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Tallinna Kalev vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 88-100
27-26 16-21 18-26 27-27
Position#16
Record3-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game89.3
vs
BK Ogre 🏆
Position#7
Record12-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game75.6
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sole Spordikeskus (Tallinn)
Other2023
Meetings · Tallinna Kalev v BK Ogre
11 Feb 2024
TALL88
BK O100
10 Dec 2022
TALL56
BK O63
12 Feb 2022
TALL52
BK O97
20 Oct 2018
TALL83
BK O81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tallinna Kalev winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Ogre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tallinna KalevLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalev
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
L
91-101
91
101
-10
89avg 56
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
64-94
64
94
-30
43avg 56
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
62-107
62
107
-45
47avg 56
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
63-104
63
104
-41
43avg 56
A23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
52-110
52
110
-58
38avg 56
H05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
64-89
64
89
-25
61avg 56
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
66-92
66
92
-26
38avg 56
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
95-75
95
75
+20
92avg 56
A28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
71-87
71
87
-16
57avg 56
A02/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
74-105
74
105
-31
61avg 56
A07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
18-32
33-30
22-22
18-25
12-16
13-29
21-24
19-30
12-26
14-23
17-28
12-31
17-22
21-30
13-21
8-25
12-31
21-24
11-30
18-22
20-24
14-19
12-24
12-33
17-19
17-19
20-21
19-15
22-14
23-19
31-27
23-18
17-25
12-23
19-21
20-32
17-22
18-22
19-29
166.6Avg total
70.2Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)68.889.3158.1-20.514%
Season at home (10)70.386.4156.7-16.110%
Season away (12)67.591.8159.2-24.217%
Last 10 (10)70.296.4166.6-26.210%
Last 5 (5)74.089.6163.6-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)67.590.7158.1-23.212%
vs Similar (4)76.272.2148.5+4.050%
vs Weaker (2)91.085.0176.0+6.050%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#4
L
78-84
78
84
-6
79avg 76
A08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
93-72
93
72
+21
98avg 76
H20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
75-87
75
87
-12
66avg 76
H29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#6
L
74-96
74
96
-22
no box
H06/01
Latvian Cup
BK Liepaja
#11
L
61-75
61
75
-14
33avg 76
A10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
55avg 76
H13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 76
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#6
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
A21/01
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
76-66
76
66
+10
73avg 76
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
89-56
89
56
+33
98avg 76
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
28-17
13-23
22-21
30-13
22-21
18-15
23-23
22-20
14-21
16-24
23-22
16-28
22-18
17-22
19-28
19-19
10-21
17-21
15-14
12-16
22-22
16-18
17-22
27-12
21-20
14-23
16-10
24-20
18-17
18-29
23-12
24-8
16-22
17-24
19-12
21-20
22-12
23-12
23-12
153.1Avg total
77.4Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.575.6155.1+3.957%
Season at home (12)80.673.4154.0+7.258%
Season away (9)78.078.6156.6-0.656%
Last 10 (10)77.475.7153.1+1.750%
Last 5 (5)78.668.6147.2+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.288.5157.8-19.225%
vs Similar (15)81.184.9166.0-3.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.769.5151.3+12.273%
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.1-8.1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: +2.4+2.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.1-8.1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: +2.4+2.4
Tallinna KalevBK Ogre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
20-56
20
56
-36
H05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A02/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
81.0Avg total
33.1Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.243.477.7-9.220%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.343.278.5-7.923%-
Last 30 away (17)33.443.677.0-10.218%-
Last 10 (10)33.147.981.0-14.810%-
Last 5 (5)37.044.881.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)32.445.377.7-12.98%-
vs Similar (4)40.031.271.2+8.875%-
vs Weaker (2)44.545.590.0-1.050%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H06/01
Latvian Cup
BK Liepaja
#11
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A21/01
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
77.5Avg total
40.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.439.380.7+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.639.280.8+2.459%-
Last 30 away (13)41.239.580.6+1.769%-
Last 10 (10)40.537.077.5+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.433.875.2+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.044.879.8-9.825%-
vs Similar (15)43.842.386.1+1.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.533.373.7+7.282%-
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tallinna Kalevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tallinna Kalev: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.119.0
44.1%
50.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.2
28.1%
32.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws18.112.4
68.5%
70.5%12.4
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.521.3
50.1%
50.5%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.9
34.8%
32.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.414.2
73.2%
70.5%14.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tallinna Kalev
LLWLLLLLLL
BK Ogre
WWWWLLLLWL
#16
League position
#7
-34.3
Net rating
+9.9
87.7
Offensive rating
109.6
122.0
Defensive rating
99.7
43.4%
Effective FG%
50.8%
59.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
20.5%
Turnover %
19.5%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
37.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.1%
3-point %
34.8%
54.0%
Assist %
64.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence87.7 · 109.6Defence122.0 · 99.7Shooting43.4% · 50.8%3-point %28.1% · 34.8%Ball care20.5% · 19.5%Off. rebounds26.0% · 37.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Tallinna Kalev   ■ BK Ogre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tallinna Kalev wins
6
BK Ogre wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24ATal Tech74-105
02/02/24ATartu Ulikool71-87
28/01/24AViimsi95-75
21/01/24HVEF Riga66-92
10/01/24HRigas Zelli64-89
05/01/24HPrometey52-110
23/12/23AParnu63-104
16/12/23APrometey62-107
10/12/23AVEF Riga64-94
03/12/23HKeila KK91-101
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24HTal Tech89-56
24/01/24HValmiera Glass Via76-66
21/01/24ABK Liepaja83-78
17/01/24HLatvijas Universitate78-65
13/01/24HBC Kalev/Cramo67-78
10/01/24ABK Liepaja61-75
06/01/24HBK Liepaja74-96
29/12/23HRigas Zelli75-87
20/12/23HParnu93-72
08/12/23AVentspils78-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tallinna Kalev
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLLLLL10%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %14%10%17%
Points / game68.870.367.5
Allowed / game89.386.491.8
Point differential-20.5-16.1-24.2
Avg total158.1156.7159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeLLWWW58%
AwayWLWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %57%58%56%
Points / game79.580.678.0
Allowed / game75.673.478.6
Point differential+3.9+7.2-0.6
Avg total155.1154.0156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%58%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2423196%87.069.8+17.2
2 Prometey2119290%91.868.5+23.2
3 VEF Riga2318578%85.970.7+15.2
4 Tartu Ulikool2316770%78.070.6+7.4
5 Ventspils2215768%92.284.6+7.5
6 Rigas Zelli2416867%80.873.0+7.8
7 BK Ogre2112957%79.575.6+3.9
8 Parnu24121250%78.677.0+1.5
9 Tal Tech24111346%77.480.0-2.6
10 BK Liepaja2291341%80.082.0-2.0
11 Keila KK2491538%81.086.3-5.4
12 Rapla2281436%75.078.5-3.4
13 Viimsi2552020%67.185.4-18.2
14 Valmiera Glass Via2141719%73.784.5-10.8
15 Tallinna Kalev2231914%68.889.3-20.5
16 Latvijas Universitate2432112%67.886.3-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tallinna Kalev2716182788
BK Ogre26212627100
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