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Sporting CP vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 72-90
14-18 14-26 20-24 24-22
Position#24
Record4-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Bilbao 🏆
Position#1
Record8-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game98.8
Allowed / game68.1
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sporting CP winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sporting CPLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
Braga
#7
W
88-74
88
74
+14
81avg 80
H15/11
LPB
Valcea
#38
W
121-67
121
67
+54
130avg 80
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#8
L
87-95
87
95
-8
82avg 80
A06/12
LPB
Bilbao
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
68avg 80
A10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#5
L
62-70
62
70
-8
56avg 80
H17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
89-67
89
67
+22
85avg 80
H20/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
86-76
86
76
+10
85avg 80
A28/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
91-70
91
70
+21
92avg 80
A03/01
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
83-64
83
64
+19
90avg 80
H09/01
LPB
BC Prievidza
#22
L
82-94
82
94
-12
no box
A14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
18-24
24-16
19-16
37-20
31-21
24-17
29-9
25-22
25-23
17-27
20-23
23-26
15-23
25-25
16-20
21-15
15-20
13-23
13-12
26-16
24-17
21-19
18-15
27-25
17-16
18-17
24-18
28-25
23-19
18-13
22-13
21-15
18-17
22-12
22-20
27-22
19-25
19-14
17-33
163.9Avg total
86.8Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.280.6164.8+3.744%
Season at home (4)85.272.2157.5+13.075%
Season away (5)83.487.2170.6-3.820%
Last 10 (10)86.877.1163.9+9.760%
Last 5 (5)86.274.2160.4+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)73.587.6161.1-14.112%
vs Similar (8)77.682.9160.5-5.238%
vs Weaker (14)94.674.5169.1+20.193%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#24
W
94-79
94
79
+15
88avg 78
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
93-75
93
75
+18
92avg 78
H14/12
ACB
BC Prievidza
#22
W
83-46
83
46
+37
86avg 78
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
L
99-100
99
100
-1
95avg 78
A21/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
66-71
66
71
-5
56avg 78
H28/12
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
72-116
72
116
-44
54avg 78
H02/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
93-89
93
89
+4
85avg 78
A04/01
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
96-82
96
82
+14
88avg 78
H10/01
ACB
PAOK
#5
W
95-73
95
73
+22
94avg 78
H13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#8
W
95-78
95
78
+17
no box
H17/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
23-15
25-25
20-16
15-17
17-14
32-26
29-18
27-12
16-18
16-9
24-7
23-21
24-24
22-26
30-29
25-16
8-18
13-15
20-22
11-24
24-13
18-36
19-43
16-22
26-26
20-18
31-23
18-17
23-23
23-15
32-27
31-16
18-23
25-15
21-19
24-21
31-12
17-21
23-24
169.5Avg total
88.6Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)98.868.1166.9+30.789%
Season at home (5)100.478.0178.4+22.480%
Season away (4)96.855.8152.5+41.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.680.9169.5+7.770%
Last 5 (5)90.287.6177.8+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.092.4168.4-16.414%
vs Similar (10)88.688.7177.3-0.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)96.069.3165.3+26.792%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
Sporting CPBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Braga
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H15/11
LPB
Valcea
#38
W
68-41
68
41
+27
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#8
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A06/12
LPB
Bilbao
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H20/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A28/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A03/01
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H09/01
LPB
BC Prievidza
#22
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
87.6Avg total
46.7Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.340.184.4+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.038.781.7+4.367%-
Last 30 away (18)45.241.186.3+4.167%-
Last 10 (10)46.740.987.6+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)46.039.485.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.243.079.2-6.825%-
vs Similar (8)42.540.482.9+2.150%-
vs Weaker (14)49.938.488.3+11.6100%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#24
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H14/12
ACB
BC Prievidza
#22
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A21/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H28/12
