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Split vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-75
24-19 26-24 17-11 20-21
Position#8
Record9-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game79.7
Split 🏆
vs
Position#13
Record4-17
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game89.7
EuropeABA LeagueRound 22· Dvorana KK Split
Domestic2023
Meetings · Split v Mornar Bar
27 Dec 2024
SPL87
MBA73
08 Mar 2024
SPL87
MBA75
17 Mar 2023
SPL91
MBA80
11 Mar 2022
SPL76
MBA67
21 Nov 2020
SPL87
MBA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
W
67-65
67
65
+2
60avg 76
H26/01
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
W
78-66
78
66
+12
73avg 76
H29/01
ABA League
Alkar
#11
W
91-86
91
86
+5
89avg 76
A31/01
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
105-92
105
92
+13
105avg 76
H02/02
Premijer liga
Partizan
#3
W
74-67
74
67
+7
67avg 76
A05/02
ABA League
Zabok
#7
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 76
A08/02
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#2
L
75-81
75
81
-6
73avg 76
H10/02
ABA League
Zadar
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
62avg 76
A14/02
Croatian Cup
Zadar
#6
L
61-77
61
77
-16
54avg 76
A01/03
ABA League
Bosco
#13
W
91-77
91
77
+14
88avg 76
A03/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
23-20
13-22
14-4
18-18
12-9
18-26
30-13
21-15
20-26
26-19
24-26
23-27
28-23
26-16
28-26
17-19
27-11
15-15
15-22
24-21
12-30
20-19
26-18
19-17
20-21
24-19
12-24
20-16
18-30
20-16
15-18
19-25
12-19
9-19
21-14
15-26
38-17
25-17
13-17
157.6Avg total
79.7Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.879.7155.5-3.943%
Season at home (10)77.776.9154.6+0.850%
Season away (11)74.182.2156.3-8.136%
Last 10 (10)79.777.9157.6+1.860%
Last 5 (5)76.480.6157.0-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.877.7152.4-2.944%
vs Similar (5)81.281.6162.8-0.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.575.5167.1+16.093%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
68avg 65
H23/12
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
76-98
76
98
-22
65avg 65
H30/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
100-103 OT
100
103
-3
92avg 65
A05/01
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
86-78
86
78
+8
81avg 65
H13/01
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
84avg 65
H20/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
72-79
72
79
-7
63avg 65
A27/01
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
88-85
88
85
+3
79avg 65
H05/02
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
87-101
87
101
-14
76avg 65
A11/02
ABA League
Podgorica
#4
L
92-94
92
94
-2
no box
A13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
66-102
66
102
-36
44avg 65
H03/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
22-22
11-20
23-16
18-22
14-22
24-23
20-31
20-23
26-25
22-20
18-18
25-21
19-21
18-14
24-22
26-22
36-21
13-23
16-20
15-21
22-17
22-18
13-23
21-17
25-23
20-19
22-26
27-26
21-24
17-22
22-29
18-19
15-30
21-15
38-30
23-21
13-26
14-31
16-24
173.6Avg total
83.3Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.189.7165.9-13.619%
Season at home (11)76.788.5165.3-11.836%
Season away (10)75.591.0166.5-15.50%
Last 10 (10)83.390.3173.6-7.030%
Last 5 (5)81.092.2173.2-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)75.289.6164.8-14.515%
vs Similar (2)79.081.0160.0-2.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
SplitMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H26/01
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H29/01
ABA League
Alkar
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A31/01
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H02/02
Premijer liga
Partizan
#3
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A05/02
ABA League
Zabok
#7
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A08/02
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H10/02
ABA League
Zadar
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A14/02
Croatian Cup
Zadar
#6
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A01/03
ABA League
Bosco
#13
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A03/03
Premijer liga
81.2Avg total
40.3Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.839.683.4+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.338.683.9+6.892%-
Last 30 away (18)42.740.383.1+2.444%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.981.2-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.483.8-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.941.482.3-0.656%-
vs Similar (5)38.439.477.8-1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.738.986.5+8.873%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H23/12
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H30/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A05/01
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H13/01
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
W
62-43
62
43
+19
H20/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A27/01
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H05/02
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A11/02
ABA League
Podgorica
#4
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H03/03
ABA League
86.7Avg total
42.5Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.544.583.0-5.930%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.144.684.7-4.438%-
Last 30 away (14)36.744.481.1-7.621%-
Last 10 (10)42.544.286.7-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.884.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)39.343.983.2-4.635%-
vs Similar (2)39.544.083.5-4.50%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.5
52.4%
54.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.0
34.5%
34.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.413.7
74.5%
73.8%13.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.4
51.8%
54.3%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.2
34.7%
34.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.516.0
71.1%
73.8%16.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
WLLLLWWWWW
Mornar Bar
LLLWLWWLLL
#8
League position
#13
+1.8
Net rating
-9.6
110.8
Offensive rating
104.1
109.0
Defensive rating
113.7
52.2%
Effective FG%
51.9%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.9%
Turnover %
14.1%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
19.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.5%
3-point %
34.7%
64.2%
Assist %
55.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 104.1Defence109.0 · 113.7Shooting52.2% · 51.9%3-point %34.5% · 34.7%Ball care16.9% · 14.1%Off. rebounds33.5% · 19.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Split   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Split wins
4
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
26/11/23Mornar Bar v Split76-93
17/03/23Split v Mornar Bar91-80
05/12/22Mornar Bar v Split104-88
11/03/22Split v Mornar Bar76-67
21/11/21Mornar Bar v Split81-65
15/03/21Mornar Bar v Split81-71
21/11/20Split v Mornar Bar87-95
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24ABosco91-77
01/03/24AZadar61-77
14/02/24AZadar73-80
10/02/24HBuducnost75-81
08/02/24AZabok82-88
05/02/24APartizan74-67
02/02/24HSkrljevo105-92
31/01/24AAlkar91-86
29/01/24HFMP Beograd78-66
26/01/24HZadar67-65
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HCrvena zvezda66-102
13/02/24APodgorica92-94
11/02/24AMega Basket87-101
05/02/24HCibona88-85
27/01/24AKK Krka Novo mesto72-79
20/01/24HStudentski Centar91-86
13/01/24HZadar86-78
05/01/24ABuducnost100-103 OT
30/12/23HPartizan76-98
23/12/23HFMP Beograd75-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
ABA League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeWWWWL50%
AwayWWLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%50%36%
Points / game75.877.774.1
Allowed / game79.776.982.2
Point differential-3.9+0.8-8.1
Avg total155.5154.6156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%30%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL19%
HomeLWWWL36%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %19%36%0%
Points / game76.176.775.5
Allowed / game89.788.591.0
Point differential-13.6-11.8-15.5
Avg total165.9165.3166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2118386%88.072.5+15.5
2 Buducnost2116576%84.576.1+8.4
3 Partizan2115671%93.676.0+17.5
4 Cedevita Olimpija2114767%86.684.0+2.6
5 Zadar2213959%78.975.7+3.1
6 Mega Basket21111052%86.083.1+2.8
7 Igokea22111150%77.881.1-3.4
8 Studentski Centar21101148%85.785.6+0.1
9 Split2191243%75.879.7-3.9
10 Cibona2181338%79.784.6-5.0
11 Borac Mozzart2181338%78.183.5-5.4
12 FMP Beograd2171433%77.184.3-7.2
13 KK Krka Novo mesto2141719%74.786.4-11.8
14 Mornar Bar2141719%76.189.7-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split2426172087
Mornar Bar1924112175
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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