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Split vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 73-92
19-25 18-24 19-17 17-26
Position#8
Record11-14
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game80.0
Split
vs
Crvena zvezda 🏆
Position#1
Record21-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game72.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 26· Dvorana KK Split
Domestic2023
Meetings · Split v Crvena zvezda
06 Oct 2024
SPL85
CZV78
07 Apr 2024
SPL73
CZV92
02 Jan 2023
SPL63
CZV72
02 Jan 2022
SPL62
CZV66
08 Mar 2021
SPL60
CZV71
29 Sep 2012
SPL87
CZV81
20 Jan 2009
SPL62
CZV67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#9
W
93-68
93
68
+25
99avg 77
A10/03
Premijer liga
Alkar
#11
W
89-68
89
68
+21
91avg 77
H13/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
89-80
89
80
+9
85avg 77
A16/03
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
72avg 77
A18/03
ABA League
Cibona
#12
L
76-83
76
83
-7
77avg 77
H22/03
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
88-68
88
68
+20
95avg 77
H25/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
80-65
80
65
+15
77avg 77
A29/03
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#4
L
78-92
78
92
-14
61avg 77
A31/03
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
74-51
74
51
+23
68avg 77
H02/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
76-108
76
108
-32
68avg 77
A05/04
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
21-15
26-16
25-23
19-13
23-26
23-15
24-14
29-27
19-17
22-18
19-18
14-15
24-20
19-16
23-25
24-17
17-26
21-18
14-22
23-10
17-20
21-26
27-12
20-23
21-17
26-17
13-8
25-22
17-27
19-25
17-18
19-8
15-17
20-9
20-17
13-34
23-24
25-30
15-20
158.2Avg total
82.3Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.580.0156.5-3.444%
Season at home (12)78.377.2155.6+1.150%
Season away (13)74.882.5157.3-7.638%
Last 10 (10)82.375.9158.2+6.470%
Last 5 (5)79.276.8156.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)73.579.5153.0-6.038%
vs Similar (5)81.882.0163.8-0.260%
vs Weaker (16)86.976.2163.1+10.788%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Monaco
#3
L
80-98
80
98
-18
78avg 82
A07/03
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
110-57
110
57
+53
118avg 82
H10/03
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
75avg 82
H14/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
W
82-59
82
59
+23
85avg 82
A17/03
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
76-89
76
89
-13
73avg 82
H20/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
94-79
94
79
+15
102avg 82
H22/03
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#4
L
83-89
83
89
-6
69avg 82
H25/03
ABA League
Real Madrid
#1
L
94-101
94
101
-7
86avg 82
A29/03
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
100avg 82
H01/04
ABA League
Olympiacos
#4
L
86-89
86
89
-3
86avg 82
H04/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
21-21
22-23
20-29
31-11
25-16
25-17
29-13
21-17
26-14
14-22
19-31
21-14
21-16
20-20
20-9
20-29
21-22
15-19
20-19
21-23
27-19
26-23
20-14
18-24
30-17
21-22
14-26
21-20
26-24
28-28
19-29
30-18
17-16
27-21
20-21
14-23
25-19
25-21
22-26
170.0Avg total
87.9Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)88.772.2160.9+16.684%
Season at home (13)90.967.2158.1+23.892%
Season away (12)86.377.6163.9+8.875%
Last 10 (10)87.982.1170.0+5.840%
Last 5 (5)90.286.8177.0+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.288.8174.0-3.525%
vs Similar (11)82.880.7163.5+2.145%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.073.5161.5+14.564%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
SplitCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#9
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A10/03
Premijer liga
Alkar
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H13/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A16/03
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A18/03
ABA League
Cibona
#12
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H22/03
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H25/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A29/03
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A31/03
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H02/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A05/04
Premijer liga
79.6Avg total
40.4Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.081.9+1.967%-
Last 30 at home (11)42.638.180.7+4.591%-
Last 30 away (19)41.441.182.5+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)40.439.279.6+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.479.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.442.582.9-2.150%-
vs Similar (5)38.439.878.2-1.440%-
