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Sporting CP vs Braga Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game74.6
Sporting CP
Portugal
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.7/10
Below normal
6.0/10
Above normal
Braga
Portugal
Position#6
Record4-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game81.1
PortugalLPBRound 16· Pavilhão João Rocha
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sporting CP v Braga
14 Feb 2027
SCP v BRAG
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
SCP88
BRAG74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sporting CP win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Braga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
SCM Craiova
#34
W
97-77
97
77
+20
99avg 77
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#10
L
84-93
84
93
-9
73avg 77
A17/10
LPB
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
66avg 77
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#3
W
71-70
71
70
+1
65avg 77
H24/10
LPB
Gence
#43
L
67-69
67
69
-2
60avg 77
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#6
L
86-98
86
98
-12
77avg 77
A01/11
LPB
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
70-106
70
106
-36
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
91-48
91
48
+43
no box
H07/11
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#41
L
76-86
76
86
-10
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#7
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
H14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
25-23
25-14
24-20
22-23
20-26
20-25
22-19
15-21
22-20
15-10
14-15
16-24
22-12
14-16
19-18
18-20
15-18
14-16
20-15
23-24
19-22
21-20
23-32
17-19
18-32
16-29
19-26
21-10
34-11
22-12
14-15
18-23
16-25
23-23
19-15
25-19
17-15
29-13
23-22
159.2Avg total
80.7Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.674.6158.1+9.057%
Season at home (4)86.061.8147.8+24.2100%
Season away (3)80.391.7172.0-11.30%
Last 10 (10)80.778.5159.2+2.250%
Last 5 (5)83.481.4164.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.890.0159.8-20.225%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.682.1162.8-1.538%
vs Weaker (18)86.374.1160.4+12.272%
This opponent (Braga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
74-67
74
67
+7
66avg 82
A25/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
62avg 82
A09/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
68avg 82
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
83-96
83
96
-13
71avg 82
A03/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
105-71
105
71
+34
107avg 82
H11/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
91-72
91
72
+19
98avg 82
H18/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
75avg 82
A25/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
98-86
98
86
+12
102avg 82
H01/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A08/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
H14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
16-14
18-19
12-13
19-24
15-22
24-24
14-20
18-22
18-22
23-33
20-17
19-26
9-26
20-23
35-21
28-18
33-21
17-18
27-14
20-12
23-18
26-22
22-20
20-22
23-14
19-14
18-21
24-23
22-19
20-21
32-23
21-20
29-29
13-15
13-17
18-21
20-20
25-24
21-26
166.1Avg total
84.2Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.181.1169.3+7.057%
Season at home (4)94.580.0174.5+14.575%
Season away (3)79.782.7162.3-3.033%
Last 10 (10)84.281.9166.1+2.350%
Last 5 (5)85.880.2166.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.287.2161.3-13.017%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.485.1169.5-0.740%
vs Weaker (8)91.476.0167.4+15.488%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
Sporting CPBraga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SCM Craiova
#34
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A17/10
LPB
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/10
LPB
Gence
#43
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A01/11
LPB
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
55-21
55
21
+34
H07/11
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#41
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H14/11
LPB
81.3Avg total
40.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.482.8+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.236.380.5+7.967%-
Last 30 away (15)40.644.485.0-3.840%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.781.3-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.081.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.546.080.5-11.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.645.189.8-0.538%-
vs Weaker (18)43.237.080.2+6.267%-
This opponent (Braga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A25/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A09/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A03/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H11/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H18/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A25/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H01/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A08/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H14/11
LPB
83.7Avg total
42.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.783.0-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.740.981.6-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.944.584.4-4.547%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.483.7+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.683.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.946.183.0-9.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.644.085.6-2.460%-
vs Weaker (8)43.935.979.8+8.075%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.5
49.2%
51.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.5
30.4%
31.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.515.4
68.4%
71.1%15.4
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.5
49.7%
51.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.8
34.9%
31.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.417.2
73.5%
71.1%17.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sporting CP
WLWLLLWWLW
Braga
LLWWWWLLLW
#5
League position
#6
+2.1
Net rating
+5.9
89.3
Offensive rating
92.2
87.2
Defensive rating
86.3
47.7%
Effective FG%
50.9%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
15.9%
Turnover %
18.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.4%
3-point %
34.9%
62.5%
Assist %
72.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence89.3 · 92.2Defence87.2 · 86.3Shooting47.7% · 50.9%3-point %30.4% · 34.9%Ball care15.9% · 18.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Sporting CP   ■ Braga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sporting CP wins
1
Braga wins
DateGameScore
01/11/26Braga v Sporting CP98-86
21/03/26Braga v Sporting CP87-96
15/11/25Sporting CP v Braga88-74
10/12/22Braga v Sporting CP56-108
Sporting CPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCD Povoa94-69
11/11/26ARilski Sportist76-86
07/11/26HVitoria91-48
04/11/26AEsenler Erokspor70-106
01/11/26ABraga86-98
29/10/26AGence67-69
24/10/26HOvarense71-70
21/10/26HKolossos Rhodes71-69 OT
17/10/26ACAB Madeira84-93
14/10/26ASCM Craiova97-77
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOliveirense84-91
08/11/26AFC Porto76-81
01/11/26HSporting CP98-86
25/10/26ACD Povoa80-71
18/10/26HVitoria91-72
11/10/26HPortimonense105-71
03/10/26AOvarense83-96
13/05/26HBenfica79-94
09/05/26ABenfica72-90
25/04/26AOvarense74-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sporting CP
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%100%0%
Points / game83.686.080.3
Allowed / game74.661.891.7
Point differential+9.0+24.2-11.3
Avg total158.1147.8172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Braga
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game88.194.579.7
Allowed / game81.180.082.7
Point differential+7.0+14.5-3.0
Avg total169.3174.5162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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