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Svendborg vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 08 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 88-83
25-16 11-23 20-21 32-23
Position#5
Record17-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Position#7
Record12-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game87.2
DenmarkBasketligaen· Rise Sparekasse Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Svendborg v Vaerlose
08 Nov 2026
SVEN v VAER
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
SVEN100
VAER69
10 Oct 2024
SVEN76
VAER62
08 Apr 2024
SVEN88
VAER83
15 Jan 2024
SVEN98
VAER76
29 Dec 2022
SVEN83
VAER75
16 Feb 2022
SVEN97
VAER82
09 Jan 2022
SVEN108
VAER70
03 Oct 2020
SVEN116
VAER72
30 Nov 2019
SVEN82
VAER96
10 Oct 2018
SVEN85
VAER73
26 Feb 2015
SVEN85
VAER77
29 Oct 2014
SVEN78
VAER73
30 Nov 2013
SVEN95
VAER88
14 Mar 2013
SVEN98
VAER88
07 Mar 2013
SVEN86
VAER71
23 Feb 2013
SVEN89
VAER92
15 Mar 2012
SVEN100
VAER72
08 Mar 2012
SVEN99
VAER91
01 Feb 2012
SVEN81
VAER63
22 Oct 2011
SVEN75
VAER65
10 Mar 2011
SVEN78
VAER65
27 Nov 2010
SVEN89
VAER79
26 Oct 2010
SVEN70
VAER65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
68avg 77
A01/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
117-87
117
87
+30
120avg 77
H07/02
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
123-94
123
94
+29
116avg 77
A15/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
98-95
98
95
+3
89avg 77
A07/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
76-83
76
83
-7
72avg 77
H11/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
88-97
88
97
-9
84avg 77
A18/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
83-91
83
91
-8
71avg 77
H21/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-100
70
100
-30
52avg 77
A25/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
92-102
92
102
-10
81avg 77
H31/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
70-80
70
80
-10
61avg 77
A05/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
8-18
22-29
26-21
28-9
30-26
29-21
30-31
41-20
26-22
25-20
31-32
31-23
17-18
29-31
21-23
22-21
20-21
7-20
27-21
12-30
28-28
24-14
24-25
23-25
17-29
22-21
21-16
22-18
9-25
20-30
19-27
22-23
26-30
19-25
25-24
11-17
25-26
22-20
12-17
180.8Avg total
89.3Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)89.683.9173.5+5.763%
Season at home (13)94.784.5179.2+10.262%
Season away (14)84.983.3168.1+1.664%
Last 10 (10)89.391.5180.8-2.230%
Last 5 (5)80.694.0174.6-13.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)74.493.1167.4-18.718%
vs Similar (4)86.886.0172.8+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)106.279.4185.6+26.9100%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Randers
#6
W
80-79
80
79
+1
73avg 72
A11/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
99-80
99
80
+19
94avg 72
H15/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
72-61
72
61
+11
70avg 72
A17/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
95-98
95
98
-3
88avg 72
H07/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
70avg 72
A14/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
64-86
64
86
-22
52avg 72
H18/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
79-103
79
103
-24
72avg 72
H21/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
92-86
92
86
+6
91avg 72
A25/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
78-70
78
70
+8
70avg 72
A28/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
87-103
87
103
-16
76avg 72
H04/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
16-19
18-23
23-19
27-17
28-20
31-20
13-23
17-19
19-13
18-16
18-13
23-31
18-17
31-29
23-21
27-21
21-21
18-24
18-25
17-24
20-22
11-19
16-21
24-23
18-24
13-28
24-28
31-23
17-18
17-14
27-31
23-21
15-11
17-16
23-22
24-27
26-27
23-22
14-27
168.7Avg total
83.0Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.787.2168.9-5.644%
Season at home (14)83.689.7173.3-6.136%
Season away (13)79.684.5164.2-4.954%
Last 10 (10)83.085.7168.7-2.750%
Last 5 (5)80.089.6169.6-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)79.992.0171.9-12.121%
vs Similar (3)75.375.3150.7+0.067%
vs Weaker (7)87.079.1166.1+7.986%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
SvendborgVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A01/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
58-35
58
35
+23
H07/02
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
67-42
67
42
+25
A15/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A07/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H11/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A18/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H21/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A25/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H31/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A05/04
Basketligaen
88.5Avg total