vs Weaker (16)43.939.183.0+4.981%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A07/03
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
56-27
56
27
+29
H10/03
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H14/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A17/03
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H20/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H22/03
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#4
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H25/03
ABA League
Real Madrid
#1
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A29/03
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#9
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H01/04
ABA League
Olympiacos
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H04/04
Euroleague
84.1Avg total
45.3Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.438.281.7+5.260%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.237.683.8+8.772%-
Last 30 away (12)39.239.278.5+0.042%-
Last 10 (10)45.338.884.1+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)45.840.686.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.243.083.2-2.825%-
vs Similar (11)43.637.581.1+6.264%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.437.682.1+6.864%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.6
53.9%
54.3%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.2
36.1%
34.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.313.6
74.3%
73.8%13.6
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.122.0
59.3%
54.3%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.3
38.0%
34.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.415.6
76.5%
73.8%15.6
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
LWLWWLWWWW
Crvena zvezda
LWLLWLWLWL
#8
League position
#1
+8.6
Net rating
+9.0
110.9
Offensive rating
118.7
102.3
Defensive rating
109.8
54.0%
Effective FG%
58.4%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.1%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.1%
3-point %
38.0%
70.8%
Assist %
74.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 118.7Defence102.3 · 109.8Shooting54.0% · 58.4%3-point %36.1% · 38.0%Ball care17.9% · 17.1%Off. rebounds30.3% · 31.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Split   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Split wins
9
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
24/12/23Crvena zvezda v Split89-67
17/04/23Crvena zvezda v Split83-74
02/01/23Split v Crvena zvezda63-72
02/01/22Split v Crvena zvezda62-66
24/09/21Crvena zvezda v Split97-61
08/03/21Split v Crvena zvezda60-71
15/11/20Crvena zvezda v Split78-76
18/12/12Crvena zvezda v Split94-67
29/09/12Split v Crvena zvezda87-81
20/01/09Split v Crvena zvezda62-67
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/24ACedevita Junior76-108
02/04/24HDinamo Zagreb74-51
31/03/24AMega Basket78-92
29/03/24ADubrovnik80-65
25/03/24HGKK Sibenka88-68
22/03/24HCibona76-83
18/03/24AKK Krka Novo mesto80-76
16/03/24AZabok89-80
13/03/24HAlkar89-68
10/03/24ADubrava93-68
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/24HOlympiacos86-89
01/04/24HStudentski Centar94-76
29/03/24AReal Madrid94-101
25/03/24HMega Basket83-89
22/03/24HVirtus Bologna94-79
20/03/24HPanathinaikos76-89
17/03/24ACibona82-59
14/03/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv80-84
10/03/24HKK Krka Novo mesto110-57
07/03/24AMonaco80-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
ABA League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL44%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game76.578.374.8
Allowed / game80.077.282.5
Point differential-3.4+1.1-7.6
Avg total156.5155.6157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)33% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW84%
HomeWWWLW92%
AwayWLLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %84%92%75%
Points / game88.790.986.3
Allowed / game72.267.277.6
Point differential+16.6+23.8+8.8
Avg total160.9158.1163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%77%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2521484%88.772.2+16.6
2 Partizan2519676%92.475.7+16.7
3 Buducnost2619773%84.877.0+7.8
4 Mega Basket26161062%86.482.3+4.1
5 Cedevita Olimpija26161062%86.084.0+2.0
6 Zadar25141156%79.075.8+3.2
7 Igokea26131350%78.581.4-3.0
8 Split25111444%76.580.0-3.4
9 Studentski Centar26111542%84.886.2-1.3
10 Borac Mozzart26101638%79.483.9-4.5
11 FMP Beograd26101638%78.284.4-6.3
12 Cibona2691735%78.284.2-6.0
13 Mornar Bar2662023%77.890.3-12.5
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2652119%75.487.5-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split1918191773
Crvena zvezda2524172692
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