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Stjarnan vs Valur Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-79
24-19 19-23 20-22 21-15
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#5
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game128.0
Allowed / game89.0
IcelandIcelandic CupIcelandic Cup - Quarter-finals· Mathus Gardabaejar hollin
Other2023-24
Meetings · Stjarnan v Valur
07 Jan 2027
STJA v VALU
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
STJA94
VALU91
04 Oct 2024
STJA95
VALU81
02 Feb 2024
STJA81
VALU85
21 Jan 2024
STJA84
VALU79
14 Apr 2023
STJA68
VALU74
07 Apr 2023
STJA73
VALU95
14 Jan 2023
STJA66
VALU72
05 Jan 2023
STJA76
VALU80
08 Apr 2022
STJA92
VALU94
04 Nov 2021
STJA79
VALU91
05 Mar 2021
STJA90
VALU79
13 Nov 2019
STJA83
VALU79
03 Feb 2019
STJA107
VALU71
08 Feb 2018
STJA93
VALU87
05 Dec 2013
STJA90
VALU80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#9
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
no box
A09/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
89-79
89
79
+10
87avg 83
H18/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
72-89
72
89
-17
57avg 83
A23/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
no box
H01/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
88-87
88
87
+1
84avg 83
A07/12
Premier league
Armann
#15
W
102-74
102
74
+28
103avg 83
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
Breidablik
#11
W
97-73
97
73
+24
96avg 83
A14/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
92-101
92
101
-9
84avg 83
H05/01
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
92-98
92
98
-6
85avg 83
A12/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
101-75
101
75
+26
98avg 83
H18/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
23-10
16-21
14-17
25-21
27-22
22-16
15-20
12-21
21-19
21-29
18-20
17-17
23-17
26-27
9-14
25-22
23-18
21-31
19-16
19-16
27-14
27-22
29-22
28-22
28-14
19-20
22-17
16-31
30-27
26-22
20-21
33-31
24-22
23-22
12-23
42-8
18-28
20-16
21-23
174.5Avg total
90.1Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)102.074.0176.0+28.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)102.074.0176.0+28.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.184.4174.5+5.760%
Last 5 (5)96.884.2181.0+12.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)81.786.2167.9-4.536%
vs Similar (12)86.892.7179.4-5.925%
vs Weaker (6)98.280.5178.7+17.7100%
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Haukar
#10
W
127-124 OT
127
124
+3
no box
A10/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
80-69
80
69
+11
72avg 86
H17/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
67-73
67
73
-6
63avg 86
A23/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
96-83
96
83
+13
96avg 86
H30/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
110-85
110
85
+25
108avg 86
A07/12
Premier league
KV mfl.kk.
#16
W
128-89
128
89
+39
no box
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
W
91-87
91
87
+4
85avg 86
H14/12
Premier league
Thorl
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
82avg 86
H04/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
111-89
111
89
+22
100avg 86
A11/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
105-82
105
82
+23
100avg 86
H18/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
27-23
16-32
28-22
16-28
26-24
17-9
21-8
23-18
19-19
13-20
12-16
27-19
23-23
32-24
14-17
29-19
27-26
25-25
29-15
–
–
–
–
26-22
20-26
22-16
23-23
15-18
19-21
27-24
29-19
26-23
28-20
29-26
28-20
28-14
24-20
32-28
21-20
186.8Avg total
100.5Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)128.089.0217.0+39.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)128.089.0217.0+39.0100%
Last 10 (10)100.586.3186.8+14.290%
Last 5 (5)105.085.8190.8+19.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)87.485.2172.6+2.254%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)92.982.6175.5+10.475%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +5.0+5.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +5.0+5.0
StjarnanValur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A09/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H18/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A23/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H01/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A07/12
Premier league
Armann
#15
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
Breidablik
#11
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A14/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H05/01
Premier league
Thorl
#4
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A12/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H18/01
