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Crvena zvezda vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 76-78
10-15 25-16 22-19 19-28
Position#17
Record7-19
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game78.8
Crvena zvezda
vs
Bayern 🏆
Position#5
Record16-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game77.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 27
European cup2020
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Bayern
29 Oct 2026
CZV103
BAY73
06 Mar 2026
CZV80
BAY85
29 Nov 2024
CZV101
BAY77
02 Nov 2023
CZV74
BAY68
28 Oct 2022
CZV78
BAY72
17 Dec 2021
CZV81
BAY78
02 Mar 2021
CZV76
BAY78
18 Dec 2015
CZV85
BAY76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
78-81
78
81
-3
58avg 69
H29/01
Euroleague
Mega Soccerbet
#6
W
92-85
92
85
+7
no box
H01/02
ABA League
Radnicki
#8
W
108-47
108
47
+61
no box
H11/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#3
W
79-78
79
78
+1
no box
A13/02
Korac cup
Mega Basket
#2
W
73-60
73
60
+13
no box
A14/02
Korac cup
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
83-63
83
63
+20
85avg 69
H17/02
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
75-76
75
76
-1
67avg 69
H19/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
62-75
62
75
-13
55avg 69
A23/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
67-87
67
87
-20
54avg 69
A26/02
Euroleague
Primorska
#15
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H27/02
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
15-20
18-12
22-24
28-24
21-22
25-20
18-19
22-13
27-12
30-13
29-9
22-27
18-19
15-12
24-20
19-21
17-19
17-8
20-12
23-16
15-17
23-14
22-16
16-22
20-26
20-13
19-15
26-22
18-18
14-20
4-15
16-21
11-27
21-18
19-21
–
–
–
–
138.9Avg total
73.7Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)73.478.8152.2-5.427%
Season at home (13)74.876.7151.5-1.831%
Season away (13)72.080.9152.9-8.923%
Last 10 (10)73.765.2138.9+8.560%
Last 5 (5)61.460.2121.6+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)71.680.5152.1-8.921%
vs Similar (4)76.878.8155.5-2.025%
vs Weaker (11)76.567.5143.9+9.082%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
103-105 OT
103
105
-2
no box
H31/01
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
74-70
74
70
+4
63avg 77
A03/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#15
W
101-95 OT
101
95
+6
no box
H05/02
Euroleague
Bamberg
#8
W
93-92
93
92
+1
86avg 77
A07/02
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
81-77
81
77
+4
77avg 77
A09/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
84-58
84
58
+26
80avg 77
H12/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
83-85
83
85
-2
75avg 77
A14/02
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
79-87
79
87
-8
72avg 77
A19/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
72-70
72
70
+2
69avg 77
H25/02
Euroleague
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
97-76
97
76
+21
86avg 77
H28/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
24-23
26-21
20-27
11-17
16-16
22-20
25-17
10-26
23-17
25-23
29-21
17-23
28-23
22-26
26-20
21-23
19-15
18-16
23-23
21-20
24-4
22-21
17-13
21-28
24-18
26-13
12-26
18-21
17-23
17-22
27-21
18-21
19-17
14-20
21-12
27-25
18-15
27-15
25-21
168.2Avg total
86.7Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.277.7156.9+1.462%
Season at home (13)80.975.7156.6+5.277%
Season away (13)77.479.8157.2-2.446%
Last 10 (10)86.781.5168.2+5.270%
Last 5 (5)83.075.2158.2+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.076.0153.0+1.067%
vs Similar (14)80.680.3160.9+0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.977.5165.4+10.585%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
Crvena zvezdaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H29/01
Euroleague
Mega Soccerbet
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H01/02
ABA League
Radnicki
#8
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H11/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A13/02
Korac cup
Mega Basket
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A14/02
Korac cup
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H17/02
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H19/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A23/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A26/02
Euroleague
80.9Avg total
39.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.240.881.0-0.652%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.937.678.5+3.464%-
Last 30 away (15)39.543.783.3-4.240%-
Last 10 (9)39.741.280.9-1.644%-
Last 5 (5)36.241.878.0-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.942.980.9-5.036%-
