Perth Lynx W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2014

Tip-off: 11:30

Final 57-70

26-17 9-24 4-17 18-12

Position#9

Record1-20

FormLLLLL

Points / game55.3

Allowed / game82.2

Perth Lynx W

Adelaide Lightning W 🏆

Position#5

Record10-12

FormWLLWL

Points / game72.6

Allowed / game71.3

NBL WRound 18

Women2013-14

Meetings · Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth Lynx W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Adelaide Lightning W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth Lynx W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville W

67-95

-28

A30/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

58-79

-21

H07/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

56-87

-31

H13/12

NBL W

Townsville W

56-88

-32

H20/12

NBL W

Logan W

65-69

-4

H04/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

50-65

-15

A10/01

NBL W

Bendigo W

49-77

-28

A11/01

NBL W

Sydney W

43-75

-32

A17/01

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

65-96

-31

A18/01

NBL W

Dandenong W

61-99

-38

H31/01

NBL W

11-21

19-28

16-24

21-22

16-22

18-22

10-16

14-19

17-22

15-26

4-24

20-15

12-27

19-22

7-18

18-21

13-26

14-17

16-14

22-12

9-18

19-20

11-12

11-15

15-14

4-23

12-18

18-22

13-22

19-15

9-18

2-20

19-25

18-26

14-21

14-24

17-25

16-16

13-24

15-34

140.0Avg total

57.0Scored

83.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	55.3	82.2	137.6	-26.9	5%
Season at home (11)	58.6	82.5	141.2	-23.9	0%
Season away (10)	51.7	81.9	133.6	-30.2	10%
Last 10 (10)	57.0	83.0	140.0	-26.0	0%
Last 5 (5)	53.6	82.4	136.0	-28.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	55.5	79.8	135.2	-24.3	4%
vs Similar (2)	61.0	66.0	127.0	-5.0	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide Lightning W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney W

63-62

A07/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

58-66

-8

H15/12

NBL W

Townsville W

67-75

-8

H22/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

84-64

+20

H04/01

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

73-62

+11

A11/01

NBL W

Logan W

88-68

+20

H18/01

NBL W

Dandenong W

84-90

-6

A24/01

NBL W

Sydney W

68-71

-3

H26/01

NBL W

Logan W

77-71

A01/02

NBL W

Townsville W

65-78

-13

A02/02

NBL W

18-16

16-13

9-15

20-18

13-20

17-6

10-18

18-22

26-13

7-15

19-27

15-20

21-19

27-10

21-24

15-11

19-21

20-14

11-16

23-11

30-19

13-14

21-19

24-16

34-22

10-21

26-23

14-24

16-20

14-20

21-11

17-20

18-16

18-15

21-16

20-24

21-23

26-22

2-18

16-15

143.4Avg total

72.7Scored

70.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	72.6	71.3	143.9	+1.3	45%
Season at home (11)	75.5	67.5	143.1	+8.0	55%
Season away (11)	69.6	75.0	144.6	-5.4	36%
Last 10 (10)	72.7	70.7	143.4	+2.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	75.6	152.0	+0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	71.1	75.2	146.4	-4.1	25%
vs Similar (12)	72.5	71.9	144.4	+0.6	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	83.6	64.7	148.3	+18.9	80%

This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Perth Lynx WAdelaide Lightning W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.5	21.2	36.6	-5.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.2	22.0	38.2	-5.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	14.6	20.2	34.8	-5.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.2	22.2	36.4	-8.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	20.8	35.4	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	15.2	21.1	36.4	-5.9	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.0	21.5	40.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.2	39.6	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	16.4	37.6	+4.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	20.1	41.9	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	18.9	40.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	20.0	43.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.9	18.0	39.9	+3.9	62%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	19.3	38.5	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.9	16.9	40.8	+7.0	90%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	14.2	20.1	34.3	-5.9	20%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	14.4	20.2	34.6	-5.8	12%	-
Last 30 away (14)	14.0	19.9	33.9	-5.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	21.5	37.6	-5.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	20.0	35.2	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	14.2	20.5	34.7	-6.2	18%	-
vs Similar (2)	13.5	14.5	28.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	17.9	35.5	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	16.2	34.3	+1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	19.7	36.9	-2.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	15.0	31.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.4	34.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.4	19.1	37.5	-0.8	38%	-
vs Similar (12)	15.6	17.6	33.2	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	19.5	17.2	36.7	+2.3	50%	-

Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville W

30-49

-19

A30/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

34-44

-10

H07/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

32-48

-16

H13/12

NBL W

Townsville W

31-49

-18

H20/12

NBL W

Logan W

27-43

-16

H04/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

28-38

-10

A10/01

NBL W

Bendigo W

19-37

-18

A11/01

NBL W

Sydney W

32-37

-5

A17/01

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

37-51

-14

A18/01

NBL W

Dandenong W

33-41

-8

H31/01

NBL W

74.0Avg total

30.3Scored

43.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.7	41.2	70.9	-11.6	13%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	30.6	42.2	72.8	-11.6	12%	-
Last 30 away (14)	28.6	40.1	68.7	-11.6	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.3	43.7	74.0	-13.4	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.8	40.8	70.6	-11.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	29.5	41.6	71.1	-12.1	11%	-
vs Similar (2)	32.5	36.0	68.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney W