Premier league
88.0Avg total
47.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.144.288.3-0.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.444.386.7-1.943%-
Last 30 away (16)45.644.189.7+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)47.840.288.0+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)53.042.695.6+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.445.786.1-5.427%-
vs Similar (12)42.445.087.4-2.642%-
vs Weaker (6)54.242.096.2+12.283%-
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A10/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H17/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A23/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H30/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A07/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H14/12
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H04/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A11/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H18/01
Premier league
90.2Avg total
47.7Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.042.088.9+5.066%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.342.287.6+3.156%-
Last 30 away (13)49.041.690.6+7.477%-
Last 10 (9)47.742.690.2+5.167%-
Last 5 (5)48.441.890.2+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)46.544.290.7+2.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.440.187.5+7.275%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.5 points a game
45%
41%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.521.7
47.7%
51.2%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.1
35.1%
35.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.615.8
76.7%
74.2%15.8
They take 74.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.5 points a game
45%
41%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.2
49.7%
51.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.9
35.6%
35.4%35.7
🏀 Free throws21.816.3
74.8%
74.2%16.3
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stjarnan
WLLWWWLLWW
Valur
WWWWWWWLWW
#3
League position
#5
+8.2
Net rating
+12.5
109.8
Offensive rating
109.7
101.6
Defensive rating
97.2
49.6%
Effective FG%
51.5%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
15.1%
Turnover %
13.8%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.1%
3-point %
35.6%
61.9%
Assist %
59.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 109.7Defence101.6 · 97.2Shooting49.6% · 51.5%3-point %35.1% · 35.6%Ball care15.1% · 13.8%Off. rebounds33.0% · 25.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Stjarnan   ■ Valur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Stjarnan wins
7
Valur wins
DateGameScore
02/11/23Valur v Stjarnan77-86
14/04/23Stjarnan v Valur68-74
11/04/23Valur v Stjarnan96-89
07/04/23Stjarnan v Valur73-95
04/04/23Valur v Stjarnan89-94
14/01/23Stjarnan v Valur66-72
05/01/23Stjarnan v Valur76-80 OT
06/10/22Valur v Stjarnan76-84
11/04/22Valur v Stjarnan95-85
08/04/22Stjarnan v Valur92-94 OT
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24HHamar101-75
12/01/24AThorl92-98
05/01/24HNjardvik92-101
14/12/23ABreidablik97-73
10/12/23AArmann102-74
07/12/23AGrindavik88-87
01/12/23HAlftanes84-90 OT
23/11/23AHottur72-89
18/11/23HHaukar89-79
09/11/23ATindastoll84-78 OT
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24HKeflavik105-82
11/01/24AHamar111-89
04/01/24HThorl90-82
14/12/23HNjardvik91-87
10/12/23AKV mfl.kk.128-89
07/12/23ABreidablik110-85
30/11/23HGrindavik96-83
23/11/23AAlftanes67-73
17/11/23HHottur80-69
10/11/23AHaukar127-124 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan
Icelandic Cup 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game102.0-102.0
Allowed / game74.0-74.0
Point differential+28.0-+28.0
Avg total176.0-176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Valur
Icelandic Cup 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game128.0-128.0
Allowed / game89.0-89.0
Point differential+39.0-+39.0
Avg total217.0-217.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur110100%128.089.0+39.0
2 Stjarnan110100%102.074.0+28.0
3 KR Basket110100%123.099.0+24.0
4 Keflavik110100%103.087.0+16.0
5 Alftanes110100%92.078.0+14.0
6 Grindavik110100%88.080.0+8.0
7 Tindastoll110100%89.081.0+8.0
8 Hottur110100%84.082.0+2.0
9 Hamar1010%82.084.0-2.0
10 Breidablik1010%81.089.0-8.0
11 Haukar1010%80.088.0-8.0
12 Fjolnir1010%78.092.0-14.0
13 Selfoss1010%87.0103.0-16.0
14 Throttur1010%99.0123.0-24.0
15 Armann1010%74.0102.0-28.0
16 KV mfl.kk.1010%89.0128.0-39.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stjarnan2419202184
Valur1923221579
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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