Lusitania vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 75-91

9-31 26-17 15-25 25-18

Position#10

Record11-15

FormWLLLL

Points / game78.6

Allowed / game83.7

Lusitania

Benfica 🏆

Position#1

Record21-5

FormWLWLW

Points / game91.6

Allowed / game76.0

LPB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Lusitania v Benfica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Benfica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sporting CP

96-99

-3

H28/01

LPB

Ovarense

88-81

H04/02

LPB

Oliveirense

83-68

+15

H07/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

80-69

+11

A11/02

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

82-78

H15/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

#11

85-81

H01/03

LPB

Oliveirense

69-73

-4

A05/03

LPB

Sporting CP

56-89

-33

H12/03

LPB

Ovarense

66-72

-6

H18/03

LPB

FC Porto

72-94

-22

A22/03

LPB

21-29

23-24

25-20

27-26

18-23

25-14

18-24

27-20

22-15

14-15

19-15

28-23

17-19

15-15

29-20

19-15

17-22

26-14

18-14

21-28

27-18

17-22

20-16

21-25

13-10

13-15

25-29

18-19

17-24

11-19

14-19

14-27

18-25

20-14

12-13

16-20

17-32

18-22

17-22

20-18

158.1Avg total

77.7Scored

80.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	78.6	83.7	162.3	-5.2	42%
Season at home (13)	79.1	79.4	158.5	-0.3	62%
Season away (13)	78.1	88.1	166.2	-10.0	23%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	80.4	158.1	-2.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	69.6	81.8	151.4	-12.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	76.3	84.7	161.0	-8.3	33%
vs Similar (6)	81.8	79.7	161.5	+2.2	50%
vs Weaker (2)	86.5	81.0	167.5	+5.5	100%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

83-71

+12

H28/01

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

103-67

103

+36

H31/01

LPB

CD Povoa

59-60

-1

A04/02

LPB

Ovarense

86-76

+10

A10/02

Taca de Portugal

Vitoria

100-80

100

+20

H14/02

LPB

Esgueira

93-61

+32

A18/02

LPB

Sporting CP

82-86

-4

A05/03

LPB

FC Porto

99-75

+24

H11/03

LPB

Oliveirense

68-70

-2

A18/03

LPB

Ovarense

91-75

+16

H22/03

LPB

24-12

28-26

14-20

17-13

21-15

26-19

32-14

24-19

19-14

11-15

16-20

13-11

18-13

21-13

16-22

31-28

18-21

22-16

29-22

31-21

26-20

23-13

24-12

20-16

26-27

18-25

21-13

17-21

27-16

33-24

14-22

25-13

16-16

21-22

15-16

16-16

25-18

23-15

23-24

20-18

158.5Avg total

86.4Scored

72.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	91.6	76.0	167.6	+15.7	81%
Season at home (13)	92.2	75.2	167.5	+17.0	85%
Season away (13)	91.0	76.7	167.7	+14.3	77%
Last 10 (10)	86.4	72.1	158.5	+14.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	73.4	160.0	+13.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	86.0	76.0	162.0	+10.0	100%
vs Similar (4)	74.8	83.2	158.0	-8.5	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	90.3	76.2	166.5	+14.0	78%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LusitaniaBenfica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	23.3	42.9	-3.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	22.3	42.5	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	24.2	43.3	-5.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.7	40.4	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.3	24.0	43.3	-4.8	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.7	23.2	39.8	-6.5	17%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.5	18.5	45.0	+8.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.0	18.4	42.4	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	18.7	41.8	+4.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.9	18.0	42.9	+6.9	87%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	17.2	39.2	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	19.4	43.4	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	13.0	31.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	24.9	18.2	43.1	+6.7	87%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.7	38.3	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.0	37.7	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.4	38.9	+0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	17.4	35.6	+0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	18.4	34.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.4	19.9	38.2	-1.5	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.8	15.3	37.2	+6.5	83%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	20.1	42.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	18.8	41.4	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.8	43.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	13.0	34.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.2	17.0	37.2	+3.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.3	20.2	41.6	+1.1	52%	-

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sporting CP

44-53

-9

H28/01

LPB

Ovarense

43-37

H04/02

LPB

Oliveirense

36-30

H07/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

32-34

-2

A11/02

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

43-36

H15/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

#11

44-40

H01/03

LPB

Oliveirense

26-25

A05/03

LPB

Sporting CP

28-43

-15

H12/03

LPB

Ovarense

38-39

-1

H18/03

LPB

FC Porto

35-54

-19

A22/03

LPB

76.0Avg total

36.9Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	42.0	81.2	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.8	40.3	80.1	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	43.6	82.3	-4.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	39.1	76.0	-2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	40.2	74.4	-6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	37.7	43.9	81.6	-6.2	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.5	38.5	77.0	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.0	36.5	83.5	+10.5	100%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

52-38

+14

H28/01

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

47-34

+13

H31/01

LPB

CD Povoa

30-29

A04/02

LPB

Ovarense

39-26

+13

A10/02

Taca de Portugal

Vitoria

40-37

H14/02

LPB

Esgueira

49-33

+16

A18/02

LPB

Sporting CP

44-52

-8

A05/03

LPB

FC Porto

60-40

+20

H11/03

LPB

Oliveirense

37-38

-1

A18/03

LPB

Ovarense

48-33

+15

H22/03

LPB

80.6Avg total

44.6Scored

36.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.0	38.3	83.2	+6.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.1	38.9	83.9	+6.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.9	37.7	82.5	+7.2	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	36.0	80.6	+8.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	39.2	86.8	+8.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	39.0	26.0	65.0	+13.0	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	41.2	36.8	78.0	+4.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	46.3	38.4	84.7	+7.8	78%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.6	39.3	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	21.5	42.1	-0.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.2	38.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.8	37.4	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.6	48%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	14.0	36.5	+8.5	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.7	39.4	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	18.0	39.4	+3.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.5	38.9	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.4	36.8	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	14.8	24.2	39.0	-9.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.7	17.4	39.1	+4.3	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	21.1	40.1	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	21.3	39.4	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	22.1	43.2	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.8	39.6	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.3	20.3	38.6	-2.0	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	30.5	47.5	-13.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	18.9	40.5	+2.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	20.5	41.3	+0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.6	39.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.8	36.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	31.0	28.0	59.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.8	18.5	36.2	-0.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.3	19.7	41.0	+1.6	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	40.8	79.3	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.4	38.7	77.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	42.8	81.5	-4.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	41.3	82.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	41.6	77.0	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	37.8	40.3	78.1	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.3	41.2	84.5	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	39.5	44.5	84.0	-5.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	38.4	80.4	+3.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.6	38.4	80.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.3	38.5	80.7	+3.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	36.1	77.9	+5.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	34.2	73.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	47.0	50.0	97.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	32.5	42.8	75.2	-10.2	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	43.0	37.1	80.1	+5.9	65%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 78.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.6	18.8	52.8%	52.4%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	9.8	35.5%	32.3%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	16.3	11.6	71.2%	70.4%	11.6

They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.9	17.2	52.3%	52.4%	34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	9.0	34.9%	32.3%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	18.7	14.4	77.0%	70.4%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.9	17.2	52.3%	52.4%	34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	9.0	34.9%	32.3%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	18.7	14.4	77.0%	70.4%	14.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lusitania wins

Benfica wins

Date	Game	Score
17/12/22	Lusitania v Benfica	77-87
01/10/22	Benfica v Lusitania	111-85
26/03/22	Benfica v Lusitania	131-72
11/12/21	Lusitania v Benfica	58-76
05/03/21	Benfica v Lusitania	93-89
14/11/20	Lusitania v Benfica	69-82
14/12/19	Lusitania v Benfica	60-103
02/05/19	Benfica v Lusitania	113-76
04/04/19	Lusitania v Benfica	76-91
12/01/19	Lusitania v Benfica	76-88

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/03/23	A	FC Porto	72-94
18/03/23	H	Ovarense	66-72
12/03/23	H	Sporting CP	56-89
05/03/23	A	Oliveirense	69-73
01/03/23	H	CAB Madeira	85-81
15/02/23	H	FC Porto	82-78
11/02/23	A	CAB Madeira	80-69
07/02/23	H	Oliveirense	83-68
04/02/23	H	Ovarense	88-81
28/01/23	H	Sporting CP	96-99

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/03/23	H	Ovarense	91-75
18/03/23	A	Oliveirense	68-70
11/03/23	H	FC Porto	99-75
05/03/23	A	Sporting CP	82-86
18/02/23	A	Esgueira	93-61
14/02/23	H	Vitoria	100-80
10/02/23	A	Ovarense	86-76
04/02/23	A	CD Povoa	59-60
31/01/23	H	Sangalhos	103-67
28/01/23	H	Oliveirense	83-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	42%
Home	WWWLL	62%
Away	LLWLL	23%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	42%	62%	23%
Points / game	78.6	79.1	78.1
Allowed / game	83.7	79.4	88.1
Point differential	-5.2	-0.3	-10.0
Avg total	162.3	158.5	166.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	4%	8%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	67% (6)	33% (3)
Overtime %	8%	15%	0%

Benfica

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	81%
Home	WWWWW	85%
Away	WLWLL	77%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	81%	85%	77%
Points / game	91.6	92.2	91.0
Allowed / game	76.0	75.2	76.7
Point differential	+15.7	+17.0	+14.3
Avg total	167.6	167.5	167.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	69%	77%	62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	0% (2)	25% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sporting CP	27	22	5	81%	90.3	77.3	+13.0
2	FC Porto	27	22	5	81%	87.2	76.0	+11.1
3	Benfica	26	21	5	81%	91.6	76.0	+15.7
4	Oliveirense	27	15	12	56%	76.6	77.3	-0.7
5	Ovarense	27	13	14	48%	77.2	80.3	-3.1
6	CD Povoa	27	12	15	44%	73.8	74.9	-1.1
7	Imortal	26	11	15	42%	78.1	79.5	-1.4
8	Lusitania	26	11	15	42%	78.6	83.7	-5.2
9	Vitoria	27	11	16	41%	87.7	90.1	-2.4
10	Esgueira	27	11	16	41%	76.7	82.6	-5.9
11	CAB Madeira	26	9	17	35%	79.1	83.8	-4.8
12	Sangalhos	27	2	25	7%	71.1	86.3	-15.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lusitania	9	26	15	25	75
Benfica	31	17	25	18	91

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Lusitania vs Benfica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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