842%71.376.4-5.1
9 Dubrava31112035%79.686.2-6.6
10 GKK Sibenka31102132%74.381.9-7.6
11 Dubrovnik3182326%77.783.1-5.4
12 Osijek3172423%74.087.6-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alkar1319181363
Dinamo Zagreb820161862
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