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Tartu Ulikool vs VEF Riga Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record5-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#2
Record8-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Tartu Ulikooli spordihoone
Other2026
Meetings · Tartu Ulikool v VEF Riga
06 Mar 2027
TUL v VRI
upcoming
18 Oct 2025
TUL95
VRI78
25 Jan 2025
TUL67
VRI93
14 Oct 2023
TUL74
VRI72
23 Dec 2022
TUL70
VRI77
01 Apr 2022
TUL85
VRI88
04 Dec 2021
TUL64
VRI95
16 Jan 2019
TUL75
VRI81
25 Sep 2011
TUL69
VRI95
06 Nov 2010
TUL77
VRI85
16 Jan 2010
TUL70
VRI59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tartu Ulikool win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
VEF Riga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
74-94
74
94
-20
61avg 78
H09/10
Latvia-Estonian League
MZT Skopje
#47
W
95-92
95
92
+3
93avg 78
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keila KK
#9
W
89-71
89
71
+18
91avg 78
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
93-99
93
99
-6
90avg 78
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tal Tech
#6
W
65-41
65
41
+24
57avg 78
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Iraklis
#11
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
91avg 78
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
W
86-74
86
74
+12
82avg 78
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Wurzburg
#13
L
79-113
79
113
-34
no box
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
86-93
86
93
-7
no box
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
18-17
26-24
11-24
24-17
20-22
28-23
23-30
19-19
23-21
26-9
21-22
21-32
30-25
20-22
22-20
15-9
21-15
12-9
17-8
24-22
19-25
28-22
18-20
25-34
15-17
18-9
28-14
20-23
19-31
17-33
23-26
24-30
21-22
15-19
26-22
16-24
24-28
26-23
18-16
172.0Avg total
85.2Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.876.4159.1+6.462%
Season at home (4)78.872.8151.5+6.050%
Season away (4)86.880.0166.8+6.875%
Last 10 (10)85.286.8172.0-1.650%
Last 5 (5)87.294.2181.4-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)84.191.2175.2-7.131%
vs Similar (4)89.282.5171.8+6.875%
vs Weaker (10)87.575.0162.5+12.590%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Neftchi IK
#38
W
110-94
110
94
+16
117avg 86
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#7
W
89-72
89
72
+17
84avg 86
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#15
L
84-92
84
92
-8
77avg 86
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 86
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Mykonos
#7
L
88-91
88
91
-3
83avg 86
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
69avg 86
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
97-65
97
65
+32
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Viimsi
#13
L
88-104
88
104
-16
no box
A08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
W
85-83
85
83
+2
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#5
W
96-85
96
85
+11
no box
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
26-30
30-16
30-22
17-19
19-15
29-17
24-21
23-20
17-20
22-25
22-27
22-16
20-17
27-27
28-29
26-20
21-20
25-18
16-33
34-25
17-15
9-18
14-28
26-14
27-14
21-22
23-15
25-27
14-18
26-30
23-29
20-24
22-28
22-17
21-14
26-26
22-19
21-13
27-27
176.9Avg total
90.8Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)90.276.0166.2+14.280%
Season at home (5)87.867.8155.6+20.080%
Season away (5)92.684.2176.8+8.480%
Last 10 (10)90.886.1176.9+4.760%
Last 5 (5)88.084.6172.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)86.689.6176.2-3.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.574.6164.0+14.981%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
Tartu UlikoolVEF Riga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H09/10
Latvia-Estonian League
MZT Skopje
#47
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keila KK
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tal Tech
#6
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Iraklis
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Wurzburg
#13
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
87.9Avg total
41.7Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.444.286.6-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.043.183.1-3.121%-
Last 30 away (16)44.545.289.8-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)41.746.287.9-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)41.451.292.6-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.648.788.2-9.10%-
vs Similar (4)49.542.291.8+7.2100%-
vs Weaker (10)44.137.982.0+6.270%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neftchi IK
#38
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#15
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Mykonos
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Viimsi
#13
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#5
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
86.1Avg total
44.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.739.585.1+6.277%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.138.584.5+7.693%-
Last 30 away (15)45.340.585.7+4.860%-
Last 10 (10)44.841.386.1+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.642.088.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)43.539.883.2+3.888%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.339.085.3+7.471%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.422.9
54.0%
52.5%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.6
33.3%
31.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.513.5
65.9%
68.3%13.5
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.723.1
58.2%
52.5%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.8
31.5%
31.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws26.018.4
70.8%
68.3%18.4
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tartu Ulikool
LLLWWWLWWL
VEF Riga
WWLWLLWLWW
#4
League position
#2
+0.2
Net rating
+14.5
92.0
Offensive rating
101.3
91.8
Defensive rating
86.9
52.5%
Effective FG%
53.7%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
15.9%
Turnover %
12.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.3%
3-point %
31.5%
68.9%
Assist %
77.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.0 · 101.3Defence91.8 · 86.9Shooting52.5% · 53.7%3-point %33.3% · 31.5%Ball care15.9% · 12.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Tartu Ulikool   ■ VEF Riga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Tartu Ulikool wins
7
VEF Riga wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ADziki Warszawa84-91
07/11/26HValmiera Glass Via86-93
02/11/26AWurzburg79-113
31/10/26AVEF Riga86-74
28/10/26HIraklis101-100 OT
24/10/26HTal Tech65-41
21/10/26AAEK Larnaca93-99
17/10/26AKeila KK89-71
14/10/26AMZT Skopje95-92
09/10/26HRigas Zelli74-94
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AVentspils96-85
11/11/26ALok. Plovdiv85-83
08/11/26AViimsi88-104
04/11/26AFribourg Olympic97-65
31/10/26HTartu Ulikool74-86
28/10/26HMykonos88-91
24/10/26AValmiera Glass Via97-89
21/10/26ACSM Oradea84-92
17/10/26HParnu89-72
14/10/26ANeftchi IK110-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tartu Ulikool
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game82.878.886.8
Allowed / game76.472.880.0
Point differential+6.4+6.0+6.8
Avg total159.1151.5166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW80%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game90.287.892.6
Allowed / game76.067.884.2
Point differential+14.2+20.0+8.4
Avg total166.2155.6176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%80%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli990100%93.774.1+19.6
2 VEF Riga108280%90.276.0+14.2
3 Valmiera Glass Via108280%89.876.4+13.4
4 Tartu Ulikool85362%82.876.4+6.4
5 Ventspils106460%86.183.4+2.7
6 Tal Tech106460%73.773.8-0.1
7 Parnu74357%78.978.1+0.7
8 BC Kalev/Cramo95456%85.181.9+3.2
9 Keila KK105550%74.381.6-7.3
10 BK Ogre94544%86.786.7+0.0
11 BK Liepaja104640%82.477.3+5.1
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi112918%74.386.8-12.5
14 Latvijas Universitate101910%76.891.6-14.8
15 Keila Coolbet9090%70.391.1-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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