Sturt Sabres vs West Adelaide Bearcats Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Jul 2025

Tip-off: 10:30

Final 94-96 (OT)

18-23 21-21 21-23 24-17 10-12

Position#6

Record6-10

FormLWLLW

Points / game88.3

Allowed / game89.8

Sturt Sabres

West Adelaide Bearcats 🏆

Position#4

Record8-8

FormLWWLW

Points / game85.0

Allowed / game84.5

NBL1 Central

Other2025

Meetings · Sturt Sabres v West Adelaide Bearcats

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sturt Sabres winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

West Adelaide Bearcats winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sturt Sabres Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Southern Tigers

99-92

A03/05

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

114-88

114

+26

A10/05

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

95-73

+22

H24/05

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

89-91

-2

H01/06

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

86-109

109

-23

A14/06

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

85-97

-12

H21/06

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

#10

95-79

+16

A22/06

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

84-91

-7

A28/06

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

77-82

-5

H04/07

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

84-68

+16

A06/07

NBL1 Central

31-22

27-20

22-28

19-22

35-27

18-24

31-16

30-21

31-21

20-8

23-25

21-19

21-22

27-24

24-29

17-16

29-25

20-22

15-27

22-35

23-21

16-30

22-23

24-23

22-20

26-16

24-25

23-18

27-11

16-32

14-28

27-20

25-20

14-28

16-18

22-16

19-21

25-17

21-14

19-16

177.8Avg total

90.8Scored

87.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	88.3	89.8	178.1	-1.4	38%
Season at home (7)	85.6	87.4	173.0	-1.9	29%
Season away (9)	90.4	91.6	182.0	-1.1	44%
Last 10 (10)	90.8	87.0	177.8	+3.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	83.4	168.4	+1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	88.0	97.7	185.7	-9.7	11%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	90.4	88.1	178.5	+2.3	50%
vs Weaker (11)	97.2	84.4	181.5	+12.8	91%

This opponent (West Adelaide Bearcats) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

West Adelaide Bearcats Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Eastern Mavericks

94-75

+19

A03/05

NBL1 Central

Sturt Sabres

88-114

114

-26

H10/05

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

92-82

+10

H24/05

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

72-79

-7

A31/05

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

97-89

H14/06

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

69-100

100

-31

A15/06

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

#10

106-86

106

+20

H21/06

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

92-84

A28/06

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

88-91

-3

A04/07

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

81-68

+13

H05/07

NBL1 Central

29-14

22-31

19-14

24-16

27-35

24-18

16-31

21-30

26-11

19-28

28-17

19-26

21-35

17-14

19-16

15-14

17-23

28-25

26-18

26-23

25-28

11-28

11-24

22-20

39-20

27-23

19-13

21-30

24-27

22-22

19-18

27-17

28-25

24-26

19-22

17-18

17-24

19-4

20-20

25-20

174.7Avg total

87.9Scored

86.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	85.0	84.5	169.5	+0.5	50%
Season at home (8)	87.6	85.0	172.6	+2.6	62%
Season away (8)	82.4	84.0	166.4	-1.6	38%
Last 10 (10)	87.9	86.8	174.7	+1.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	85.8	173.0	+1.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	80.5	91.8	172.3	-11.3	33%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	83.3	84.0	167.3	-0.7	33%
vs Weaker (15)	95.4	80.4	175.8	+15.0	80%

This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sturt SabresWest Adelaide Bearcats

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	22.4	46.0	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.3	23.7	48.1	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	21.0	43.9	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.3	21.0	47.3	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.6	41.8	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.2	23.2	44.4	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	26.4	22.0	48.4	+4.4	80%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.1	22.0	45.1	+1.1	55%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	21.5	45.0	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.9	20.5	45.5	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.2	22.4	44.6	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.3	24.2	49.5	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	24.8	51.4	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.0	26.5	48.5	-4.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.2	22.2	43.4	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (15)	25.6	19.0	44.6	+6.6	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	22.7	45.2	-0.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	21.8	44.2	+0.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	23.5	46.3	-0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.1	43.0	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	24.6	44.0	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	23.9	25.7	49.6	-1.8	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.8	22.7	42.5	-2.9	40%	-
vs Weaker (11)	24.0	20.2	44.2	+3.8	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.7	43.2	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	21.4	44.0	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	21.9	42.5	-1.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.9	43.2	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	22.2	39.8	-4.5	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.6	20.0	42.6	+2.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.5	22.5	45.0	+0.1	40%	-

Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Southern Tigers

58-42

+16

A03/05

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

53-51

A10/05

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

51-29

+22

H24/05

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

48-46

H01/06

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

49-47

A14/06

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

39-51

-12

H21/06

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

#10

48-36

+12

A22/06

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

43-43

A28/06

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

39-48

-9

H04/07

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

44-38

A06/07

NBL1 Central

90.3Avg total

47.2Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.2	45.0	91.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.7	45.5	92.3	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.7	44.5	90.2	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.2	43.1	90.3	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	43.2	85.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	45.1	48.9	94.0	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	46.2	44.7	90.9	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	47.1	42.2	89.3	+4.9	64%	-

This opponent (West Adelaide Bearcats) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

West Adelaide BearcatsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Eastern Mavericks