43.8Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.485.7-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.243.187.3+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.543.684.1-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)43.844.788.5-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.050.289.2-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.646.884.5-9.218%-
vs Similar (4)45.044.589.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)51.435.687.0+15.8100%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A11/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H15/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A17/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H07/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A14/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H18/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H21/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A25/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A28/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H04/04
Basketligaen
85.0Avg total
43.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.143.184.2-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.444.788.1-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)38.841.680.4-2.847%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.685.0+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.087.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)40.945.286.1-4.237%-
vs Similar (3)36.338.074.3-1.767%-
vs Weaker (7)44.339.183.4+5.157%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.724.7
55.3%
51.8%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.86.7
26.0%
31.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws26.218.8
71.8%
67.0%18.8
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.119.1
47.6%
51.8%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.6
32.1%
31.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws23.518.2
77.4%
67.0%18.2
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Svendborg
LLLLLLWWWL
Vaerlose
LWWLLLLWWW
#5
League position
#7
-2.9
Net rating
-3.1
105.7
Offensive rating
103.1
108.6
Defensive rating
106.2
49.3%
Effective FG%
47.8%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.8%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
26.0%
3-point %
32.1%
56.7%
Assist %
72.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 103.1Defence108.6 · 106.2Shooting49.3% · 47.8%3-point %26.0% · 32.1%Ball care16.5% · 17.8%Off. rebounds28.8% · 29.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Svendborg   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Svendborg wins
2
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
07/03/24Vaerlose v Svendborg95-98
15/01/24Svendborg v Vaerlose98-76
22/10/23Vaerlose v Svendborg79-83
29/12/22Svendborg v Vaerlose83-75
14/10/22Vaerlose v Svendborg78-76
04/03/22Vaerlose v Svendborg96-83
16/02/22Svendborg v Vaerlose97-82
09/01/22Svendborg v Vaerlose108-70
17/01/21Vaerlose v Svendborg79-89
03/10/20Svendborg v Vaerlose116-72
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/24AHorsens70-80
31/03/24HTeam FOG Naestved92-102
25/03/24ABakken Bears70-100
21/03/24HRanders83-91
18/03/24ATeam FOG Naestved88-97
11/03/24HHorsens76-83
07/03/24AVaerlose98-95
15/02/24AAmager123-94
07/02/24HHerlev Wolfpack117-87
01/02/24ATeam FOG Naestved76-86
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/24HRanders87-103
28/03/24AHorsens78-70
25/03/24ATeam FOG Naestved92-86
21/03/24HBakken Bears79-103
18/03/24HHorsens64-86
14/03/24ARanders84-91
07/03/24HSvendborg95-98
17/02/24ABears Academy72-61
15/02/24HHolbaek-Stenhus99-80
11/02/24ARanders80-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL63%
HomeWWLLL62%
AwayWWLLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %63%62%64%
Points / game89.694.784.9
Allowed / game83.984.583.3
Point differential+5.7+10.2+1.6
Avg total173.5179.2168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%46%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL44%
HomeWLLLL36%
AwayWWLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %44%36%54%
Points / game81.783.679.6
Allowed / game87.289.784.5
Point differential-5.6-6.1-4.9
Avg total168.9173.3164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%7%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2824486%99.577.9+21.6
2 Horsens2823582%88.073.4+14.7
3 Team FOG Naestved2819968%96.485.6+10.8
4 Svendborg27171063%89.683.9+5.7
5 Randers28161257%93.288.0+5.2
6 Copenhagen25141156%82.679.1+3.5
7 Vaerlose27121544%81.787.2-5.6
8 Bears Academy2581732%77.283.3-6.0
9 Herlev Wolfpack2662023%75.990.4-14.5
10 Holbaek-Stenhus2552020%72.390.5-18.2
11 Amager252238%76.199.0-22.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Svendborg2511203288
Vaerlose1623212383
← all games of the day
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