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Vaerlose vs Randers Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 87-103
24-27 26-27 23-22 14-27
Position#7
Record12-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game86.6
vs
Randers 🏆
Denmark
Position#6
Record15-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game87.6
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vaerlose v Randers
27 Sep 2026
VAER85
RAND89
18 Jan 2026
VAER73
RAND103
04 Dec 2024
VAER68
RAND79
04 Apr 2024
VAER87
RAND103
07 Nov 2023
VAER85
RAND94
20 Dec 2022
VAER71
RAND85
08 Oct 2021
VAER80
RAND109
08 Apr 2021
VAER106
RAND115
03 Dec 2020
VAER84
RAND103
08 Nov 2019
VAER91
RAND102
23 Nov 2018
VAER83
RAND86
27 Nov 2015
VAER78
RAND87
21 Feb 2015
VAER66
RAND84
03 Nov 2014
VAER66
RAND74
16 Jan 2014
VAER68
RAND94
31 Jan 2013
VAER97
RAND76
11 Nov 2012
VAER111
RAND105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Randers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
61avg 72
H03/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
80-79
80
79
+1
73avg 72
A11/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
99-80
99
80
+19
94avg 72
H15/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
72-61
72
61
+11
70avg 72
A17/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
95-98
95
98
-3
88avg 72
H07/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
70avg 72
A14/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
64-86
64
86
-22
52avg 72
H18/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
79-103
79
103
-24
72avg 72
H21/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
92-86
92
86
+6
91avg 72
A25/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
78-70
78
70
+8
70avg 72
A28/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
17-21
21-31
21-29
23-18
16-19
18-23
23-19
27-17
28-20
31-20
13-23
17-19
19-13
18-16
18-13
23-31
18-17
31-29
23-21
27-21
21-21
18-24
18-25
17-24
20-22
11-19
16-21
24-23
18-24
13-28
24-28
31-23
17-18
17-14
27-31
23-21
15-11
17-16
23-22
167.1Avg total
81.9Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.586.6168.1-5.246%
Season at home (13)83.388.7172.0-5.438%
Season away (13)79.684.5164.2-4.954%
Last 10 (10)81.985.2167.1-3.350%
Last 5 (5)79.487.2166.6-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)79.591.4170.9-11.922%
vs Similar (3)75.375.3150.7+0.067%
vs Weaker (8)89.176.8165.9+12.488%
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#5
L
84-88
84
88
-4
77avg 86
H29/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
84-109
84
109
-25
74avg 86
A09/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
79-80
79
80
-1
76avg 86
H11/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
86-78
86
78
+8
85avg 86
A15/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
114-108
114
108
+6
118avg 86
A04/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
91-84
91
84
+7
89avg 86
H14/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
83-96
83
96
-13
73avg 86
H18/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
91-83
91
83
+8
77avg 86
A21/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
84-98
84
98
-14
77avg 86
H25/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
87-85
87
85
+2
78avg 86
A01/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
22-30
23-20
23-19
20-24
25-21
16-35
23-29
18-23
19-16
23-18
19-23
20-17
28-16
18-23
20-22
37-28
16-24
31-25
30-31
21-27
21-21
24-18
25-18
24-30
26-27
21-24
12-15
25-23
29-17
21-22
16-21
24-24
29-24
22-27
9-23
20-23
21-26
28-16
18-20
179.2Avg total
88.3Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)93.187.6180.7+5.558%
Season at home (13)88.382.5170.8+5.846%
Season away (13)97.992.7190.6+5.269%
Last 10 (10)88.390.9179.2-2.650%
Last 5 (5)87.289.2176.4-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)86.394.7181.0-8.431%
vs Similar (5)93.892.2186.0+1.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)97.477.5174.9+19.992%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
VaerloseRanders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H03/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A11/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H15/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A17/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H07/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A14/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H18/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H21/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A25/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A28/03
Basketligaen
81.8Avg total
41.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.183.2-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.442.686.0+0.847%-