51-45

A03/05

NBL1 Central

Sturt Sabres

51-53

-2

H10/05

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

45-39

H24/05

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

38-49

-11

A31/05

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

45-48

-3

H14/06

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

36-56

-20

A15/06

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

#10

66-43

+23

H21/06

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

46-49

-3

A28/06

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

52-51

A04/07

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

36-28

H05/07

NBL1 Central

92.7Avg total

46.6Scored

46.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.1	43.1	88.3	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.5	41.9	89.5	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.7	44.3	87.1	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.6	46.1	92.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	45.4	92.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.7	48.7	88.3	-9.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	43.8	42.2	86.0	+1.6	22%	-
vs Weaker (15)	48.1	41.5	89.6	+6.7	73%	-

This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	22.2	45.0	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	23.4	46.3	-0.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	21.1	43.7	+1.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	23.3	44.5	-2.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.6	41.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.4	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.6	22.1	44.7	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	24.6	23.3	47.9	+1.4	45%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	19.4	41.7	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	19.1	39.5	+1.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.4	37.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.8	20.3	38.2	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.0	17.4	40.4	+5.6	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	22.3	45.5	+0.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	20.4	42.7	+1.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.1	24.3	48.3	-0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.6	41.6	+4.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.2	27.7	49.9	-5.4	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.6	21.3	42.9	+0.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (11)	25.5	18.9	44.4	+6.5	91%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.4	43.7	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.9	23.6	47.5	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	21.4	43.1	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	23.0	22.8	45.8	+0.2	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (15)	24.3	21.5	45.8	+2.7	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.0	44.6	90.5	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.2	43.8	89.0	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.7	45.3	92.1	+1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	43.9	87.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	40.2	82.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	42.9	48.8	91.7	-5.9	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	44.2	43.4	87.6	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	50.1	42.2	92.3	+7.9	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	40.6	84.3	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.2	43.0	89.2	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	38.3	79.4	+2.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	40.7	82.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	40.4	80.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.8	43.2	84.0	-2.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	39.6	41.8	81.3	-2.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (15)	47.3	38.9	86.2	+8.3	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sturt Sabres wins

West Adelaide Bearcats wins

Date	Game	Score
10/05/25	West Adelaide Bearcats v Sturt Sabres	88-114
27/07/24	Sturt Sabres v West Adelaide Bearcats	100-81
22/06/24	West Adelaide Bearcats v Sturt Sabres	80-99
11/05/24	Sturt Sabres v West Adelaide Bearcats	81-104
05/08/23	West Adelaide Bearcats v Sturt Sabres	96-73
17/06/23	West Adelaide Bearcats v Sturt Sabres	93-91
20/04/23	Sturt Sabres v West Adelaide Bearcats	59-99
02/07/22	West Adelaide Bearcats v Sturt Sabres	84-69
23/04/22	Sturt Sabres v West Adelaide Bearcats	100-98 OT
07/08/21	Sturt Sabres v West Adelaide Bearcats	73-78

Sturt Sabreslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/07/25	A	North Adelaide Rockets	84-68
04/07/25	H	Woodville Warriors	77-82
28/06/25	A	Eastern Mavericks	84-91
22/06/25	A	Norwood Flames	95-79
21/06/25	H	South Adelaide Panthers	85-97
14/06/25	A	Central Districts Lions	86-109
01/06/25	H	Forestville Eagles	89-91
24/05/25	H	Eastern Mavericks	95-73
10/05/25	A	West Adelaide Bearcats	114-88
03/05/25	A	Southern Tigers	99-92

West Adelaide Bearcatslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/07/25	H	Central Districts Lions	81-68
04/07/25	A	Southern Tigers	88-91
28/06/25	A	North Adelaide Rockets	92-84
21/06/25	H	Norwood Flames	106-86
15/06/25	A	Forestville Eagles	69-100
14/06/25	H	South Adelaide Panthers	97-89
31/05/25	A	Woodville Warriors	72-79
24/05/25	H	North Adelaide Rockets	92-82
10/05/25	H	Sturt Sabres	88-114
03/05/25	A	Eastern Mavericks	94-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sturt Sabres

NBL1 Central 2025

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	38%
Home	WWLLL	29%
Away	WLWLW	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	7	9
Win %	38%	29%	44%
Points / game	88.3	85.6	90.4
Allowed / game	89.8	87.4	91.6
Point differential	-1.4	-1.9	-1.1
Avg total	178.1	173.0	182.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	29%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

West Adelaide Bearcats

NBL1 Central 2025

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	50%
Home	LWWWW	62%
Away	WLLWL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	50%	62%	38%
Points / game	85.0	87.6	82.4
Allowed / game	84.5	85.0	84.0
Point differential	+0.5	+2.6	-1.6
Avg total	169.5	172.6	166.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	50%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	-	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Forestville Eagles	16	14	2	88%	94.2	78.4	+15.8
2	Central Districts Lions	16	13	3	81%	93.6	84.9	+8.7
3	South Adelaide Panthers	16	11	5	69%	86.8	81.1	+5.8
4	Woodville Warriors	16	11	5	69%	81.8	79.1	+2.8
5	West Adelaide Bearcats	16	8	8	50%	85.0	84.5	+0.5
6	Sturt Sabres	16	6	10	38%	88.3	89.8	-1.4
7	Eastern Mavericks	16	6	10	38%	82.3	87.3	-5.0
8	Southern Tigers	16	5	11	31%	82.0	87.1	-5.1
9	Norwood Flames	16	3	13	19%	78.9	86.4	-7.4
10	North Adelaide Rockets	16	3	13	19%	75.8	90.4	-14.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Sturt Sabres	18	21	21	24	10	94
West Adelaide Bearcats	23	21	23	17	12	96

← all games of the day

Sturt Sabres vs West Adelaide Bearcats Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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