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Split vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 63-72
17-19 13-13 14-26 19-14
Position#10
Record4-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game85.6
Split
vs
Crvena zvezda 🏆
Position#2
Record10-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game70.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 13
Domestic2022
Meetings · Split v Crvena zvezda
06 Oct 2024
SPL85
CZV78
07 Apr 2024
SPL73
CZV92
02 Jan 2023
SPL63
CZV72
02 Jan 2022
SPL62
CZV66
08 Mar 2021
SPL60
CZV71
29 Sep 2012
SPL87
CZV81
20 Jan 2009
SPL62
CZV67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Alkar
#12
W
94-88
94
88
+6
no box
A25/11
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#8
L
82-85
82
85
-3
74avg 63
H28/11
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#7
W
70-55
70
55
+15
no box
H02/12
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#14
L
88-104
88
104
-16
78avg 63
A05/12
ABA League
Cibona
#1
L
88-90
88
90
-2
no box
A07/12
Croatian Cup
Mega Basket
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
68avg 63
H11/12
ABA League
Bosco
#11
W
104-67
104
67
+37
no box
H13/12
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
89-90
89
90
-1
80avg 63
A16/12
ABA League
Cibona
#3
L
84-102
84
102
-18
no box
A19/12
Premijer liga
MZT Skopje
#15
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
A22/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
27-26
23-23
25-18
22-14
29-20
14-22
17-29
24-13
15-16
16-10
15-16
22-24
26-28
19-25
21-27
23-25
20-22
25-26
20-17
25-19
26-20
15-14
13-22
37-16
26-22
18-18
23-11
27-24
24-23
21-16
17-27
20-25
18-30
28-22
18-25
18-16
22-25
19-22
26-17
169.9Avg total
86.3Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.385.6162.9-8.233%
Season at home (5)77.681.2158.8-3.640%
Season away (7)77.188.7165.9-11.629%
Last 10 (10)86.383.6169.9+2.750%
Last 5 (5)88.282.8171.0+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)69.892.0161.8-22.20%
vs Similar (11)77.580.6158.2-3.136%
vs Weaker (14)86.876.1162.9+10.686%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
83-74
83
74
+9
81avg 74
H02/12
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#8
W
92-76
92
76
+16
no box
A04/12
ABA League
Partizan
#6
W
76-73
76
73
+3
69avg 74
A08/12
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#14
W
93-77
93
77
+16
96avg 74
H10/12
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
64avg 74
H13/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
67-71
67
71
-4
61avg 74
H15/12
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#6
W
92-58
92
58
+34
95avg 74
H18/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#1
W
90-86
90
86
+4
96avg 74
A22/12
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
86-57
86
57
+29
94avg 74
H25/12
ABA League
Barcelona
#3
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
no box
H30/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
25-18
25-14
16-19
26-21
23-18
19-28
24-9
11-20
29-13
14-19
22-21
25-22
27-14
19-26
22-15
14-22
22-15
20-21
21-15
16-26
13-17
20-14
18-14
25-16
19-17
18-18
30-7
21-22
20-23
24-17
25-24
23-13
22-24
20-8
21-12
17-28
23-15
25-14
19-27
159.4Avg total
85.0Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.970.2157.1+16.791%
Season at home (9)87.669.6157.1+18.089%
Season away (2)84.073.0157.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.074.4159.4+10.680%
Last 5 (5)85.874.2160.0+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.085.7165.7-5.733%
vs Similar (12)75.877.8153.7-2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.969.0154.9+16.993%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +5.5+5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +5.5+5.5
SplitCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alkar
#12
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A25/11
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#8
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H28/11
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#7
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H02/12
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#14
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A05/12
ABA League
Cibona
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A07/12
Croatian Cup
Mega Basket
#6
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H11/12
ABA League
Bosco
#11
W
63-38
63
38
+25
H13/12
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A16/12
ABA League
Cibona
#3
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A19/12
Premijer liga
MZT Skopje
#15
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A22/12
ABA League
89.9Avg total
47.0Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.039.982.9+3.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.735.880.5+8.973%-
