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Split vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 85-78
18-16 19-23 23-22 25-17
Position#14
Record0-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game88.0
Split 🏆
vs
Position#5
Record1-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 3· Dvorana KK Split
Domestic2024
Meetings · Split v Crvena zvezda
06 Oct 2024
SPL85
CZV78
07 Apr 2024
SPL73
CZV92
02 Jan 2023
SPL63
CZV72
02 Jan 2022
SPL62
CZV66
08 Mar 2021
SPL60
CZV71
29 Sep 2012
SPL87
CZV81
20 Jan 2009
SPL62
CZV67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Cibona
#3
W
96-67
96
67
+29
93avg 77
A15/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
85-78
85
78
+7
75avg 77
A24/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
71-92
71
92
-21
61avg 77
A26/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
87-77
87
77
+10
83avg 77
H29/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
55-84
55
84
-29
40avg 77
H31/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
66-93
66
93
-27
54avg 77
A02/06
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
L
74-79
74
79
-5
69avg 77
H21/09
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
W
98-90
98
90
+8
95avg 77
H26/09
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
75-97
75
97
-22
63avg 77
A28/09
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#11
W
90-59
90
59
+31
97avg 77
H04/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
24-15
27-16
19-18
26-20
20-20
18-22
21-16
15-25
19-26
23-18
14-23
21-22
27-20
13-23
26-12
16-23
18-24
16-16
5-21
18-26
13-23
16-26
19-18
14-14
18-21
31-24
11-20
14-24
35-16
21-25
28-25
13-33
27-26
14-19
21-19
23-9
29-14
22-26
16-10
161.3Avg total
79.7Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.588.0162.5-13.50%
Season at home (1)74.079.0153.0-5.00%
Season away (1)75.097.0172.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)79.781.6161.3-1.950%
Last 5 (5)80.683.6164.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.887.7161.5-13.920%
vs Similar (1)76.083.0159.0-7.00%
vs Weaker (19)89.073.5162.5+15.595%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#2
W
97-87
97
87
+10
82avg 81
H24/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
W
98-75
98
75
+23
86avg 81
A27/05
Super League
Partizan
#4
W
89-88
89
88
+1
70avg 81
H03/06
Super League
Partizan
#4
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A05/06
Super League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
92-94
92
94
-2
no box
A12/09
VTB Super Cup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
86-76
86
76
+10
no box
A13/09
VTB Super Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
H14/09
VTB Super Cup
Dubai
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
82avg 81
A22/09
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
91-72
91
72
+19
86avg 81
H28/09
ABA League
Paris
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
80avg 81
A04/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-13
18-29
25-23
27-22
24-13
26-17
22-28
26-17
31-24
20-28
26-21
12-15
–
–
–
–
11-23
25-23
26-26
30-22
23-16
22-27
20-16
21-17
16-20
23-13
11-23
20-27
16-28
25-22
22-16
21-20
22-14
23-27
22-17
24-14
17-18
18-25
23-15
22-19
154.5Avg total
80.7Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.579.0166.5+8.550%
Season at home (1)91.072.0163.0+19.0100%
Season away (1)84.086.0170.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)80.773.8154.5+6.970%
Last 5 (5)82.278.8161.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)83.691.2174.8-7.60%
vs Similar (9)80.083.9163.9-3.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.569.9158.4+18.694%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.3+3.3
SplitCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#3
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A15/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A24/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A26/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H29/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H31/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A02/06
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H21/09
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H26/09
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A28/09
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#11
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H04/10
Premijer liga
83.5Avg total
41.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.739.782.4+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.437.681.0+5.869%-
Last 30 away (14)41.942.083.9-0.164%-
Last 10 (10)41.641.983.5-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.841.282.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.745.283.9-6.530%-
vs Similar (1)41.043.084.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker (19)44.936.681.5+8.389%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H24/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A27/05
Super League
Partizan
#4
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H03/06
Super League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A12/09
VTB Super Cup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A13/09
VTB Super Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H14/09
VTB Super Cup
Dubai
#4
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A22/09
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H28/09
ABA League
Paris
#9
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A04/10
Euroleague
85.2Avg total
43.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.939.583.3+4.462%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.339.183.4+5.360%-
Last 30 away (14)43.439.983.3+3.464%-
Last 10 (9)43.042.285.2+0.856%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.083.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.443.283.6-2.840%-
vs Similar (9)39.941.381.2-1.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.437.184.5+10.387%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.5
55.2%
54.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.5
31.6%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.814.4
72.7%
75.6%14.4
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.817.8
61.8%
54.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.2
36.4%
35.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.216.2
76.4%
75.6%16.2
They take 54.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
WLWLLLWLWW
Crvena zvezda
WWLLWLWWWW
#14
League position
#5
-2.6
Net rating
+10.9
108.3
Offensive rating
120.6
110.9
Defensive rating
109.7
51.8%
Effective FG%
58.4%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
17.2%
Turnover %
15.3%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.39
31.6%
3-point %
36.4%
60.4%
Assist %
72.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 120.6Defence110.9 · 109.7Shooting51.8% · 58.4%3-point %31.6% · 36.4%Ball care17.2% · 15.3%Off. rebounds29.7% · 30.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Split   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Split wins
9
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
07/04/24Split v Crvena zvezda73-92
24/12/23Crvena zvezda v Split89-67
17/04/23Crvena zvezda v Split83-74
02/01/23Split v Crvena zvezda63-72
02/01/22Split v Crvena zvezda62-66
24/09/21Crvena zvezda v Split97-61
08/03/21Split v Crvena zvezda60-71
15/11/20Crvena zvezda v Split78-76
18/12/12Crvena zvezda v Split94-67
29/09/12Split v Crvena zvezda87-81
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/24HDubrovnik90-59
28/09/24ABuducnost75-97
26/09/24HKvarner98-90
21/09/24HIgokea74-79
02/06/24AZadar66-93
31/05/24HZadar55-84
29/05/24HZadar87-77
26/05/24AZadar71-92
24/05/24AZadar85-78
15/05/24ACibona96-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/24AParis80-77
28/09/24HMornar Bar91-72
22/09/24ADubai84-86
14/09/24HZenit Petersburg70-83
13/09/24ALokomotiv Kuban86-76
12/09/24ACSKA Moscow92-94
05/06/24APartizan20-0
03/06/24HPartizan89-88
27/05/24AFMP Beograd98-75
24/05/24HFMP Beograd97-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
ABA League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.574.075.0
Allowed / game88.079.097.0
Point differential-13.5-5.0-22.0
Avg total162.5153.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game87.591.084.0
Allowed / game79.072.086.0
Point differential+8.5+19.0-2.0
Avg total166.5163.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost330100%90.365.7+24.7
2 Partizan220100%92.573.0+19.5
3 Mega Basket330100%82.076.7+5.3
4 FMP Beograd32167%76.370.7+5.7
5 Dubai32167%86.083.7+2.3
6 Igokea32167%76.375.3+1.0
7 Crvena zvezda21150%87.579.0+8.5
8 Zadar21150%81.574.0+7.5
9 Studentski Centar21150%76.575.5+1.0
10 Cibona21150%72.078.0-6.0
11 Cedevita Olimpija31233%79.383.0-3.7
12 Spartak Subotica31233%81.786.7-5.0
13 Borac Mozzart31233%71.080.3-9.3
14 KK Krka Novo mesto3030%76.083.0-7.0
15 Split2020%74.588.0-13.5
16 Mornar Bar3030%68.393.7-25.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split1819232585
Crvena zvezda1623221778
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