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H02/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A04/01
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H10/01
ACB
PAOK
#5
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#8
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H17/01
ACB
80.1Avg total
42.6Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.938.883.7+6.163%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.035.981.9+10.176%-
Last 30 away (13)43.542.686.1+0.846%-
Last 10 (10)42.637.580.1+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.483.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.645.082.6-7.429%-
vs Similar (10)43.842.586.3+1.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)49.732.682.3+17.1100%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.5
54.8%
52.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.3
30.3%
34.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.016.7
79.5%
73.4%16.7
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.618.3
56.1%
52.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.2
34.6%
34.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.919.4
77.9%
73.4%19.4
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sporting CP
LWWWWLLLWW
Bilbao
WWWWLLLWWW
#24
League position
#1
+14.9
Net rating
+9.3
112.2
Offensive rating
110.1
97.3
Defensive rating
100.8
50.6%
Effective FG%
54.1%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.8%
38.0%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.40
30.3%
3-point %
34.6%
70.5%
Assist %
60.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 110.1Defence97.3 · 100.8Shooting50.6% · 54.1%3-point %30.3% · 34.6%Ball care15.8% · 16.8%Off. rebounds38.0% · 28.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Sporting CP   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sporting CP wins
1
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
10/12/25Bilbao v Sporting CP94-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26ABC Prievidza82-94
09/01/26HImortal83-64
03/01/26ACA Queluz91-70
28/12/25AOliveirense86-76
20/12/25HVasco Da Gama89-67
17/12/25HPAOK62-70
10/12/25ABilbao79-94
06/12/25AEsgueira87-95
19/11/25HValcea121-67
15/11/25HBraga88-74
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HTenerife95-78
13/01/26HPAOK95-73
10/01/26HMurcia96-82
04/01/26ABasquet Girona93-89
02/01/26HValencia72-116
28/12/25HBarcelona66-71
21/12/25ABreogan99-100
17/12/25ABC Prievidza83-46
14/12/25HForca Lleida93-75
10/12/25HSporting CP94-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sporting CP
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL44%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game84.285.283.4
Allowed / game80.672.287.2
Point differential+3.7+13.0-3.8
Avg total164.8157.5170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%80%100%
Points / game98.8100.496.8
Allowed / game68.178.055.8
Point differential+30.7+22.4+41.0
Avg total166.9178.4152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+89%80%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia109190%86.272.0+14.2
2 Bilbao98189%98.868.1+30.7
3 Petkim Spor108280%85.471.7+13.7
4 PAOK108280%85.880.7+5.1
5 Peristeri97278%86.275.7+10.6
6 Reggiana107370%85.472.5+12.9
7 Rostock107370%86.777.4+9.3
8 Basket Zaragoza96367%91.179.3+11.8
9 KK Bosna128467%78.474.6+3.8
10 Basketball Braunschweig64267%83.781.3+2.3
11 Vechta85362%86.080.2+5.8
12 CSM Oradea106460%80.979.5+1.4
13 Anwil Wloclawek84450%91.484.6+6.8
14 Antwerp Giants63350%84.079.3+4.7
15 Trefl Sopot105550%86.383.8+2.5
16 BC Prievidza126650%83.382.4+0.9
17 Cedevita Junior105550%84.283.3+0.9
18 Szombathely105550%81.981.7+0.2
19 Dijon63350%83.583.3+0.2
20 Neftchi IK63350%87.088.7-1.7
21 Cibona84450%81.083.1-2.1
22 AEK Larnaca63350%81.084.7-3.7
23 Bashkimi84450%78.584.1-5.6
24 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%82.589.8-7.3
25 Sporting CP94544%84.280.6+3.7
26 Sassari104640%83.681.1+2.5
27 Absheron Lions83538%86.287.6-1.4
28 Brno83538%77.585.5-8.0
29 Bakken Bears62433%85.786.5-0.8
30 Lublin62433%79.784.8-5.2
31 Tartu Ulikool62433%82.890.7-7.8
32 FC Porto62433%76.085.8-9.8
33 Keravnos62433%78.090.2-12.2
34 Corona Brasov82625%78.284.4-6.1
35 Anorthosis82625%72.091.1-19.1
36 Pelister61517%80.393.3-13.0
37 Rilski Sportist61517%68.781.7-13.0
38 Valcea61517%71.398.8-27.5
39 Kutaisi61517%63.798.3-34.7
40 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
41 Trepca6060%75.786.5-10.8
42 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
43 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
44 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sporting CP1414202472
Bilbao1826242290
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