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Bilbao vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-116
11-24 24-13 18-36 19-43
Position#7
Record5-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Position#1
Record9-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game94.1
Allowed / game83.4
SpainACBRound 13· Bilbao Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Bilbao v Valencia
18 Apr 2027
BIL v VAL
upcoming
05 Jun 2026
BIL71
VAL88
02 Jan 2026
BIL72
VAL116
27 Oct 2024
BIL98
VAL103
11 Feb 2024
BIL93
VAL78
09 Oct 2022
BIL71
VAL65
09 Apr 2022
BIL84
VAL78
09 Jan 2021
BIL73
VAL106
12 Nov 2017
BIL77
VAL81
12 Apr 2017
BIL88
VAL75
15 Nov 2015
BIL104
VAL111
01 Jun 2015
BIL70
VAL71
28 May 2015
BIL75
VAL91
11 Jan 2015
BIL82
VAL80
05 Jan 2014
BIL80
VAL83
12 May 2013
BIL61
VAL72
23 Jan 2013
BIL91
VAL76
10 Dec 2011
BIL85
VAL74
22 May 2011
BIL79
VAL75
10 Oct 2010
BIL77
VAL70
27 Dec 2009
BIL79
VAL80
11 Jan 2009
BIL72
VAL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Brno
#28
W
115-100
115
100
+15
120avg 77
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
70-82
70
82
-12
64avg 77
A16/11
ACB
Kutaisi
#39
W
117-54
117
54
+63
125avg 77
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#3
L
91-110
91
110
-19
87avg 77
A23/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
79-72
79
72
+7
74avg 77
H07/12
ACB
Sporting CP
#24
W
94-79
94
79
+15
88avg 77
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
93-75
93
75
+18
92avg 77
H14/12
ACB
BC Prievidza
#22
W
83-46
83
46
+37
86avg 77
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
L
99-100
99
100
-1
95avg 77
A21/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
66-71
66
71
-5
56avg 77
H28/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-25
28-21
23-31
27-23
16-23
27-16
19-24
8-19
25-17
41-3
25-18
26-16
23-33
23-38
22-14
23-25
14-16
20-18
21-21
24-17
26-23
23-15
25-25
20-16
15-17
17-14
32-26
29-18
27-12
16-18
16-9
24-7
23-21
24-24
22-26
30-29
25-16
8-18
13-15
20-22
169.6Avg total
90.7Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.883.9166.8-1.142%
Season at home (6)86.774.8161.5+11.883%
Season away (6)79.093.0172.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)90.778.9169.6+11.860%
Last 5 (5)87.074.2161.2+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)73.890.8164.7-17.00%
vs Similar (10)85.988.7174.6-2.820%
vs Weaker (14)93.469.8163.1+23.686%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Bayern
#14
W
90-64
90
64
+26
83avg 88
H25/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
89-79
89
79
+10
85avg 88
A05/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
91-89
91
89
+2
78avg 88
A07/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
94-82
94
82
+12
92avg 88
H11/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
99-92
99
92
+7
99avg 88
A16/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
82-85
82
85
-3
76avg 88
A18/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#4
L
80-92
80
92
-12
63avg 88
A21/12
ACB
Baskonia
#18
W
91-81
91
81
+10
85avg 88
H23/12
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 88
H28/12
ACB
Partizan
#15
W
86-73
86
73
+13
79avg 88
H30/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
22-16
27-12
22-15
19-22
19-22
27-17
24-18
20-17
19-27
23-16
29-29
22-20
23-19
26-20
23-23
25-27
24-20
18-29
32-16
21-19
20-28
20-23
21-15
21-19
13-22
21-22
25-29
27-19
31-28
18-18
15-16
18-16
14-29
21-12
31-22
18-22
25-21
22-20
21-10
170.2Avg total
88.6Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)94.183.4177.5+10.782%
Season at home (6)95.580.5176.0+15.0100%
Season away (5)92.486.8179.2+5.660%
Last 10 (10)88.681.6170.2+7.080%
Last 5 (5)84.682.0166.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)88.386.1174.4+2.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)92.583.2175.7+9.380%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +5.0+5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +5.0+5.0
BilbaoValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brno
#28
W
65-46
65
46
+19
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A16/11
ACB
Kutaisi
#39
W
66-20
66
20
+46
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#3
L
46-71
46
71
-25
A23/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H07/12
ACB
Sporting CP
#24
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H14/12
ACB
BC Prievidza
#22
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A21/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H28/12
ACB
84.6Avg total
45.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.838.682.4+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.835.380.1+9.573%-
