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Alftanes vs Stjarnan Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 86-77
19-30 27-21 12-10 28-16
Position#6
Record10-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#7
Record9-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game85.5
IcelandPremier leagueRound 20· Ungmennafélag Álftaness
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alftanes v Stjarnan
28 Dec 2026
ALFT v STJA
upcoming
26 Mar 2026
ALFT124
STJA115
19 Jan 2025
ALFT88
STJA100
06 Dec 2024
ALFT77
STJA97
14 Mar 2024
ALFT86
STJA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alftanes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stjarnan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Hottur
#8
L
73-78
73
78
-5
62avg 75
A14/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
80-68
80
68
+12
74avg 75
A05/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
84-87
84
87
-3
86avg 75
A11/01
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
106-100 OT
106
100
+6
no box
H18/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
W
90-79
90
79
+11
91avg 75
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
L
51-89
51
89
-38
33avg 75
A25/01
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
94-104
94
104
-10
85avg 75
H01/02
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
104-67
104
67
+37
107avg 75
A08/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
109-114 OT
109
114
-5
no box
H16/02
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
71-89
71
89
-18
59avg 75
A07/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
25-22
13-17
21-17
22-20
23-17
9-15
26-16
27-19
18-23
27-21
12-24
36-22
16-23
18-22
19-22
24-23
18-22
20-17
28-17
9-22
13-14
10-28
19-25
28-26
25-24
17-30
24-24
23-22
33-13
18-12
30-20
28-21
26-23
17-20
16-23
27-25
15-21
14-21
15-22
173.7Avg total
86.2Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.282.8167.0+1.453%
Season at home (9)88.884.3173.1+4.467%
Season away (10)80.181.4161.5-1.340%
Last 10 (10)86.287.5173.7-1.340%
Last 5 (5)85.892.6178.4-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.580.5159.0-2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.786.0167.7-4.336%
vs Weaker (5)95.476.8172.2+18.6100%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Breidablik
#11
W
97-73
97
73
+24
96avg 80
A14/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
92-101
92
101
-9
84avg 80
H05/01
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
92-98
92
98
-6
85avg 80
A12/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
101-75
101
75
+26
98avg 80
H18/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
72avg 80
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#3
L
89-97
89
97
-8
80avg 80
A26/01
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
81-85
81
85
-4
69avg 80
H02/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
71-76
71
76
-5
61avg 80
H09/02
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
83-101
83
101
-18
74avg 80
A14/02
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
92-82
92
82
+10
89avg 80
H07/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
28-14
19-20
22-17
16-31
30-27
26-22
20-21
33-31
24-22
23-22
12-23
42-8
18-28
20-16
21-23
24-19
19-23
20-22
21-15
22-25
21-25
32-26
14-21
17-20
29-26
24-16
11-23
20-22
20-19
12-15
19-20
28-25
18-19
18-29
19-28
24-18
22-32
25-14
21-18
174.9Avg total
88.2Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.685.5172.1+1.247%
Season at home (9)86.383.7170.0+2.744%
Season away (10)86.987.1174.0-0.250%
Last 10 (10)88.286.7174.9+1.540%
Last 5 (5)83.288.2171.4-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)83.387.9171.2-4.640%
vs Similar ◀ (13)87.089.5176.5-2.531%
vs Weaker (6)96.384.7181.0+11.783%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.9-2.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.9-2.9
AlftanesStjarnan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hottur
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A14/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A05/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A11/01
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H18/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A25/01
Premier league
Thorl
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H01/02
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A08/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H16/02
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A07/03
Premier league
87.4Avg total
45.0Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)43.042.085.0+0.955%-
Last 30 at home (11)45.742.888.5+2.973%-
Last 30 away (11)40.241.381.5-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)45.042.487.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.442.287.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.542.085.5+1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.743.083.7-2.336%-
vs Weaker (5)48.637.686.2+11.0100%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breidablik
#11
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A14/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H05/01
Premier league
Thorl
#4
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A12/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H18/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A26/01
Premier league
Valur
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H02/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H09/02
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A14/02
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H07/03
Premier league
93.9Avg total
48.3Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.944.189.1+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.444.688.0-1.136%-
Last 30 away (16)46.243.890.0+2.550%-
Last 10 (10)48.345.693.9+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.246.290.4-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.846.187.9-4.330%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.245.088.2-1.831%-
vs Weaker (6)53.741.395.0+12.383%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.718.8
47.4%
51.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.6
38.7%
34.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.712.1
68.4%
74.4%12.1
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.821.4
48.9%
51.2%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.2
34.2%
34.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.114.7
77.0%
74.4%14.7
They take 73.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alftanes
LLWLLWWLWL
Stjarnan
WLLLLWWLLW
#6
League position
#7
+1.7
Net rating
+2.2
104.4
Offensive rating
108.6
102.7
Defensive rating
106.4
51.7%
Effective FG%
49.9%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
16.3%
Turnover %
16.4%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.7%
3-point %
34.2%
61.6%
Assist %
57.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 108.6Defence102.7 · 106.4Shooting51.7% · 49.9%3-point %38.7% · 34.2%Ball care16.3% · 16.4%Off. rebounds24.7% · 32.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Alftanes   ■ Stjarnan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alftanes wins
0
Stjarnan wins
DateGameScore
01/12/23Stjarnan v Alftanes84-90 OT
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24AValur71-89
16/02/24HKeflavik109-114 OT
08/02/24AHamar104-67
01/02/24HThorl94-104
25/01/24ANjardvik51-89
21/01/24AGrindavik90-79
18/01/24HBreidablik106-100 OT
11/01/24AGrindavik84-87
05/01/24ATindastoll80-68
14/12/23AHottur73-78
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24HHottur92-82
14/02/24AHaukar83-101
09/02/24HTindastoll71-76
02/02/24HValur81-85
26/01/24AKeflavik89-97
21/01/24HValur84-79
18/01/24HHamar101-75
12/01/24AThorl92-98
05/01/24HNjardvik92-101
14/12/23ABreidablik97-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alftanes
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL53%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %53%67%40%
Points / game84.288.880.1
Allowed / game82.884.381.4
Point differential+1.4+4.4-1.3
Avg total167.0173.1161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%22%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %16%22%10%
Stjarnan
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW47%
HomeLWLLW44%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%44%50%
Points / game86.686.386.9
Allowed / game85.583.787.1
Point differential+1.2+2.7-0.2
Avg total172.1170.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %11%11%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur1916384%92.581.7+10.8
2 Njardvik1813572%92.187.0+5.1
3 Keflavik1913668%96.089.9+6.1
4 Grindavik1913668%93.387.8+5.5
5 Thorl1912763%91.690.2+1.5
6 Tindastoll1910953%86.284.4+1.7
7 Alftanes1910953%84.282.8+1.4
8 Stjarnan1991047%86.685.5+1.2
9 Hottur1991047%83.486.1-2.7
10 Haukar1951426%88.290.6-2.5
11 Breidablik1821611%85.499.3-13.9
12 Hamar191185%83.798.3-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alftanes1927122886
Stjarnan3021101677
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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