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Split vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-95
35-21 15-28 21-30 16-16
Position#11
Record3-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#5
Record5-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game62.3
EuropeABA LeagueRound 8
Domestic2020
Meetings · Split v Mornar Bar
27 Dec 2024
SPL87
MBA73
08 Mar 2024
SPL87
MBA75
17 Mar 2023
SPL91
MBA80
11 Mar 2022
SPL76
MBA67
21 Nov 2020
SPL87
MBA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
L
66-94
66
94
-28
A16/10
ABA League
Hermes
#12
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H17/10
Premijer liga
Igokea
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H24/10
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A01/11
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
102-69
102
69
+33
H06/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#9
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H08/11
ABA League
Zadar
#1
L
61-88
61
88
-27
A12/11
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#11
W
95-88
95
88
+7
A14/11
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A15/11
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
96-85
96
85
+11
H19/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
19-23
14-39
14-13
23-26
25-16
15-12
21-15
11-16
17-25
25-18
25-20
26-15
13-19
20-16
13-16
29-15
27-19
20-16
26-19
9-24
22-20
29-17
17-13
8-17
15-23
28-23
10-25
23-20
30-20
25-20
17-28
24-18
18-20
17-22
17-18
29-17
26-21
20-24
21-23
159.7Avg total
80.7Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.478.0151.4-4.643%
Season at home (3)80.374.7155.0+5.767%
Season away (4)68.280.5148.8-12.225%
Last 10 (10)80.779.0159.7+1.760%
Last 5 (5)81.082.6163.6-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.084.2158.2-10.225%
vs Similar (5)79.074.2153.2+4.880%
vs Weaker (17)90.477.3167.7+13.182%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#20
W
95-76
95
76
+19
H14/10
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
62-93
62
93
-31
A18/10
ABA League
Levallois
#8
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A20/10
Eurocup
Buducnost
#12
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
H28/10
Eurocup
Mega Soccerbet
#6
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H31/10
ABA League
Ulm
#13
L
66-82
66
82
-16
H03/11
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A07/11
ABA League
Unicaja
#10
L
72-98
72
98
-26
A11/11
Eurocup
Primorska
#15
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H14/11
ABA League
Brescia
#20
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A18/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-10
22-25
22-21
21-20
23-24
13-22
11-21
15-26
10-15
23-24
21-20
11-19
22-22
17-20
20-14
17-20
25-28
19-15
15-8
21-22
19-27
24-14
9-15
14-26
23-16
25-24
16-16
20-18
16-27
18-27
18-21
20-23
–
–
–
–
14-20
24-21
18-16
19-20
143.7Avg total
70.4Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.862.3135.2+10.583%
Season at home (3)69.747.0116.7+22.7100%
Season away (3)76.077.7153.7-1.767%
Last 10 (10)70.473.3143.7-2.950%
Last 5 (5)63.466.2129.6-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.988.2167.1-9.330%
vs Similar (7)78.675.6154.1+3.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.070.2154.2+13.885%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -4.0-4.0
SplitMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A16/10
ABA League
Hermes
#12
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H17/10
Premijer liga
Igokea
#4
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H24/10
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A01/11
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H06/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#9
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H08/11
ABA League
Zadar
#1
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A12/11
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#11
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A14/11
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A15/11
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H19/11
Premijer liga
80.6Avg total
41.3Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.882.4+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.737.582.2+7.277%-
Last 30 away (17)42.839.782.5+3.153%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.380.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.080.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.939.576.4-2.638%-
vs Similar (5)38.240.078.2-1.860%-
vs Weaker (17)48.438.186.5+10.476%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#20
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H14/10
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A18/10
ABA League
Levallois
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A20/10
Eurocup
Buducnost
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H28/10
Eurocup
Mega Soccerbet
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H31/10
ABA League
Ulm
#13
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H03/11
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A07/11
ABA League
Unicaja
#10
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A11/11
Eurocup
Brescia
#20
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A18/11
Eurocup
83.1Avg total
40.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.339.983.2+3.362%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.539.786.2+6.879%-
Last 30 away (15)40.340.180.4+0.147%-
Last 10 (9)40.842.383.1-1.644%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.885.2-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.242.684.8-0.450%-
vs Similar (7)43.138.181.3+5.071%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.238.883.0+5.567%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.7 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.417.9
47.7%
52.4%35.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.7
34.2%
36.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.613.4
68.6%
75.0%13.4
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.718.0
55.0%
52.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.3
36.5%
36.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.614.3
73.0%
75.0%14.3
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
WLWLWWWLWL
Mornar Bar
LWLWLWWLLW
#11
League position
#5
-6.9
Net rating
+0.7
102.7
Offensive rating
105.0
109.6
Defensive rating
104.3
49.0%
Effective FG%
54.9%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.5%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
20.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.2%
3-point %
36.5%
64.8%
Assist %
64.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 105.0Defence109.6 · 104.3Shooting49.0% · 54.9%3-point %34.2% · 36.5%Ball care16.5% · 18.5%Off. rebounds29.2% · 20.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Split   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Split wins
0
Mornar Bar wins
No previous meetings.
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/20HCibona96-85
15/11/20ACrvena zvezda76-78
14/11/20ADubrava95-88
12/11/20AZadar61-88
08/11/20HCibona77-74
06/11/20HZabok102-69
01/11/20AZadar72-66
24/10/20HIgokea78-79
17/10/20HHermes84-69
16/10/20ACedevita Olimpija66-94
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/20ABrescia75-77
14/11/20HPrimorska20-0
11/11/20AUnicaja72-98
07/11/20AKK Krka Novo mesto84-74
03/11/20HUlm66-82
31/10/20HMega Soccerbet80-73
28/10/20HBuducnost85-82 OT
20/10/20ALevallois65-78
18/10/20ACrvena zvezda62-93
14/10/20HBrescia95-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
ABA League 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game73.480.368.2
Allowed / game78.074.780.5
Point differential-4.6+5.7-12.2
Avg total151.4155.0148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game72.869.776.0
Allowed / game62.347.077.7
Point differential+10.5+22.7-1.7
Avg total135.2116.7153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda770100%79.157.6+21.6
2 Buducnost440100%87.079.2+7.8
3 Mornar Bar65183%72.862.3+10.5
4 Cedevita Olimpija54180%73.061.8+11.2
5 Igokea54180%64.263.0+1.2
6 Mega Soccerbet75271%80.775.9+4.9
7 Partizan74357%87.183.3+3.9
8 Split73443%73.478.0-4.6
9 FMP Beograd52340%70.070.6-0.6
10 Cibona72529%65.173.1-8.0
11 KK Krka Novo mesto82625%71.278.2-7.0
12 Zadar61517%62.065.8-3.8
13 Borac Mozzart71614%82.690.9-8.3
14 Primorska7070%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split3515211687
Mornar Bar2128301695
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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