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Keflavik vs Stjarnan Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 113-94
27-24 23-17 34-26 29-27
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game113.0
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLLLWL
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game76.5
IcelandIcelandic CupIcelandic Cup - Semi-finals· Blue-hollin
Other2023-24
Meetings · Keflavik v Stjarnan
18 Feb 2027
KEFL v STJA
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
KEFL107
STJA110
17 Oct 2025
KEFL92
STJA71
14 Mar 2025
KEFL107
STJA98
19 Mar 2024
KEFL113
STJA94
26 Jan 2024
KEFL97
STJA89
20 Jan 2023
KEFL115
STJA87
15 Oct 2021
KEFL80
STJA65
23 Apr 2021
KEFL100
STJA81
24 Jan 2020
KEFL77
STJA83
25 Oct 2018
KEFL68
STJA66
07 Dec 2017
KEFL81
STJA92
27 Jan 2017
KEFL103
STJA106
17 Dec 2015
KEFL87
STJA85
20 Oct 2014
KEFL83
STJA74
28 Mar 2014
KEFL93
STJA94
21 Mar 2014
KEFL81
STJA87
09 Jan 2014
KEFL96
STJA93
24 Mar 2013
KEFL100
STJA87
17 Jan 2013
KEFL107
STJA103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stjarnan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Hamar
#12
W
100-88
100
88
+12
85avg 89
H04/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
99-86
99
86
+13
92avg 89
H10/01
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
82-105
82
105
-23
73avg 89
A18/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
123-93
123
93
+30
121avg 89
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#7
W
97-89
97
89
+8
83avg 89
H26/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
104-93
104
93
+11
100avg 89
A01/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
114-109 OT
114
109
+5
no box
A16/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
74-87
74
87
-13
54avg 89
H08/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
110-71
110
71
+39
111avg 89
H11/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
108-89
108
89
+19
101avg 89
A14/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
21-20
29-23
19-28
32-33
21-25
18-16
28-12
14-28
20-24
28-32
20-21
29-21
25-15
37-31
32-26
25-22
25-21
26-32
21-14
31-35
30-26
22-19
21-13
21-28
23-26
20-17
23-16
11-32
21-16
20-16
22-23
35-16
27-23
22-17
26-15
32-25
24-13
25-21
27-30
192.1Avg total
101.1Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)113.090.0203.0+23.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)113.090.0203.0+23.0100%
Last 10 (10)101.191.0192.1+10.180%
Last 5 (5)102.089.8191.8+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)87.995.6183.4-7.729%
vs Similar (12)94.691.9186.5+2.758%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)100.588.4188.9+12.180%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
L
92-101
92
101
-9
84avg 79
H05/01
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
92-98
92
98
-6
85avg 79
A12/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
101-75
101
75
+26
98avg 79
H18/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
72avg 79
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#3
L
89-97
89
97
-8
80avg 79
A26/01
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
81-85
81
85
-4
69avg 79
H02/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
71-76
71
76
-5
61avg 79
H09/02
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
83-101
83
101
-18
74avg 79
A14/02
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
92-82
92
82
+10
89avg 79
H07/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
77-86
77
86
-9
66avg 79
A14/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-31
30-27
26-22
20-21
33-31
24-22
23-22
12-23
42-8
18-28
20-16
21-23
24-19
19-23
20-22
21-15
22-25
21-25
32-26
14-21
17-20
29-26
24-16
11-23
20-22
20-19
12-15
19-20
28-25
18-19
18-29
19-28
24-18
22-32
25-14
21-18
30-19
21-27
10-12
16-28
174.2Avg total
86.2Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.076.5169.5+16.5100%
Season at home (1)84.079.0163.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)102.074.0176.0+28.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.288.0174.2-1.830%
Last 5 (5)80.886.0166.8-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)83.387.9171.2-4.640%
vs Similar (13)86.288.5174.6-2.331%
vs Weaker (6)96.384.7181.0+11.783%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -4.6-4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -4.6-4.6
KeflavikStjarnan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamar
#12
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H04/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H10/01
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A18/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#7
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H26/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A01/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A16/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H08/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H11/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A14/03