Last 30 away (15)41.344.085.3-2.727%-
Last 10 (10)47.042.989.9+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)48.644.092.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.846.085.8-6.20%-
vs Similar (11)39.938.778.6+1.255%-
vs Weaker (14)46.438.684.9+7.864%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H02/12
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#8
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A04/12
ABA League
Partizan
#6
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A08/12
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#14
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H10/12
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H13/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H15/12
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#6
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H18/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A22/12
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H25/12
ABA League
Barcelona
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H30/12
Euroleague
80.5Avg total
41.8Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.637.479.0+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (19)43.337.180.4+6.374%-
Last 30 away (11)38.638.176.7+0.545%-
Last 10 (10)41.838.780.5+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.280.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.042.379.3-5.30%-
vs Similar (12)38.539.377.8-0.842%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.034.979.9+10.193%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.5
54.3%
55.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.25.9
26.6%
35.2%17.7
🏀 Free throws22.916.8
73.4%
75.8%16.8
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.121.1
63.7%
55.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.3
36.8%
35.2%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.214.1
77.5%
75.8%14.1
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
WLLWWLLWLW
Crvena zvezda
LWWWLWWWWW
#10
League position
#2
-10.2
Net rating
+19.7
104.3
Offensive rating
121.2
114.6
Defensive rating
101.5
49.1%
Effective FG%
60.0%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
15.9%
Turnover %
17.6%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
26.6%
3-point %
36.8%
56.2%
Assist %
67.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 121.2Defence114.6 · 101.5Shooting49.1% · 60.0%3-point %26.6% · 36.8%Ball care15.9% · 17.6%Off. rebounds29.5% · 31.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Split   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Split wins
7
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
02/01/22Split v Crvena zvezda62-66
24/09/21Crvena zvezda v Split97-61
08/03/21Split v Crvena zvezda60-71
15/11/20Crvena zvezda v Split78-76
18/12/12Crvena zvezda v Split94-67
29/09/12Split v Crvena zvezda87-81
20/01/09Split v Crvena zvezda62-67
25/10/08Crvena zvezda v Split83-71
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22AMZT Skopje85-80
19/12/22ACibona84-102
16/12/22ABorac Mozzart89-90
13/12/22HBosco104-67
11/12/22HMega Basket79-75
07/12/22ACibona88-90
05/12/22AMornar Bar88-104
02/12/22HGKK Sibenka70-55
28/11/22HStudentski Centar82-85
25/11/22AAlkar94-88
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/22HBarcelona94-99 OT
25/12/22HBorac Mozzart86-57
22/12/22AOlympiacos90-86
18/12/22HMega Basket92-58
15/12/22HOlimpia Milano67-71
13/12/22HZalgiris Kaunas77-73
10/12/22HMornar Bar93-77
08/12/22APartizan76-73
04/12/22AStudentski Centar92-76
02/12/22HVirtus Bologna83-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
ABA League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %33%40%29%
Points / game77.377.677.1
Allowed / game85.681.288.7
Point differential-8.2-3.6-11.6
Avg total162.9158.8165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %8%20%0%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %91%89%100%
Points / game86.987.684.0
Allowed / game70.269.673.0
Point differential+16.7+18.0+11.0
Avg total157.1157.1157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1110191%86.970.2+16.7
2 Cedevita Olimpija1210283%91.278.2+13.0
3 Partizan1210283%88.976.8+12.1
4 FMP Beograd129375%91.883.9+7.9
5 Buducnost139469%90.581.5+9.0
6 Zadar127558%90.287.8+2.5
7 Cibona136746%79.889.9-10.1
8 Igokea135838%83.485.8-2.4
9 Studentski Centar135838%81.889.5-7.8
10 Mornar Bar124833%85.890.6-4.8
11 Split124833%77.385.6-8.2
12 Mega Basket1331023%81.787.1-5.4
13 Borac Mozzart1331023%79.788.9-9.2
14 MZT Skopje1321115%80.589.5-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split1713141963
Crvena zvezda1913261472
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