Last 30 away (15)38.841.680.4-2.847%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.081.8+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.641.684.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.444.785.1-4.239%-
vs Similar (3)36.338.074.3-1.767%-
vs Weaker (8)45.037.182.1+7.962%-
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H29/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A09/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H11/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A15/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A04/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H14/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H18/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A21/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H25/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A01/04
Basketligaen
92.1Avg total
46.1Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.543.991.4+3.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.443.189.5+3.340%-
Last 30 away (15)48.744.793.3+4.053%-
Last 10 (10)46.146.092.1+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)48.048.496.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)45.446.591.8-1.138%-
vs Similar (5)50.445.696.0+4.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)48.740.389.0+8.358%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.019.3
47.1%
51.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.2
31.2%
31.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws23.317.9
76.8%
67.0%17.9
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.523.9
53.7%
51.8%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.5
31.0%
31.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws23.117.2
74.5%
67.0%17.2
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
WWLLLLWWWL
Randers
WLWLWWWLLL
#7
League position
#6
-3.9
Net rating
-3.1
101.5
Offensive rating
107.6
105.4
Defensive rating
110.7
47.0%
Effective FG%
51.2%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
17.8%
Turnover %
17.3%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.2%
3-point %
31.0%
73.1%
Assist %
67.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 107.6Defence105.4 · 110.7Shooting47.0% · 51.2%3-point %31.2% · 31.0%Ball care17.8% · 17.3%Off. rebounds28.6% · 30.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Randers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vaerlose wins
9
Randers wins
DateGameScore
14/03/24Randers v Vaerlose91-84
11/02/24Randers v Vaerlose79-80
07/11/23Vaerlose v Randers85-94
20/12/22Vaerlose v Randers71-85
08/10/22Randers v Vaerlose79-63
13/02/22Randers v Vaerlose109-92
08/10/21Vaerlose v Randers80-109
12/04/21Randers v Vaerlose99-91
08/04/21Vaerlose v Randers106-115
05/04/21Randers v Vaerlose105-88
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24AHorsens78-70
25/03/24ATeam FOG Naestved92-86
21/03/24HBakken Bears79-103
18/03/24HHorsens64-86
14/03/24ARanders84-91
07/03/24HSvendborg95-98
17/02/24ABears Academy72-61
15/02/24HHolbaek-Stenhus99-80
11/02/24ARanders80-79
03/02/24HBakken Bears76-98
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/24ABakken Bears87-85
25/03/24HHorsens84-98
21/03/24ASvendborg91-83
18/03/24HBakken Bears83-96
14/03/24HVaerlose91-84
04/03/24ATeam FOG Naestved114-108
15/02/24AHerlev Wolfpack86-78
11/02/24HVaerlose79-80
09/02/24ABakken Bears84-109
29/01/24HSvendborg84-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW46%
HomeLWLLL38%
AwayWWLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %46%38%54%
Points / game81.583.379.6
Allowed / game86.688.784.5
Point differential-5.2-5.4-4.9
Avg total168.1172.0164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Randers
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeLLWLL46%
AwayLWWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %58%46%69%
Points / game93.188.397.9
Allowed / game87.682.592.7
Point differential+5.5+5.8+5.2
Avg total180.7170.8190.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%31%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2824486%99.577.9+21.6
2 Horsens2722581%88.373.5+14.9
3 Team FOG Naestved2718967%96.285.6+10.6
4 Svendborg2617965%90.384.0+6.3
5 Randers26151158%93.187.6+5.5
6 Copenhagen25141156%82.679.1+3.5
7 Vaerlose26121446%81.586.6-5.2
8 Bears Academy2481633%77.283.1-5.9
9 Herlev Wolfpack2552020%75.490.8-15.4
10 Holbaek-Stenhus2552020%72.390.5-18.2
11 Amager252238%76.199.0-22.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose2426231487
Randers27272227103
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