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Stjarnan vs Valur Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 07 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#7
Record3-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game93.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game78.8
IcelandPremier leagueRound 12· Mathus Gardabaejar hollin
Other2026-27
Meetings · Stjarnan v Valur
07 Jan 2027
STJA v VALU
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
STJA94
VALU91
04 Oct 2024
STJA95
VALU81
02 Feb 2024
STJA81
VALU85
21 Jan 2024
STJA84
VALU79
14 Apr 2023
STJA68
VALU74
07 Apr 2023
STJA73
VALU95
14 Jan 2023
STJA66
VALU72
05 Jan 2023
STJA76
VALU80
08 Apr 2022
STJA92
VALU94
04 Nov 2021
STJA79
VALU91
05 Mar 2021
STJA90
VALU79
13 Nov 2019
STJA83
VALU79
03 Feb 2019
STJA107
VALU71
08 Feb 2018
STJA93
VALU87
05 Dec 2013
STJA90
VALU80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valur win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#2
W
105-103 OT
105
103
+2
101avg 95
H25/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
88-103
88
103
-15
86avg 95
A29/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
97-103
97
103
-6
92avg 95
H03/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
91-100
91
100
-9
84avg 95
A06/05
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
77-90
77
90
-13
63avg 95
A08/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
98-103
98
103
-5
86avg 95
H16/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
L
92-98
92
98
-6
82avg 95
A22/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
102-96
102
96
+6
101avg 95
H29/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
103-79
103
79
+24
no box
A07/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
113-94
113
94
+19
no box
H12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
17-28
29-8
19-21
23-30
13-27
25-22
27-24
26-20
29-26
21-27
21-30
22-30
17-29
26-21
26-20
22-22
19-24
18-23
18-21
18-23
28-27
20-31
32-22
24-29
22-23
22-25
24-21
21-22
23-15
37-26
21-33
27-22
25-13
24-22
27-22
25-29
30-22
35-18
23-25
193.5Avg total
96.6Scored
96.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)97.593.3190.8+4.250%
Season at home (3)104.397.7202.0+6.767%
Season away (3)90.789.0179.7+1.733%
Last 10 (10)96.696.9193.5-0.340%
Last 5 (5)101.694.0195.6+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.0100.0184.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)98.497.6196.0+0.745%
vs Weaker (18)105.995.6201.6+10.383%
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#1
W
79-72
79
72
+7
72avg 78
H26/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
67-93
67
93
-26
65avg 78
A30/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
85-79
85
79
+6
80avg 78
H04/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
82-109
82
109
-27
78avg 78
A06/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
90-77
90
77
+13
81avg 78
H08/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
W
81-74
81
74
+7
71avg 78
H16/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
93-85
93
85
+8
85avg 78
A22/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
87-84
87
84
+3
82avg 78
H30/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
86-73
86
73
+13
no box
A06/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
no box
H12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
22-22
19-16
19-15
20-26
20-22
12-18
15-27
23-18
24-21
22-24
16-16
28-20
12-30
23-31
19-28
22-22
24-19
23-18
21-18
29-26
16-28
17-14
19-6
25-18
21-20
26-24
21-23
23-21
29-18
18-26
17-19
25-19
23-25
13-12
25-17
9-21
32-20
15-18
12-21
164.4Avg total
81.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.278.8163.0+5.383%
Season at home (4)81.578.8160.2+2.875%
Season away (2)89.579.0168.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)81.882.6164.4-0.870%
Last 5 (5)83.079.2162.2+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.188.6170.7-6.433%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.485.3171.6+1.164%
vs Weaker (6)87.582.0169.5+5.583%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
StjarnanValur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#2
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H25/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A29/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H03/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A06/05
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A08/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H16/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A22/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H29/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A07/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H12/11
Premier league
94.4Avg total
45.3Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.248.3100.5+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.847.7102.4+7.175%-
Last 30 away (14)49.349.098.3+0.357%-
Last 10 (10)45.349.194.4-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)48.645.093.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.056.099.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)47.549.296.6-1.755%-
vs Weaker (18)55.647.3102.9+8.378%-
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H26/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A30/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H04/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A06/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H08/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H16/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A22/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H30/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A06/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H12/11
Premier league
88.1Avg total
44.6Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.385.7-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.042.985.9+0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)41.743.985.6-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.643.588.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.443.289.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.843.984.7-3.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.143.686.6-0.550%-
vs Weaker (6)42.541.884.3+0.750%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 96.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.2
52.1%
56.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.611.6
32.6%
33.0%34.8
🏀 Free throws29.221.2
72.6%
73.9%21.2
They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.6
52.2%
56.2%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.0
32.5%
33.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.513.2
71.4%
73.9%13.2
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stjarnan
WWWLLLLLLW
Valur
LWWWWWLWLW
#7
League position
#4
-4.1
Net rating
+0.3
96.2
Offensive rating
91.9
100.3
Defensive rating
91.5
50.5%
Effective FG%
50.8%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
13.4%
Turnover %
13.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.6%
3-point %
32.5%
65.7%
Assist %
62.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 91.9Defence100.3 · 91.5Shooting50.5% · 50.8%3-point %32.6% · 32.5%Ball care13.4% · 13.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Stjarnan   ■ Valur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Stjarnan wins
5
Valur wins
DateGameScore
08/10/26Valur v Stjarnan90-77
08/01/26Valur v Stjarnan102-105
11/10/25Stjarnan v Valur94-91
05/01/25Valur v Stjarnan83-79
04/10/24Stjarnan v Valur95-81
02/02/24Stjarnan v Valur81-85
21/01/24Stjarnan v Valur84-79
02/11/23Valur v Stjarnan77-86
14/04/23Stjarnan v Valur68-74
11/04/23Valur v Stjarnan96-89
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HKeflavik113-94
07/11/26ANjardvik103-79
29/10/26HIR Reykjavik102-96
22/10/26AGrindavik92-98
16/10/26HHottur98-103
08/10/26AValur77-90
06/05/26ATindastoll91-100
03/05/26HTindastoll97-103
29/04/26ATindastoll88-103
25/04/26HTindastoll105-103 OT
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HAlftanes68-80
06/11/26ASindri86-73
30/10/26HArmann87-84
22/10/26ANjardvik93-85
16/10/26HGrindavik81-74
08/10/26HStjarnan90-77
06/05/26AGrindavik82-109
04/05/26HGrindavik85-79
30/04/26AGrindavik67-93
26/04/26HGrindavik79-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game97.5104.390.7
Allowed / game93.397.789.0
Point differential+4.2+6.7+1.7
Avg total190.8202.0179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valur
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game84.281.589.5
Allowed / game78.878.879.0
Point differential+5.3+2.8+10.5
Avg total163.0160.2168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KR Basket660100%100.785.8+14.8
2 Alftanes65183%107.091.7+15.3
3 Tindastoll65183%91.883.7+8.2
4 Valur65183%84.278.8+5.3
5 Keflavik64267%105.0102.0+3.0
6 Grindavik64267%90.087.3+2.7
7 Stjarnan63350%97.593.3+4.2
8 Hottur62433%92.0101.5-9.5
9 Njardvik61517%87.394.3-7.0
10 IR Reykjavik61517%92.3102.3-10.0
11 Sindri6060%83.893.0-9.2
12 Armann6060%85.3103.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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