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Bilbao vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 95-73
31-16 18-23 25-15 21-19
Position#1
Record7-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game99.2
Allowed / game67.5
Bilbao 🏆
vs
Position#5
Record7-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game80.6
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 3· Bilbao Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Bilbao v PAOK
29 Apr 2026
BIL89
PAK74
13 Jan 2026
BIL95
PAK73
16 Apr 2025
BIL72
PAK65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#3
L
91-110
91
110
-19
87avg 77
A23/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
79-72
79
72
+7
74avg 77
H07/12
ACB
Sporting CP
#24
W
94-79
94
79
+15
88avg 77
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
93-75
93
75
+18
92avg 77
H14/12
ACB
BC Prievidza
#22
W
83-46
83
46
+37
86avg 77
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
L
99-100
99
100
-1
95avg 77
A21/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
66-71
66
71
-5
56avg 77
H28/12
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
72-116
72
116
-44
54avg 77
H02/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
93-89
93
89
+4
85avg 77
A04/01
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
96-82
96
82
+14
88avg 77
H10/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-33
23-38
22-14
23-25
14-16
20-18
21-21
24-17
26-23
23-15
25-25
20-16
15-17
17-14
32-26
29-18
27-12
16-18
16-9
24-7
23-21
24-24
22-26
30-29
25-16
8-18
13-15
20-22
11-24
24-13
18-36
19-43
16-22
26-26
20-18
31-23
18-17
23-23
23-15
32-27
170.6Avg total
86.6Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)99.267.5166.8+31.888%
Season at home (4)101.879.2181.0+22.575%
Season away (4)96.855.8152.5+41.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.684.0170.6+2.660%
Last 5 (5)85.291.6176.8-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.092.4168.4-16.414%
vs Similar (10)87.189.2176.3-2.130%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)95.070.2165.2+24.885%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Anwil Wloclawek
#13
W
104-96
104
96
+8
102avg 76
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#6
W
88-87
88
87
+1
89avg 76
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
81-92
81
92
-11
72avg 76
H23/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
82-70
82
70
+12
72avg 76
H06/12
Basket League
BC Prievidza
#22
W
101-70
101
70
+31
102avg 76
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#12
W
97-87
97
87
+10
94avg 76
A14/12
Basket League
Sporting CP
#24
W
70-62
70
62
+8
57avg 76
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#13
W
106-88
106
88
+18
104avg 76
H20/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
72-68
72
68
+4
67avg 76
A28/12
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
L
94-101 OT
94
101
-7
81avg 76
A03/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
26-21
25-33
24-21
30-23
20-18
13-17
25-29
17-23
24-25
15-25
25-19
16-16
27-18
21-17
18-19
19-25
28-21
27-15
27-9
31-20
28-17
21-28
17-22
15-21
20-15
23-13
12-13
26-22
28-21
26-15
26-30
17-18
15-22
16-8
24-20
21-26
23-20
20-16
21-23
171.6Avg total
89.5Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.280.6167.9+6.688%
Season at home (4)94.581.8176.2+12.8100%
Season away (4)80.079.5159.5+0.575%
Last 10 (10)89.582.1171.6+7.480%
Last 5 (5)87.881.2169.0+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)82.284.2166.5-2.038%
vs Similar (10)85.184.6169.7+0.570%
vs Weaker (11)85.777.3163.0+8.591%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
BilbaoPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#3
L
46-71
46
71
-25
A23/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H07/12
ACB
Sporting CP
#24
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H14/12
ACB
BC Prievidza
#22
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A21/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H28/12
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H02/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A04/01
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H10/01
ACB
81.0Avg total
40.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.138.983.1+5.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.435.980.3+8.469%-
Last 30 away (14)43.942.486.2+1.550%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.881.0-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.880.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.645.082.6-7.429%-
vs Similar (10)41.542.984.4-1.430%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)49.732.682.3+17.1100%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anwil Wloclawek
#13
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H23/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H06/12