Last 30 away (15)42.941.984.8+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)45.838.884.6+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.676.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.247.283.3-11.017%-
vs Similar (10)41.442.083.4-0.640%-
vs Weaker (14)48.932.581.4+16.4100%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#14
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H25/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A05/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A07/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H11/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A16/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A18/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A21/12
ACB
Baskonia
#18
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H23/12
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H28/12
ACB
Partizan
#15
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H30/12
Euroleague
85.4Avg total
42.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.342.186.4+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.840.386.1+5.462%-
Last 30 away (14)42.744.186.8-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)42.043.485.4-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.686.2-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)43.843.687.4+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.641.385.9+3.355%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.8
57.4%
50.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.8
37.6%
42.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.817.9
78.5%
74.7%17.9
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.0
50.0%
50.0%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.912.0
35.4%
42.2%36.0
🏀 Free throws20.915.6
74.6%
74.7%15.6
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
LLWWWWLWLW
Valencia
WWWLLWWWWW
#7
League position
#1
+15.5
Net rating
+9.1
114.3
Offensive rating
114.2
98.8
Defensive rating
105.1
57.0%
Effective FG%
51.5%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
19.2%
Turnover %
16.6%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
37.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.6%
3-point %
35.4%
64.7%
Assist %
66.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 114.2Defence98.8 · 105.1Shooting57.0% · 51.5%3-point %37.6% · 35.4%Ball care19.2% · 16.6%Off. rebounds30.3% · 37.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Bilbao   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bilbao wins
6
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
08/03/25Valencia v Bilbao89-70
27/10/24Bilbao v Valencia98-103
11/02/24Bilbao v Valencia93-78
03/12/23Valencia v Bilbao79-85
22/04/23Valencia v Bilbao95-88
09/10/22Bilbao v Valencia71-65
09/04/22Bilbao v Valencia84-78
20/11/21Valencia v Bilbao100-84
25/04/21Valencia v Bilbao99-90
09/01/21Bilbao v Valencia73-106
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HBarcelona66-71
21/12/25ABreogan99-100
17/12/25ABC Prievidza83-46
14/12/25HForca Lleida93-75
10/12/25HSporting CP94-79
07/12/25HGran Canaria79-72
23/11/25ABaskonia91-110
19/11/25HKutaisi117-54
16/11/25AReal Madrid70-82
11/11/25HBrno115-100
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25HPartizan86-73
28/12/25HMoraBanc Andorra84-79
23/12/25HBaskonia91-81
21/12/25AMurcia80-92
18/12/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv82-85
16/12/25AOlympiacos99-92
11/12/25HAnadolu Efes94-82
07/12/25ABaskonia91-89
05/12/25APanathinaikos89-79
25/11/25HBayern90-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL42%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%83%0%
Points / game82.886.779.0
Allowed / game83.974.893.0
Point differential-1.1+11.8-14.0
Avg total166.8161.5172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%100%60%
Points / game94.195.592.4
Allowed / game83.480.586.8
Point differential+10.7+15.0+5.6
Avg total177.5176.0179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%83%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1312192%90.780.6+10.1
2 Valencia119282%94.183.4+10.7
3 Murcia1310377%89.280.0+9.2
4 Tenerife139469%89.182.8+6.3
5 Barcelona128467%85.178.8+6.2
6 Unicaja138562%88.384.2+4.2
7 Joventut Badalona138562%85.081.8+3.2
8 Baskonia127558%91.390.1+1.2
9 Bilbao125742%82.883.9-1.1
10 Gran Canaria125742%79.882.1-2.2
11 Manresa125742%82.887.8-4.9
12 Basquet Girona125742%86.792.2-5.6
13 Breogan135838%89.292.8-3.7
14 Basket Zaragoza114736%88.590.2-1.6
15 Forca Lleida124833%83.090.3-7.3
16 MoraBanc Andorra124833%82.692.0-9.4
17 San Pablo Burgos1321115%88.095.8-7.8
18 Granada131128%80.888.7-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao1124181972
Valencia24133643116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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