34-29

A07/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

30-26

H15/12

NBL W

Townsville W

33-28

H22/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

48-29

+19

H04/01

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

39-35

A11/01

NBL W

Logan W

43-33

+10

H18/01

NBL W

Dandenong W

44-43

A24/01

NBL W

Sydney W

30-40

-10

H26/01

NBL W

Logan W

36-31

A01/02

NBL W

Townsville W

47-45

A02/02

NBL W

72.3Avg total

38.4Scored

33.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	36.0	75.1	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.2	32.7	71.9	+6.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	39.9	78.8	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	33.9	72.3	+4.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	38.4	78.4	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.2	37.1	77.4	+3.1	88%	-
vs Similar (12)	34.8	36.9	71.7	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	43.4	34.1	77.5	+9.3	80%	-

This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	11.3	18.1	29.4	-6.8	10%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	11.8	17.9	29.7	-6.2	12%	-
Last 30 away (14)	10.8	18.2	29.0	-7.4	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	11.2	18.9	30.1	-7.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	11.8	18.6	30.4	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	11.4	18.6	29.9	-7.2	7%	-
vs Similar (2)	10.5	11.0	21.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	16.7	34.7	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	16.1	36.1	+3.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.6	17.5	33.1	-1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	18.7	34.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.4	35.6	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	14.9	20.0	34.9	-5.1	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.2	17.5	34.8	-0.2	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.3	13.2	34.5	+8.1	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	14.9	19.5	34.4	-4.7	20%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	15.6	19.6	35.1	-4.0	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	14.1	19.5	33.6	-5.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.5	20.4	35.9	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.0	23.0	35.0	-11.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	14.6	19.6	34.2	-4.9	18%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.6	36.4	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	18.1	37.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	17.1	34.8	+0.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.1	36.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.0	18.1	34.1	-2.1	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.5	17.5	38.0	+3.0	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	18.9	17.4	36.3	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.2	37.6	63.8	-11.4	13%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	27.3	37.5	64.8	-10.2	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.9	37.7	62.6	-12.9	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.7	39.3	66.0	-12.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	41.6	65.4	-17.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	26.0	38.1	64.1	-12.1	11%	-
vs Similar (2)	28.5	30.0	58.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	34.4	71.1	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.7	34.2	73.9	+5.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.4	34.6	67.9	-1.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.3	36.8	71.1	-2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	37.2	73.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	30.9	38.1	69.0	-7.2	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.8	35.0	72.8	+2.8	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	40.2	30.6	70.8	+9.6	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Perth Lynx W wins

Adelaide Lightning W wins

Date	Game	Score
03/11/13	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	93-41
05/10/13	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	65-69
22/12/12	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	64-77
08/12/12	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	85-48
27/10/12	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	65-75
13/01/12	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	51-84
17/12/11	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	57-78
08/10/11	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	97-70
19/02/11	Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W	100-103 OT
20/11/10	Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W	68-56

Perth Lynx Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/01/14	H	Dandenong W	61-99
18/01/14	A	Canberra C. Acad. W	65-96
17/01/14	A	Sydney W	43-75
11/01/14	A	Bendigo W	49-77
10/01/14	A	Geelong United W	50-65
04/01/14	H	Logan W	65-69
20/12/13	H	Townsville W	56-88
13/12/13	H	Geelong United W	56-87
07/12/13	H	Dandenong W	58-79
30/11/13	A	Townsville W	67-95

Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/02/14	A	Townsville W	65-78
01/02/14	A	Logan W	77-71
26/01/14	H	Sydney W	68-71
24/01/14	A	Dandenong W	84-90
18/01/14	H	Logan W	88-68
11/01/14	A	Canberra C. Acad. W	73-62
04/01/14	H	Dandenong W	84-64
22/12/13	H	Townsville W	67-75
15/12/13	H	Geelong United W	58-66
07/12/13	A	Sydney W	63-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth Lynx W

NBL W 2013-14

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	5%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	LLLLL	10%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	5%	0%	10%
Points / game	55.3	58.6	51.7
Allowed / game	82.2	82.5	81.9
Point differential	-26.9	-23.9	-30.2
Avg total	137.6	141.2	133.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Adelaide Lightning W

NBL W 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	45%
Home	LLWWL	55%
Away	WWLWL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	45%	55%	36%
Points / game	72.6	75.5	69.6
Allowed / game	71.3	67.5	75.0
Point differential	+1.3	+8.0	-5.4
Avg total	143.9	143.1	144.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	45%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	33% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bendigo W	22	20	2	91%	77.2	62.9	+14.4
2	Dandenong W	23	16	7	70%	83.6	74.7	+9.0
3	Geelong United W	21	14	7	67%	68.5	66.0	+2.5
4	Townsville W	22	14	8	64%	78.7	71.3	+7.4
5	Adelaide Lightning W	22	10	12	45%	72.6	71.3	+1.3
6	Canberra C. Acad. W	22	9	13	41%	76.7	78.4	-1.7
7	Sydney W	22	8	14	36%	73.4	73.3	+0.1
8	Logan W	21	6	15	29%	71.7	79.6	-7.9
9	Perth Lynx W	21	1	20	5%	55.3	82.2	-26.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Perth Lynx W	26	9	4	18	57
Adelaide Lightning W	17	24	17	12	70

← all games of the day

Perth Lynx W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature