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Stoja vs Marsonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 80-88
17-25 25-27 20-21 18-15
Position#13
Record2-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Position#9
Record3-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game86.8
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 13· Stoja Sports Complex
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stoja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marsonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStoja
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#12
L
69-75
69
75
-6
60avg 72
A21/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 72
H28/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 72
A05/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
68-94
68
94
-26
56avg 72
H11/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
86-88
86
88
-2
92avg 72
A18/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
77-88
77
88
-11
72avg 72
A26/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
77avg 72
H02/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
79avg 72
A09/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
75avg 72
H16/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
66-76
66
76
-10
57avg 72
A23/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
16-24
22-11
15-19
21-33
15-25
28-17
16-15
28-30
22-23
20-15
23-17
19-28
18-21
15-24
16-21
27-22
19-25
16-11
24-30
16-28
14-18
25-23
22-19
24-21
17-19
17-16
21-13
16-34
19-22
18-18
29-19
20-29
22-25
17-20
18-17
12-26
11-8
22-21
21-21
162.6Avg total
77.7Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.389.0169.3-8.717%
Season at home (5)84.293.2177.4-9.020%
Season away (7)77.686.0163.6-8.414%
Last 10 (10)77.784.9162.6-7.220%
Last 5 (5)76.283.4159.6-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)87.194.5181.6-7.429%
vs Similar (7)77.481.6159.0-4.143%
vs Weaker (6)84.779.5164.2+5.267%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
94-102
94
102
-8
84avg 67
H22/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
75-88
75
88
-13
58avg 67
A29/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
79-81
79
81
-2
64avg 67
H04/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
71-77
71
77
-6
54avg 67
H12/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
106-107
106
107
-1
99avg 67
A18/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
102-74
102
74
+28
85avg 67
H26/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
60-99
60
99
-39
42avg 67
A03/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
95-91
95
91
+4
86avg 67
H10/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
66-80
66
80
-14
52avg 67
A16/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
81-87
81
87
-6
72avg 67
H23/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-21
7-32
30-25
18-24
12-29
25-14
14-21
24-24
22-14
24-19
15-23
18-25
10-31
18-14
21-15
22-17
27-36
28-22
32-26
19-23
16-10
27-14
31-20
28-30
17-23
11-24
8-24
24-28
23-20
17-30
32-17
23-24
16-29
22-14
8-22
20-15
19-28
21-21
20-16
21-22
171.5Avg total
82.9Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.586.8167.2-6.225%
Season at home (7)83.184.6167.7-1.429%
Season away (5)76.889.8166.6-13.020%
Last 10 (10)82.988.6171.5-5.720%
Last 5 (5)80.886.2167.0-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.890.5171.2-9.812%
vs Similar (2)71.577.5149.0-6.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)88.581.0169.5+7.550%
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.5-1.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.5-1.5
StojaMarsonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#12
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A21/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
H28/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A05/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H11/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A18/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A26/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H02/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A09/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H16/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A23/12
Prva Liga
85.4Avg total
37.2Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.546.789.2-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.345.489.6-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)40.947.988.8-7.019%-
Last 10 (10)37.248.285.4-11.010%-
Last 5 (5)34.246.080.2-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)43.249.592.8-6.329%-
vs Similar (7)38.943.182.0-4.314%-
vs Weaker (6)44.542.887.3+1.750%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H22/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A29/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H04/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H12/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A18/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H26/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A03/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H10/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A16/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H23/12
Prva Liga
84.6Avg total
40.1Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)38.743.882.5-5.217%-
Last 30 at home (7)38.942.080.9-3.129%-
Last 30 away (5)38.446.484.8-8.00%-
Last 10 (10)40.144.584.6-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.680.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.046.985.9-7.912%-
vs Similar (2)36.042.078.0-6.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)40.033.573.5+6.550%-
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stojatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stoja: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.324.2
53.4%
52.9%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.36.2
35.8%
32.9%18.6
🏀 Free throws14.810.8
73.0%
71.2%10.8
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.7
51.8%
52.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.8
31.4%
32.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.512.8
65.6%
71.2%12.8
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stoja
LLLWLLLWLL
Marsonia
LLWLWLLLLL
#13
League position
#9
-8.9
Net rating
-6.1
101.8
Offensive rating
101.0
110.7
Defensive rating
107.1
53.5%
Effective FG%
49.9%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
19.9%
Turnover %
18.4%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.8%
3-point %
31.4%
64.8%
Assist %
46.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 101.0Defence110.7 · 107.1Shooting53.5% · 49.9%3-point %35.8% · 31.4%Ball care19.9% · 18.4%Off. rebounds24.6% · 27.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Stoja   ■ Marsonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Stoja wins
0
Marsonia wins
No previous meetings.
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23APodstrana66-76
16/12/23HKvarner77-91
09/12/23AOmis82-93
02/12/23HGorica79-69
26/11/23ASamobor77-88
18/11/23AKastela86-88
11/11/23HMladost68-94
05/11/23AHermes93-85
28/10/23HOsijek80-90
21/10/23ACrikvenica69-75
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HKastela81-87
16/12/23AMladost66-80
10/12/23HHermes95-91
03/12/23AOsijek60-99
26/11/23HCrikvenica102-74
18/11/23AJazine106-107
12/11/23HKK Zagreb71-77
04/11/23HSamobor79-81
29/10/23APodstrana75-88
22/10/23HKvarner94-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stoja
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %17%20%14%
Points / game80.384.277.6
Allowed / game89.093.286.0
Point differential-8.7-9.0-8.4
Avg total169.3177.4163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%20%0%
Marsonia
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL25%
HomeLLWWL29%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %25%29%20%
Points / game80.583.176.8
Allowed / game86.884.689.8
Point differential-6.2-1.4-13.0
Avg total167.2167.7166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner1312192%91.774.8+16.8
2 Osijek1312192%88.374.2+14.2
3 KK Zagreb139469%81.872.8+8.9
4 Gorica138562%78.773.7+5.0
5 Kastela138562%80.875.8+4.9
6 Hermes137654%91.588.0+3.5
7 Jazine137654%85.387.7-2.4
8 Samobor137654%80.483.5-3.2
9 Omis136746%76.978.9-2.0
10 Podstrana134931%72.983.1-10.2
11 Marsonia123925%80.586.8-6.2
12 Mladost1331023%77.984.1-6.2
13 Stoja1221017%80.389.0-8.7
14 Crikvenica1321115%73.489.2-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stoja1725201880
Marsonia2527211588
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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