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Split vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 91-80
28-28 25-14 20-18 18-20
Position#10
Record8-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game86.6
Split 🏆
vs
Position#14
Record7-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game91.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 22
Domestic2022
Meetings · Split v Mornar Bar
27 Dec 2024
SPL87
MBA73
08 Mar 2024
SPL87
MBA75
17 Mar 2023
SPL91
MBA80
11 Mar 2022
SPL76
MBA67
21 Nov 2020
SPL87
MBA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
88-73
88
73
+15
no box
A29/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
83avg 70
H03/02
ABA League
Zabok
#10
W
109-76
109
76
+33
no box
A05/02
Premijer liga
Cibona
#11
W
90-72
90
72
+18
90avg 70
A10/02
ABA League
Alkar
#12
W
91-67
91
67
+24
no box
H13/02
Premijer liga
Gorica
#13
W
110-64
110
64
+46
no box
H16/02
Premijer liga
Partizan
#1
L
95-96
95
96
-1
94avg 70
H04/03
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#7
W
92-66
92
66
+26
no box
A05/03
Premijer liga
Bosco
#11
W
104-71
104
71
+33
no box
A10/03
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#8
L
84-96
84
96
-12
69avg 70
A13/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
29-12
20-21
21-26
17-27
19-24
28-18
25-16
28-23
22-13
33-13
26-27
19-16
30-14
23-16
18-26
21-22
28-21
19-13
23-11
28-11
26-12
32-21
24-20
24-27
23-21
24-23
24-25
23-16
26-14
22-17
21-19
26-10
24-17
32-23
22-21
18-16
25-28
26-29
15-23
171.8Avg total
95.2Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.386.6167.9-5.338%
Season at home (10)81.383.9165.2-2.640%
Season away (11)81.389.0170.3-7.736%
Last 10 (10)95.276.6171.8+18.680%
Last 5 (5)97.078.6175.6+18.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.389.8172.2-7.517%
vs Similar (8)85.487.8173.1-2.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.473.8164.2+16.687%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#5
L
102-113
102
113
-11
90avg 74
H03/01
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
77-97
77
97
-20
51avg 74
A15/01
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
68avg 74
H20/01
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
74-92
74
92
-18
69avg 74
A29/01
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
L
74-94
74
94
-20
47avg 74
A05/02
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
93-84
93
84
+9
91avg 74
H10/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#6
W
103-98
103
98
+5
no box
H14/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#1
L
80-100
80
100
-20
no box
A15/02
Montenegrin Cup
Mega Basket
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
72avg 74
A06/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
104-99
104
99
+5
102avg 74
H12/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
29-33
25-25
24-37
16-23
18-30
15-25
28-19
26-15
16-21
22-20
19-25
26-28
15-13
21-30
12-21
21-29
16-20
21-19
16-26
27-26
19-20
22-22
25-16
25-29
20-20
19-25
39-24
25-17
20-27
17-29
18-27
24-20
15-21
17-19
22-29
31-27
22-28
29-26
22-18
181.5Avg total
86.8Scored
94.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.791.8177.5-6.135%
Season at home (10)89.593.0182.5-3.550%
Season away (10)81.990.6172.5-8.720%
Last 10 (10)86.894.7181.5-7.940%
Last 5 (5)91.694.0185.6-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)84.394.9179.2-10.623%
vs Similar (16)82.982.2165.1+0.756%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +7.6+7.6Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +7.6+7.6Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
SplitMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A29/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#9
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H03/02
ABA League
Zabok
#10
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A05/02
Premijer liga
Cibona
#11
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A10/02
ABA League
Alkar
#12
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H13/02
Premijer liga
Gorica
#13
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H16/02
Premijer liga
Partizan
#1
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H04/03
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#7
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A05/03
Premijer liga
Bosco
#11
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A10/03
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A13/03
ABA League
83.2Avg total
47.4Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.140.785.8+4.543%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.838.583.3+6.254%-
Last 30 away (17)45.442.387.7+3.135%-
Last 10 (10)47.435.883.2+11.670%-
Last 5 (5)48.634.483.0+14.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.242.382.5-2.20%-
vs Similar (8)45.846.992.6-1.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.936.383.2+10.767%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#5
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H03/01
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A15/01
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H20/01
ABA League
Partizan
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A29/01
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A05/02
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H10/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H14/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A15/02
Montenegrin Cup
Mega Basket
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A06/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H12/03
ABA League
90.0Avg total
43.5Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.045.387.4-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.545.388.9-1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)40.545.385.9-4.820%-
Last 10 (10)43.546.590.0-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)45.647.092.6-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.847.888.5-7.031%-
vs Similar (16)42.943.186.0-0.244%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.123.0
54.6%
55.6%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.9
31.7%
35.2%20.7
🏀 Free throws23.818.7
78.6%
75.8%18.7
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.2
54.0%
55.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.0
31.8%
35.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.216.9
72.8%
75.8%16.9
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
LWWLWWWWWW
Mornar Bar
WLLWWLLWLL
#10
League position
#14
-0.9
Net rating
-13.1
114.6
Offensive rating
110.2
115.5
Defensive rating
123.3
52.2%
Effective FG%
51.3%
58.3%
Opp. effective FG%
61.9%
14.3%
Turnover %
15.9%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.7%
3-point %
31.8%
57.9%
Assist %
57.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 110.2Defence115.5 · 123.3Shooting52.2% · 51.3%3-point %31.7% · 31.8%Ball care14.3% · 15.9%Off. rebounds32.4% · 32.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Split   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Split wins
4
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
05/12/22Mornar Bar v Split104-88
11/03/22Split v Mornar Bar76-67
21/11/21Mornar Bar v Split81-65
15/03/21Mornar Bar v Split81-71
21/11/20Split v Mornar Bar87-95
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/23AStudentski Centar84-96
10/03/23ABosco104-71
05/03/23AGKK Sibenka92-66
04/03/23HPartizan95-96
16/02/23HGorica110-64
13/02/23HAlkar91-67
10/02/23ACibona90-72
05/02/23AZabok109-76
03/02/23HZadar89-85
29/01/23ADinamo Zagreb88-73
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23HBorac Mozzart104-99
06/03/23AMega Basket78-89
15/02/23ABuducnost80-100
14/02/23HStudentski Centar103-98
10/02/23HMZT Skopje93-84
05/02/23AStudentski Centar74-94
29/01/23APartizan74-92
20/01/23HCibona83-81
15/01/23AZadar77-97
03/01/23HFMP Beograd102-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
ABA League 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL38%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayWLWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%40%36%
Points / game81.381.381.3
Allowed / game86.683.989.0
Point differential-5.3-2.6-7.7
Avg total167.9165.2170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW35%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%50%20%
Points / game85.789.581.9
Allowed / game91.893.090.6
Point differential-6.1-3.5-8.7
Avg total177.5182.5172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2119290%94.877.5+17.3
2 Crvena zvezda2017385%87.272.5+14.7
3 Buducnost2115671%87.077.8+9.1
4 Cedevita Olimpija2014670%86.379.6+6.8
5 FMP Beograd2112957%88.785.3+3.4
6 Zadar21101148%87.186.6+0.5
7 Mega Basket21101148%85.986.3-0.4
8 Studentski Centar21101148%86.190.0-3.9
9 Split2181338%81.386.6-5.3
10 Cibona2181338%79.690.0-10.4
11 Mornar Bar2071335%85.791.8-6.1
12 Igokea2061430%81.287.0-5.8
13 Borac Mozzart2151624%80.789.6-8.9
14 MZT Skopje2141719%79.990.4-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split2825201891
Mornar Bar2814182080
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