Premier league
96.4Avg total
49.8Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.945.593.4+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.545.593.0+2.050%-
Last 30 away (16)48.345.593.8+2.850%-
Last 10 (10)49.846.696.4+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)51.048.099.0+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.146.088.1-3.943%-
vs Similar (12)47.746.093.7+1.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)51.444.996.3+6.550%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H05/01
Premier league
Thorl
#4
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A12/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H18/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A26/01
Premier league
Valur
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H02/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H09/02
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A14/02
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H07/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A14/03
Premier league
94.4Avg total
47.8Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.344.289.6+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.444.688.0-1.136%-
Last 30 away (16)47.043.990.9+3.156%-
Last 10 (10)47.846.694.4+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.845.491.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)41.846.187.9-4.330%-
vs Similar (13)44.245.289.4-1.138%-
vs Weaker (6)53.741.395.0+12.383%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 99.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.5 points a game
45%
41%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.3
55.2%
51.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.413.9
36.2%
35.4%41.7
🏀 Free throws23.317.4
74.7%
74.2%17.4
They take 75.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.5 points a game
45%
41%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.920.5
47.8%
51.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.2
34.5%
35.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.714.5
77.5%
74.2%14.5
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
WWLWWWWLWW
Stjarnan
LWLLLLWWLL
#1
League position
#3
+11.8
Net rating
-1.9
115.5
Offensive rating
107.5
103.7
Defensive rating
109.4
54.7%
Effective FG%
49.4%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
12.6%
Turnover %
16.8%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.2%
3-point %
34.5%
59.1%
Assist %
57.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 107.5Defence103.7 · 109.4Shooting54.7% · 49.4%3-point %36.2% · 34.5%Ball care12.6% · 16.8%Off. rebounds23.4% · 32.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Keflavik   ■ Stjarnan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Keflavik wins
5
Stjarnan wins
DateGameScore
26/01/24Keflavik v Stjarnan97-89
26/10/23Stjarnan v Keflavik87-81
20/01/23Keflavik v Stjarnan115-87
11/01/23Stjarnan v Keflavik89-83
13/10/22Stjarnan v Keflavik86-92
16/03/22Stjarnan v Keflavik95-93 OT
21/01/22Stjarnan v Keflavik98-95 OT
15/10/21Keflavik v Stjarnan80-65
23/04/21Keflavik v Stjarnan100-81
29/01/21Stjarnan v Keflavik115-75
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24ABreidablik108-89
11/03/24HHottur110-71
08/03/24HGrindavik74-87
16/02/24AAlftanes114-109 OT
01/02/24AHaukar104-93
26/01/24HStjarnan97-89
21/01/24AHottur123-93
18/01/24AValur82-105
10/01/24HTindastoll99-86
04/01/24HHamar100-88
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24AAlftanes77-86
07/03/24HHottur92-82
14/02/24AHaukar83-101
09/02/24HTindastoll71-76
02/02/24HValur81-85
26/01/24AKeflavik89-97
21/01/24HValur84-79
18/01/24HHamar101-75
12/01/24AThorl92-98
05/01/24HNjardvik92-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Icelandic Cup 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game113.0-113.0
Allowed / game90.0-90.0
Point differential+23.0-+23.0
Avg total203.0-203.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Stjarnan
Icelandic Cup 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.084.0102.0
Allowed / game76.579.074.0
Point differential+16.5+5.0+28.0
Avg total169.5163.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keflavik220100%113.090.0+23.0
2 Stjarnan220100%93.076.5+16.5
3 Tindastoll330100%87.371.0+16.3
4 Alftanes32167%84.782.3+2.3
5 Valur21150%103.586.5+17.0
6 KR Basket21150%91.591.0+0.5
7 Grindavik21150%83.585.0-1.5
8 Hottur21150%88.5102.5-14.0
9 Hamar1010%82.084.0-2.0
10 Breidablik1010%81.089.0-8.0
11 Haukar1010%80.088.0-8.0
12 Fjolnir1010%78.092.0-14.0
13 Selfoss1010%87.0103.0-16.0
14 Throttur1010%99.0123.0-24.0
15 Armann1010%74.0102.0-28.0
16 KV mfl.kk.1010%89.0128.0-39.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keflavik27233429113
Stjarnan2417262794
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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