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Tartu Ulikool vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-94
24-24 9-23 22-25 16-22
Position#8
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game73.7
Tartu Ulikool
vs
Bakken Bears 🏆
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game74.5
EuropeENBL· Tartu Ulikooli spordihoone
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tartu Ulikool v Bakken Bears
03 Jan 2024
TUL71
BBE94
04 Oct 2016
TUL67
BBE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tartu Ulikool winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bakken Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#15
W
90-61
90
61
+29
91avg 73
A12/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
73-80
73
80
-7
59avg 73
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
65-73
65
73
-8
56avg 73
H24/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Zwolle
#6
W
97-78
97
78
+19
102avg 73
A28/11
ENBL
Prometey
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
54avg 73
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
71-61
71
61
+10
71avg 73
H09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
77-73
77
73
+4
70avg 73
H12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
90avg 73
H16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
79-72
79
72
+7
74avg 73
H19/12
ENBL
BK Liepaja
#11
W
78-63
78
63
+15
70avg 73
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
23-12
24-14
28-18
17-27
19-12
17-23
20-18
23-14
14-15
14-22
14-22
21-19
27-18
22-21
27-20
23-25
17-23
11-19
20-26
22-15
17-11
12-13
20-22
18-14
18-17
22-17
19-25
29-15
24-20
18-33
17-10
16-13
21-15
24-21
18-23
17-20
20-16
21-7
20-20
152.1Avg total
78.9Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.373.7160.0+12.7100%
Season at home (2)81.071.5152.5+9.5100%
Season away (1)97.078.0175.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.973.2152.1+5.770%
Last 5 (5)78.669.4148.0+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)73.680.1153.7-6.629%
vs Similar (8)75.873.1148.9+2.662%
vs Weaker (15)81.769.2150.9+12.587%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#43
W
89-82
89
82
+7
74avg 91
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
109-52
109
52
+57
98avg 91
A29/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#8
W
122-61
122
61
+61
no box
H03/12
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#15
W
103-79
103
79
+24
104avg 91
A06/12
ENBL
Copenhagen
#4
W
102-92
102
92
+10
97avg 91
A09/12
Basketligaen
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
87-70
87
70
+17
90avg 91
H15/12
ENBL
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
101-67
101
67
+34
104avg 91
H17/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
113-60
113
60
+53
123avg 91
A19/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
80-86
80
86
-6
73avg 91
A28/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
137-77
137
77
+60
144avg 91
H30/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
27-23
18-22
18-10
20-12
29-15
34-10
26-15
32-9
33-24
35-15
22-13
31-22
20-20
30-12
22-25
22-23
31-22
25-15
24-32
16-20
24-18
22-12
25-20
31-17
31-13
22-17
17-20
23-14
23-15
41-15
26-16
16-17
20-24
27-20
17-25
39-16
30-29
31-19
37-13
176.9Avg total
104.3Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)95.074.5169.5+20.5100%
Season at home (1)87.070.0157.0+17.0100%
Season away (1)103.079.0182.0+24.0100%
Last 10 (10)104.372.6176.9+31.790%
Last 5 (5)103.672.0175.6+31.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)95.594.0189.5+1.550%
vs Similar (2)78.083.5161.5-5.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)96.475.3171.6+21.188%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +7.9+7.9Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +12.8+12.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +4.5+4.5
-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +7.9+7.9Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +12.8+12.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +4.5+4.5
Tartu UlikoolBakken Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#15
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A12/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H24/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Zwolle
#6
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A28/11
ENBL
Prometey
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H19/12
ENBL
BK Liepaja
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
73.9Avg total
40.1Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.236.075.2+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.134.173.2+4.978%-
Last 30 away (12)39.538.878.3+0.742%-
Last 10 (10)40.133.873.9+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)40.431.271.6+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.138.074.1-1.943%-
vs Similar (8)37.937.575.4+0.450%-
vs Weaker (15)41.434.375.7+7.180%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#43
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A29/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#8
W
65-33
65
33
+32
H03/12
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#15
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A06/12
ENBL
Copenhagen
#4
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A09/12
Basketligaen
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H15/12
ENBL
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
62-30
62
30
+32
H17/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A19/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A28/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
69-45
69
45
+24
H30/12
Basketligaen
90.4Avg total
52.4Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.039.286.3+7.863%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.437.886.2+10.565%-
Last 30 away (13)45.341.186.4+4.262%-
Last 10 (10)52.438.090.4+14.490%-
Last 5 (5)50.636.687.2+14.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.049.087.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (2)40.544.585.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)48.238.686.8+9.672%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.617.7
47.1%
53.4%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.3
35.5%
33.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws24.118.0
74.7%
72.2%18.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 100.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.430.8
66.4%
53.4%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.5
33.6%
33.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.913.6
65.1%
72.2%13.6
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tartu Ulikool
WWWWWLWLLW
Bakken Bears
WLWWWWWWWW
#8
League position
#1
+8.3
Net rating
+33.0
106.2
Offensive rating
123.7
97.9
Defensive rating
90.6
49.4%
Effective FG%
60.7%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
18.7%
Turnover %
15.3%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.5%
3-point %
33.6%
61.9%
Assist %
56.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 123.7Defence97.9 · 90.6Shooting49.4% · 60.7%3-point %35.5% · 33.6%Ball care18.7% · 15.3%Off. rebounds31.6% · 34.4%Free throws0.40 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Tartu Ulikool   ■ Bakken Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tartu Ulikool wins
2
Bakken Bears wins
DateGameScore
06/10/16Bakken Bears v Tartu Ulikool83-70
04/10/16Tartu Ulikool v Bakken Bears67-75
Tartu Ulikoollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23HBK Liepaja78-63
19/12/23HBristol Flyers79-72
16/12/23HParnu88-78
12/12/23HKeila KK77-73
09/12/23HRapla71-61
02/12/23APrometey71-93
28/11/23AZwolle97-78
24/11/23HTal Tech65-73
15/11/23AKeila KK73-80
12/11/23AViimsi90-61
Bakken Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HHerlev Wolfpack137-77
28/12/23AHorsens80-86
19/12/23ABears Academy113-60
17/12/23HHolbaek-Stenhus101-67
15/12/23HSpartak Pleven87-70
09/12/23ACopenhagen102-92
06/12/23ASvendborg103-79
03/12/23HSvendborg122-61
29/11/23AHolbaek-Stenhus109-52
22/11/23ANorrkoping89-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tartu Ulikool
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.381.097.0
Allowed / game73.771.578.0
Point differential+12.7+9.5+19.0
Avg total160.0152.5175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bakken Bears
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.087.0103.0
Allowed / game74.570.079.0
Point differential+20.5+17.0+24.0
Avg total169.5157.0182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears220100%95.074.5+20.5
2 Juventus440100%95.280.5+14.8
3 Tartu Ulikool330100%86.373.7+12.7
4 Liege54180%91.678.0+13.6
5 Voluntari54180%81.470.8+10.6
6 Zielona Gora43175%95.089.8+5.2
7 Siauliai43175%91.588.8+2.8
8 Bristol Flyers53260%82.473.8+8.6
9 Newcastle Eagles42250%86.283.2+3.0
10 Keila KK42250%83.885.5-1.8
11 Lublin31233%86.790.7-4.0
12 Zwolle31233%70.375.7-5.3
13 Spartak Pleven4040%74.088.0-14.0
14 Brno5050%72.487.2-14.8
15 Valmiera Glass Via5050%82.098.8-16.8
16 Svendborg4040%73.898.0-24.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tartu Ulikool249221671
Bakken Bears2423252294
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