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Tallinna Kalev vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 85-77
20-21 27-13 17-13 21-30
Position#16
Record3-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game90.2
vs
Position#11
Record10-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game81.8
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sole Spordikeskus (Tallinn)
Other2023
Meetings · Tallinna Kalev v BK Liepaja
09 Mar 2024
TALL85
BK L77
13 Jan 2023
TALL81
BK L83
21 Nov 2021
TALL74
BK L97
10 Nov 2018
TALL73
BK L60
07 Feb 2017
TALL75
BK L92
18 Feb 2011
TALL74
BK L72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tallinna Kalev winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Liepaja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tallinna KalevLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalev
Date
Competition
Parnu
#8
L
63-104
63
104
-41
43avg 57
A23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
52-110
52
110
-58
38avg 57
H05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
64-89
64
89
-25
61avg 57
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
66-92
66
92
-26
38avg 57
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
95-75
95
75
+20
92avg 57
A28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
71-87
71
87
-16
57avg 57
A02/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
74-105
74
105
-31
61avg 57
A07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
88-100
88
100
-12
77avg 57
H11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
62-96
62
96
-34
47avg 57
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
80-94
80
94
-14
64avg 57
H06/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-31
17-22
21-30
13-21
8-25
12-31
21-24
11-30
18-22
20-24
14-19
12-24
12-33
17-19
17-19
20-21
19-15
22-14
23-19
31-27
23-18
17-25
12-23
19-21
20-32
17-22
18-22
19-29
27-26
16-21
18-26
27-27
12-25
13-24
25-18
12-29
20-23
23-25
15-17
22-29
166.7Avg total
71.5Scored
95.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)69.790.2159.9-20.512%
Season at home (12)72.688.2160.8-15.68%
Season away (13)67.192.1159.2-25.015%
Last 10 (10)71.595.2166.7-23.710%
Last 5 (5)75.096.4171.4-21.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)67.591.9159.4-24.38%
vs Similar (3)75.375.7151.0-0.333%
vs Weaker (1)106.083.0189.0+23.0100%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#4
L
70-90
70
90
-20
54avg 70
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
H28/01
Latvian Cup
Rapla
#10
L
89-98 OT
89
98
-9
77avg 70
A30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
65-90
65
90
-25
no box
A02/02
Latvian Cup
Keila KK
#12
L
89-97
89
97
-8
90avg 70
A09/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 70
A10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
69-68
69
68
+1
63avg 70
A13/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
70-83
70
83
-13
59avg 70
H28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
68-81
68
81
-13
59avg 70
H03/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
69-91
69
91
-22
58avg 70
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-30
19-22
24-22
12-16
24-18
17-25
13-26
25-21
24-21
13-25
21-20
25-17
14-24
10-26
23-20
18-20
15-26
26-31
28-21
20-19
21-20
15-25
22-23
21-15
23-23
15-11
17-17
14-17
23-21
16-16
20-26
11-20
16-28
22-16
15-19
15-18
20-20
15-23
15-19
19-29
161.8Avg total
74.7Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.381.8160.1-3.538%
Season at home (13)79.877.6157.5+2.254%
Season away (13)76.786.0162.7-9.323%
Last 10 (10)74.787.1161.8-12.410%
Last 5 (5)71.081.2152.2-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.486.5161.9-11.120%
vs Similar (10)81.382.3163.6-1.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)81.868.8150.6+13.080%
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -7.2-7.2Q4: -1.2-1.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -7.2-7.2Q4: -1.2-1.2
Tallinna KalevBK Liepaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#8
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
20-56
20
56
-36
H05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A02/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
25-49
25
49
-24
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H06/03
Latvia-Estonian League
82.2Avg total
34.5Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.244.578.7-10.217%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.744.780.4-9.015%-