vs Similar (4)40.538.579.0+2.075%-
vs Weaker (10)42.440.282.6+2.260%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H31/01
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A03/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#15
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H05/02
Euroleague
Bamberg
#8
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A07/02
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A09/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H12/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A14/02
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A19/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H25/02
Euroleague
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H28/02
BBL
79.4Avg total
39.8Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.480.3+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.836.278.0+5.667%-
Last 30 away (15)40.042.782.7-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.679.4+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.479.8+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.741.080.7-1.333%-
vs Similar (14)40.040.680.6-0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.237.879.9+4.454%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.215.9
47.9%
52.7%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.5
39.9%
38.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws14.711.3
76.9%
79.3%11.3
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.922.4
53.5%
52.7%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.36.3
34.4%
38.1%18.9
🏀 Free throws21.718.0
82.9%
79.3%18.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WLLLWWWWWL
Bayern
WWLLWWWWWL
#17
League position
#5
-3.8
Net rating
+6.0
109.5
Offensive rating
108.9
113.3
Defensive rating
102.9
53.2%
Effective FG%
52.9%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.5%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.36
39.9%
3-point %
34.4%
57.6%
Assist %
43.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 108.9Defence113.3 · 102.9Shooting53.2% · 52.9%3-point %39.9% · 34.4%Ball care16.7% · 16.5%Off. rebounds28.3% · 30.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Crvena zvezda wins
1
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
06/11/20Bayern v Crvena zvezda74-59
18/12/15Crvena zvezda v Bayern85-76
12/11/15Bayern v Crvena zvezda79-90
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21HPrimorska20-0
26/02/21ABaskonia67-87
23/02/21AZalgiris Kaunas62-75
19/02/21HZenit Petersburg75-76
17/02/21HBorac Mozzart83-63
14/02/21AMega Basket73-60
13/02/21APartizan79-78
11/02/21HRadnicki108-47
01/02/21HMega Soccerbet92-85
29/01/21HLyon-Villeurbanne78-81
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg97-76
25/02/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv72-70
19/02/21ALyon-Villeurbanne79-87
14/02/21AChemnitz83-85
12/02/21HFrankfurt84-58
09/02/21AUlm81-77
07/02/21ABamberg93-92
05/02/21HAlba Berlin101-95 OT
03/02/21As.Oliver Wurzburg74-70
31/01/21HCrailsheim Merlins103-105 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeWLLLL31%
AwayLWLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %27%31%23%
Points / game73.474.872.0
Allowed / game78.876.780.9
Point differential-5.4-1.8-8.9
Avg total152.2151.5152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)43% (7)50% (2)
Overtime %8%15%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayLLWWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%77%46%
Points / game79.280.977.4
Allowed / game77.775.779.8
Point differential+1.4+5.2-2.4
Avg total156.9156.6157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)60% (5)62% (8)
Overtime %12%23%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2719870%81.173.8+7.3
2 CSKA Moscow2618869%83.679.4+4.2
3 Olimpia Milano2617965%81.777.7+4.0
4 Anadolu Efes26161062%81.576.5+5.1
5 Zenit Petersburg26161062%77.475.3+2.2
6 Bayern26161062%79.277.7+1.4
7 Real Madrid27161159%80.077.0+3.0
8 Fenerbahce26151158%78.879.6-0.7
9 Zalgiris Kaunas27151256%77.977.0+0.9
10 Valencia27141352%82.682.5+0.1
11 Baskonia26131350%80.077.2+2.8
12 Lyon-Villeurbanne27121544%77.079.7-2.7
13 Olympiacos26111542%78.880.7-1.9
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv25101540%78.979.1-0.2
15 Panathinaikos2591636%79.982.3-2.4
16 Alba Berlin2791833%77.082.7-5.7
17 Crvena zvezda2671927%73.478.8-5.4
18 Khimki M.2632312%78.490.5-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda1025221976
Bayern1516192878
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