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Stjarnan vs Valur Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 95-81
17-18 23-16 26-31 29-16
Position#2
Record-
FormWLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#5
Record-
FormWLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
IcelandPremier leagueRound 1· Mathus Gardabaejar hollin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Stjarnan v Valur
07 Jan 2027
STJA v VALU
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
STJA94
VALU91
04 Oct 2024
STJA95
VALU81
02 Feb 2024
STJA81
VALU85
21 Jan 2024
STJA84
VALU79
14 Apr 2023
STJA68
VALU74
07 Apr 2023
STJA73
VALU95
14 Jan 2023
STJA66
VALU72
05 Jan 2023
STJA76
VALU80
08 Apr 2022
STJA92
VALU94
04 Nov 2021
STJA79
VALU91
05 Mar 2021
STJA90
VALU79
13 Nov 2019
STJA83
VALU79
03 Feb 2019
STJA107
VALU71
08 Feb 2018
STJA93
VALU87
05 Dec 2013
STJA90
VALU80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Valur
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
72avg 80
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#3
L
89-97
89
97
-8
80avg 80
A26/01
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
81-85
81
85
-4
69avg 80
H02/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
71-76
71
76
-5
61avg 80
H09/02
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
83-101
83
101
-18
74avg 80
A14/02
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
92-82
92
82
+10
89avg 80
H07/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
77-86
77
86
-9
66avg 80
A14/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#1
L
94-113
94
113
-19
80avg 80
A19/03
Icelandic Cup
Grindavik
#2
W
91-90
91
90
+1
84avg 80
H28/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
96-80
96
80
+16
86avg 80
H04/04
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
19-23
20-22
21-15
22-25
21-25
32-26
14-21
17-20
29-26
24-16
11-23
20-22
20-19
12-15
19-20
28-25
18-19
18-29
19-28
24-18
22-32
25-14
21-18
30-19
21-27
10-12
16-28
24-27
17-23
26-34
27-29
23-24
25-25
21-19
22-22
34-18
21-22
22-12
19-28
174.7Avg total
85.8Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.888.9174.7-3.140%
Last 5 (5)90.090.2180.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)84.888.5173.3-3.750%
vs Similar (12)84.087.8171.8-3.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)96.384.0180.3+12.386%
This opponent (Valur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
L
84-105
84
105
-21
63avg 81
H29/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
78-69
78
69
+9
72avg 81
A03/05
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
68-67
68
67
+1
57avg 81
H07/05
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
88-91
88
91
-3
73avg 81
A11/05
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
85-82
85
82
+3
71avg 81
H14/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
89-79
89
79
+10
88avg 81
H17/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
89-93
89
93
-4
84avg 81
A20/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
80-62
80
62
+18
72avg 81
H23/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
78-80
78
80
-2
75avg 81
A26/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
80-73
80
73
+7
76avg 81
H29/05
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
22-26
20-28
24-23
22-26
17-11
21-22
18-10
17-22
23-16
20-15
8-14
22-25
31-22
19-24
16-20
27-29
17-21
16-15
25-17
21-22
16-15
32-21
20-21
29-20
23-25
21-21
16-27
21-19
16-18
27-11
16-14
25-23
18-21
15-14
20-22
27-22
22-18
19-17
12-16
162.0Avg total
81.9Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.980.1162.0+1.860%
Last 5 (5)83.277.4160.6+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (14)84.883.9168.7+0.964%
vs Weaker (15)93.882.1175.9+11.787%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
StjarnanValur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A26/01
Premier league
Valur
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H02/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H09/02
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A14/02
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H07/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A14/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#1
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A19/03
Icelandic Cup
Grindavik
#2
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H28/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H04/04
Premier league
91.7Avg total
45.9Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.543.789.2+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.144.088.1+0.136%-
Last 30 away (16)46.843.590.2+3.256%-
Last 10 (10)45.945.891.7+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)48.247.095.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.845.488.2-2.630%-
vs Similar (12)42.845.087.8-2.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)53.941.195.0+12.786%-
This opponent (Valur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H29/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A03/05
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H07/05
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A11/05
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H14/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A20/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H23/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A26/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H29/05
Premier league
86.3Avg total
43.4Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)45.342.587.9+2.855%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.141.185.2+2.956%-
Last 30 away (13)46.944.291.2+2.754%-
Last 10 (10)43.442.986.3+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.684.2+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (14)44.743.788.4+1.050%-
vs Weaker (15)45.941.487.3+4.560%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.921.1
49.2%
53.7%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.4
32.4%
34.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.015.3
72.9%
75.6%15.3
They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.219.2
47.8%
53.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.1
33.1%
34.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.412.6
64.9%
75.6%12.6
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stjarnan
WWLLWLLLLW
Valur
WLWLWWLWWL
#2
League position
#5
-3.8
Net rating
+2.8
107.3
Offensive rating
102.8
111.1
Defensive rating
100.1
49.0%
Effective FG%
48.6%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.9%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.4%
3-point %
33.1%
55.4%
Assist %
54.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 102.8Defence111.1 · 100.1Shooting49.0% · 48.6%3-point %32.4% · 33.1%Ball care15.7% · 16.9%Off. rebounds31.5% · 32.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Stjarnan   ■ Valur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Stjarnan wins
6
Valur wins
DateGameScore
02/02/24Stjarnan v Valur81-85
21/01/24Stjarnan v Valur84-79
02/11/23Valur v Stjarnan77-86
14/04/23Stjarnan v Valur68-74
11/04/23Valur v Stjarnan96-89
07/04/23Stjarnan v Valur73-95
04/04/23Valur v Stjarnan89-94
14/01/23Stjarnan v Valur66-72
05/01/23Stjarnan v Valur76-80 OT
06/10/22Valur v Stjarnan76-84
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/24HBreidablik96-80
28/03/24HGrindavik91-90
19/03/24AKeflavik94-113
14/03/24AAlftanes77-86
07/03/24HHottur92-82
14/02/24AHaukar83-101
09/02/24HTindastoll71-76
02/02/24HValur81-85
26/01/24AKeflavik89-97
21/01/24HValur84-79
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/05/24HGrindavik80-73
26/05/24AGrindavik78-80
23/05/24HGrindavik80-62
20/05/24AGrindavik89-93
17/05/24HGrindavik89-79
14/05/24HNjardvik85-82
11/05/24ANjardvik88-91
07/05/24HNjardvik68-67
03/05/24ANjardvik78-69
29/04/24HNjardvik84-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Valur
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hottur110100%108.080.0+28.0
2 KR Basket110100%94.085.0+9.0
3 Keflavik110100%108.0101.0+7.0
4 Thorl110100%93.090.0+3.0
5 Njardvik1010%90.093.0-3.0
6 Alftanes1010%101.0108.0-7.0
7 Tindastoll1010%85.094.0-9.0
8 Haukar1010%80.0108.0-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stjarnan1723262995
Valur1816311681
← all games of the day
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