Last 30 away (17)33.144.377.4-11.218%-
Last 10 (10)34.547.782.2-13.210%-
Last 5 (5)37.648.285.8-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)33.045.979.0-12.98%-
vs Similar (3)37.734.372.0+3.367%-
vs Weaker (1)55.037.092.0+18.0100%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#4
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H28/01
Latvian Cup
Rapla
#10
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
24-50
24
50
-26
A02/02
Latvian Cup
Keila KK
#12
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A09/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A13/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H03/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
81.4Avg total
36.3Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.941.579.4-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.740.779.3-2.040%-
Last 30 away (15)37.142.379.5-5.233%-
Last 10 (10)36.345.181.4-8.820%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.677.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.343.578.8-8.120%-
vs Similar (10)40.043.283.2-3.230%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)41.432.273.6+9.2100%-
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tallinna Kalevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tallinna Kalev: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.019.0
43.2%
50.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.8
30.9%
32.1%20.4
🏀 Free throws18.112.1
66.9%
70.5%12.1
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.8
50.5%
50.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.0
29.1%
32.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.213.2
76.7%
70.5%13.2
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tallinna Kalev
LLLLLWLLLL
BK Liepaja
LLLWLLLLLL
#16
League position
#11
-31.0
Net rating
-10.9
89.9
Offensive rating
99.9
120.8
Defensive rating
110.8
44.2%
Effective FG%
47.6%
59.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
20.2%
Turnover %
18.4%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.9%
3-point %
29.1%
53.9%
Assist %
57.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence89.9 · 99.9Defence120.8 · 110.8Shooting44.2% · 47.6%3-point %30.9% · 29.1%Ball care20.2% · 18.4%Off. rebounds27.7% · 28.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)10% · 10%
■ Tallinna Kalev   ■ BK Liepaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Tallinna Kalev wins
7
BK Liepaja wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24HVentspils80-94
01/03/24AValmiera Glass Via62-96
11/02/24HBK Ogre88-100
07/02/24ATal Tech74-105
02/02/24ATartu Ulikool71-87
28/01/24AViimsi95-75
21/01/24HVEF Riga66-92
10/01/24HRigas Zelli64-89
05/01/24HPrometey52-110
23/12/23AParnu63-104
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/24ABC Kalev/Cramo69-91
03/03/24HTal Tech68-81
28/02/24HPrometey70-83
13/02/24ALatvijas Universitate69-68
10/02/24AParnu79-83
09/02/24AKeila KK89-97
02/02/24ARigas Zelli65-90
30/01/24ARapla89-98 OT
28/01/24HRigas Zelli79-90
24/01/24HVentspils70-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tallinna Kalev
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLLLLL8%
AwayLWLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %12%8%15%
Points / game69.772.667.1
Allowed / game90.288.292.1
Point differential-20.5-15.6-25.0
Avg total159.9160.8159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeWLLLL54%
AwayLLLWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %38%54%23%
Points / game78.379.876.7
Allowed / game81.877.686.0
Point differential-3.5+2.2-9.3
Avg total160.1157.5162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %12%8%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2625196%87.469.8+17.7
2 Prometey2522388%90.769.5+21.2
3 VEF Riga2621581%85.971.2+14.7
4 Ventspils2619773%92.583.4+9.1
5 Tartu Ulikool2617965%78.371.7+6.7
6 Rigas Zelli27161159%79.874.1+5.7
7 BK Ogre27151256%79.576.3+3.1
8 Parnu27141352%77.676.1+1.4
9 Tal Tech27131448%78.880.4-1.6
10 Rapla26111542%74.876.7-1.9
11 BK Liepaja26101638%78.381.8-3.5
12 Keila KK2791833%79.885.8-6.0
13 Valmiera Glass Via2662023%74.184.2-10.0
14 Viimsi2652119%67.285.7-18.5
15 Latvijas Universitate2742315%67.784.7-17.0
16 Tallinna Kalev2532212%69.790.2-20.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tallinna Kalev2027172185
BK Liepaja2113133077
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