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Randers vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 91-84
21-27 21-21 24-18 25-18
Position#6
Record12-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game87.2
Randers 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#7
Record10-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game86.5
DenmarkBasketligaen· Arena Randers
Other2023-24
Meetings · Randers v Vaerlose
07 Feb 2027
RAND v VAER
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
RAND106
VAER80
21 Sep 2024
RAND106
VAER65
14 Mar 2024
RAND91
VAER84
11 Feb 2024
RAND79
VAER80
08 Oct 2022
RAND79
VAER63
13 Feb 2022
RAND109
VAER92
12 Apr 2021
RAND99
VAER91
05 Apr 2021
RAND105
VAER88
21 Mar 2021
RAND100
VAER94
12 Jan 2021
RAND93
VAER79
29 Dec 2019
RAND95
VAER85
09 Feb 2019
RAND114
VAER85
12 Jan 2015
RAND76
VAER91
07 Dec 2013
RAND122
VAER93
20 Nov 2013
RAND105
VAER63
03 Nov 2012
RAND95
VAER80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Randers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#8
W
97-75
97
75
+22
92avg 88
H07/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
97-100
97
100
-3
91avg 88
A11/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
105-81
105
81
+24
98avg 88
A15/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
83-115
83
115
-32
71avg 88
A20/01
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#4
W
79-74
79
74
+5
66avg 88
H21/01
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#5
L
84-88
84
88
-4
77avg 88
H29/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
84-109
84
109
-25
74avg 88
A09/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
79-80
79
80
-1
76avg 88
H11/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
86-78
86
78
+8
85avg 88
A15/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
114-108
114
108
+6
118avg 88
A04/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
32-18
27-30
21-10
35-26
20-23
20-31
22-20
28-21
22-19
27-26
28-15
18-18
23-27
22-39
20-31
20-19
12-18
24-19
23-18
16-19
22-30
23-20
23-19
20-24
25-21
16-35
23-29
18-23
19-16
23-18
19-23
20-17
28-16
18-23
20-22
37-28
16-24
31-25
30-31
181.6Avg total
90.8Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)94.587.2181.7+7.357%
Season at home (10)89.079.4168.4+9.650%
Season away (11)99.594.3193.8+5.364%
Last 10 (10)90.890.8181.6+0.050%
Last 5 (5)89.492.6182.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)86.895.2182.0-8.430%
vs Similar (8)91.488.8180.1+2.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)96.876.5173.3+20.392%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#4
L
84-85
84
85
-1
75avg 72
A17/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 72
H28/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 72
H07/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
76-98
76
98
-22
61avg 72
A15/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
78-99
78
99
-21
72avg 72
H25/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
61avg 72
H03/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
80-79
80
79
+1
73avg 72
A11/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
99-80
99
80
+19
94avg 72
H15/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
72-61
72
61
+11
70avg 72
A17/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
95-98
95
98
-3
88avg 72
H07/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
14-25
18-17
27-16
24-23
22-25
23-17
22-24
32-21
15-21
20-19
14-15
17-25
17-23
24-31
18-19
20-23
19-29
21-23
18-24
17-17
17-21
21-31
21-29
23-18
16-19
18-23
23-19
27-17
28-20
31-20
13-23
17-19
19-13
18-16
18-13
23-31
18-17
31-29
23-21
169.5Avg total
83.2Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.086.5168.4-4.548%
Season at home (11)85.587.6173.1-2.245%
Season away (10)78.185.2163.3-7.150%
Last 10 (10)83.286.3169.5-3.150%
Last 5 (5)84.483.2167.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.593.0172.5-13.515%
vs Similar (6)76.877.7154.5-0.867%
vs Weaker (10)88.476.8165.2+11.680%
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
RandersVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H07/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A11/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A15/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A20/01
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/01
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H29/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A09/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H11/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A15/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A04/03
Basketligaen
87.2Avg total
44.8Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.242.889.0+3.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.842.186.9+2.733%-
Last 30 away (15)47.543.591.0+4.153%-
Last 10 (10)44.842.487.2+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.687.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)44.645.089.6-0.440%-
vs Similar (8)45.444.489.8+1.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)48.039.987.9+8.158%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#4
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A17/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H28/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H07/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A15/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H25/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H03/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A11/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H15/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A17/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H07/03
Basketligaen
84.4Avg total
41.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.082.9-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.942.585.4+0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)38.741.480.1-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)41.043.484.4-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.479.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.645.885.5-6.231%-
vs Similar (6)39.839.078.8+0.867%-
vs Weaker (10)43.838.181.9+5.760%-
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.823.4
52.2%
51.8%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.0
35.4%
31.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.516.2
75.3%
67.0%16.2
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.420.9
49.3%
51.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.8
30.2%
31.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.617.6
77.9%
67.0%17.6
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Randers
WWLLLWLWLW
Vaerlose
LWWWLLLWWL
#6
League position
#7
-0.1
Net rating
-2.9
108.5
Offensive rating
104.0
108.6
Defensive rating
106.9
52.6%
Effective FG%
47.8%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
17.8%
Turnover %
17.0%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.4%
3-point %
30.2%
64.2%
Assist %
71.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 104.0Defence108.6 · 106.9Shooting52.6% · 47.8%3-point %35.4% · 30.2%Ball care17.8% · 17.0%Off. rebounds30.6% · 29.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Randers   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Randers wins
1
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
11/02/24Randers v Vaerlose79-80
07/11/23Vaerlose v Randers85-94
20/12/22Vaerlose v Randers71-85
08/10/22Randers v Vaerlose79-63
13/02/22Randers v Vaerlose109-92
08/10/21Vaerlose v Randers80-109
12/04/21Randers v Vaerlose99-91
08/04/21Vaerlose v Randers106-115
05/04/21Randers v Vaerlose105-88
21/03/21Randers v Vaerlose100-94
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/24ATeam FOG Naestved114-108
15/02/24AHerlev Wolfpack86-78
11/02/24HVaerlose79-80
09/02/24ABakken Bears84-109
29/01/24HSvendborg84-88
21/01/24HHorsens79-74
20/01/24ABakken Bears83-115
15/01/24AAmager105-81
11/01/24ATeam FOG Naestved97-100
07/01/24HBears Academy97-75
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24HSvendborg95-98
17/02/24ABears Academy72-61
15/02/24HHolbaek-Stenhus99-80
11/02/24ARanders80-79
03/02/24HBakken Bears76-98
25/01/24HHorsens78-99
15/01/24ASvendborg76-98
07/01/24HHerlev Wolfpack81-76
28/12/23HAmager91-89
17/12/23ACopenhagen84-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Randers
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW57%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%50%64%
Points / game94.589.099.5
Allowed / game87.279.494.3
Point differential+7.3+9.6+5.3
Avg total181.7168.4193.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL48%
HomeWLLWL45%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%45%50%
Points / game82.085.578.1
Allowed / game86.587.685.2
Point differential-4.5-2.2-7.1
Avg total168.4173.1163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%9%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2219386%100.576.9+23.6
2 Horsens2219386%89.872.2+17.6
3 Svendborg2217577%91.681.6+10.0
4 Team FOG Naestved2216673%96.383.6+12.7
5 Randers2112957%94.587.2+7.3
6 Copenhagen22121055%82.879.5+3.4
7 Vaerlose21101148%82.086.5-4.5
8 Bears Academy2261627%75.984.2-8.3
9 Herlev Wolfpack2241818%75.092.3-17.3
10 Holbaek-Stenhus2341917%72.190.4-18.3
11 Amager232219%75.8100.0-24.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Randers2121242591
Vaerlose2721181884
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