Basket League
BC Prievidza
#22
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#12
W
59-37
59
37
+22
A14/12
Basket League
Sporting CP
#24
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#13
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H20/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A28/12
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A03/01
Basket League
87.3Avg total
46.0Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.282.0-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.539.985.5+5.685%-
Last 30 away (17)37.142.279.4-5.124%-
Last 10 (10)46.041.387.3+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.840.485.2+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.442.878.1-7.425%-
vs Similar (10)42.042.484.4-0.460%-
vs Weaker (11)43.240.083.2+3.255%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.018.4
55.8%
52.0%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.8
34.4%
34.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws25.319.8
78.3%
73.4%19.8
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.8
57.5%
52.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.2
36.3%
34.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.714.5
73.6%
73.4%14.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
WWLLLWWWWL
PAOK
LWWWWWWLWW
#1
League position
#5
+3.8
Net rating
+10.3
108.7
Offensive rating
117.5
104.9
Defensive rating
107.2
53.8%
Effective FG%
56.2%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
18.5%
Turnover %
15.9%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.4%
3-point %
36.3%
58.9%
Assist %
62.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 117.5Defence104.9 · 107.2Shooting53.8% · 56.2%3-point %34.4% · 36.3%Ball care18.5% · 15.9%Off. rebounds27.5% · 31.4%Free throws0.41 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Bilbao   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bilbao wins
1
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
23/04/25PAOK v Bilbao84-82
16/04/25Bilbao v PAOK72-65
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HMurcia96-82
04/01/26ABasquet Girona93-89
02/01/26HValencia72-116
28/12/25HBarcelona66-71
21/12/25ABreogan99-100
17/12/25ABC Prievidza83-46
14/12/25HForca Lleida93-75
10/12/25HSporting CP94-79
07/12/25HGran Canaria79-72
23/11/25ABaskonia91-110
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AMykonos94-101 OT
28/12/25AAS Karditsas72-68
20/12/25HPanionios106-88
17/12/25ASporting CP70-62
14/12/25AMaroussi97-87
10/12/25HBC Prievidza101-70
06/12/25HKolossos Rhodes82-70
23/11/25HOlympiacos81-92
19/11/25HBasketball Braunschweig88-87
12/11/25HAnwil Wloclawek104-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game99.2101.896.8
Allowed / game67.579.255.8
Point differential+31.8+22.5+41.0
Avg total166.8181.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%75%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game87.294.580.0
Allowed / game80.681.879.5
Point differential+6.6+12.8+0.5
Avg total167.9176.2159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao87188%99.267.5+31.8
2 Murcia87188%87.171.0+16.1
3 Peristeri87188%89.474.9+14.5
4 Rostock87188%89.575.8+13.8
5 PAOK87188%87.280.6+6.6
6 Petkim Spor86275%86.273.2+13.0
7 KK Bosna107370%79.873.9+5.9
8 Basketball Braunschweig64267%83.781.3+2.3
9 Basket Zaragoza85362%90.879.9+10.9
10 Reggiana85362%84.874.8+10.0
11 Cedevita Junior85362%87.980.9+7.0
12 Vechta85362%86.080.2+5.8
13 CSM Oradea85362%80.480.0+0.4
14 Sassari84450%86.479.4+7.0
15 Anwil Wloclawek84450%91.484.6+6.8
16 Sporting CP84450%84.578.9+5.6
17 Antwerp Giants63350%84.079.3+4.7
18 Trefl Sopot84450%87.684.8+2.9
19 BC Prievidza105550%83.982.0+1.9
20 Dijon63350%83.583.3+0.2
21 Szombathely84450%82.282.2+0.0
22 Neftchi IK63350%87.088.7-1.7
23 Cibona84450%81.083.1-2.1
24 AEK Larnaca63350%81.084.7-3.7
25 Bashkimi84450%78.584.1-5.6
26 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%82.589.8-7.3
27 Absheron Lions83538%86.287.6-1.4
28 Brno83538%77.585.5-8.0
29 Bakken Bears62433%85.786.5-0.8
30 Lublin62433%79.784.8-5.2
31 Tartu Ulikool62433%82.890.7-7.8
32 FC Porto62433%76.085.8-9.8
33 Keravnos62433%78.090.2-12.2
34 Corona Brasov82625%78.284.4-6.1
35 Anorthosis82625%72.091.1-19.1
36 Pelister61517%80.393.3-13.0
37 Rilski Sportist61517%68.781.7-13.0
38 Valcea61517%71.398.8-27.5
39 Kutaisi61517%63.798.3-34.7
40 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
41 Trepca6060%75.786.5-10.8
42 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
43 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
44 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao3118252195
PAOK1623151973
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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