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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 26 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Scheduled
Position#12
Record8-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game111.2
Allowed / game107.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#7
Record9-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game118.3
Allowed / game106.8
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Minnesota Timberwolves
02 Mar 2027
OKC v MIN
upcoming
25 Nov 2026
OKC v MIN
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
OKC116
MIN103
26 Nov 2025
OKC113
MIN105
28 May 2025
OKC124
MIN94
22 May 2025
OKC118
MIN103
20 May 2025
OKC114
MIN88
24 Feb 2025
OKC128
MIN131
31 Dec 2024
OKC113
MIN105
29 Jan 2024
OKC101
MIN107
26 Dec 2023
OKC129
MIN106
16 Dec 2022
OKC110
MIN112
23 Oct 2022
OKC106
MIN116
04 Mar 2022
OKC101
MIN138
07 Jan 2022
OKC105
MIN135
06 Feb 2021
OKC120
MIN118
05 Feb 2021
OKC103
MIN106
13 Mar 2020
OKC v MIN
upcoming
06 Dec 2019
OKC139
MIN127
08 Jan 2019
OKC117
MIN119
23 Dec 2018
OKC112
MIN114
01 Dec 2017
OKC111
MIN107
22 Oct 2017
OKC113
MIN115
25 Dec 2016
OKC112
MIN100
05 Nov 2016
OKC112
MIN92
11 Mar 2016
OKC96
MIN99
15 Jan 2016
OKC113
MIN93
13 Mar 2015
OKC113
MIN99
26 Jan 2015
OKC92
MIN84
05 Feb 2014
OKC106
MIN97
01 Dec 2013
OKC113
MIN103
22 Feb 2013
OKC127
MIN111
09 Jan 2013
OKC106
MIN84
23 Mar 2012
OKC149
MIN140
25 Mar 2011
OKC111
MIN103
22 Nov 2010
OKC117
MIN107
04 Apr 2010
OKC116
MIN108
26 Feb 2010
OKC109
MIN92
28 Nov 2008
OKC103
MIN105
02 Nov 2008
OKC88
MIN85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
125-114
125
114
+11
119avg 105
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
L
96-120
96
120
-24
76avg 105
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
98-119
98
119
-21
72avg 105
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
117-112
117
112
+5
95avg 105
A03/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
124-116
124
116
+8
116avg 105
H05/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
128-97
128
97
+31
117avg 105
A07/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
114-75
114
75
+39
114avg 105
H08/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
103-123
103
123
-20
93avg 105
A11/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
108-118
108
118
-10
94avg 105
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
L
112-113
112
113
-1
103avg 105
A14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-27
34-26
32-32
26-29
30-33
29-32
22-29
15-26
26-35
25-27
24-30
23-27
26-30
33-18
31-36
27-28
37-20
23-24
28-30
36-42
35-28
36-21
27-27
30-21
25-19
32-17
33-23
24-16
27-26
32-33
21-38
23-26
32-28
18-28
35-32
23-30
27-33
17-24
40-25
28-31
223.2Avg total
112.5Scored
110.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)111.2107.4218.5+3.862%
Season at home (5)113.498.0211.4+15.4100%
Season away (8)109.8113.2223.0-3.538%
Last 10 (10)112.5110.7223.2+1.850%
Last 5 (5)113.0105.2218.2+7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)114.0106.7220.7+7.367%
vs Similar (13)108.2112.5220.7-4.246%
vs Weaker (14)117.1107.3224.4+9.879%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
114avg 108
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-119
114
119
-5
106avg 108
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
127-101
127
101
+26
123avg 108
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
111-121
111
121
-10
95avg 108
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
112-100
112
100
+12
102avg 108
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
117-107
117
107
+10
113avg 108
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
115-109
115
109
+6
105avg 108
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
115-100
115
100
+15
109avg 108
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
133-94
133
94
+39
136avg 108
H13/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
106-117
106
117
-11
93avg 108
H15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
28-34
33-26
27-33
23-28
29-18
19-29
32-29
32-24
33-30
24-27
25-27
35-23
27-30
30-21
20-28
38-30
28-25
29-26
33-27
25-22
34-26
33-26
36-17
30-25
17-29
28-29
35-30
26-29
227.0Avg total
117.5Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)118.3106.8225.1+11.569%
Season at home (7)117.7103.6221.3+14.171%
Season away (6)119.0110.5229.5+8.567%
Last 10 (10)117.5109.5227.0+8.060%
Last 5 (5)117.2105.4222.6+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.5120.7225.2-16.233%
vs Similar (11)114.9114.5229.4+0.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)120.5106.9227.4+13.577%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +4.4+4.4
Oklahoma City ThunderMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A03/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H05/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
71-49
71
49
+22
A07/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H08/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A11/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A14/11
NBA
110.6Avg total
57.7Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.753.6110.3+3.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.151.8108.9+5.357%-
Last 30 away (16)56.355.2111.6+1.144%-
Last 10 (10)57.752.9110.6+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)56.251.4107.6+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)62.351.7114.0+10.767%-
vs Similar (13)54.553.6108.1+0.838%-
vs Weaker (14)57.554.1111.6+3.457%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H13/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H15/11
NBA
111.5Avg total
56.9Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.155.8112.8+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.554.2111.7+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)56.757.3114.0-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)56.954.6111.5+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)56.653.8110.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.857.3107.2-7.517%-
vs Similar (11)58.657.9116.5+0.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)59.153.2112.3+5.885%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.428.4
50.4%
54.0%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.511.1
34.2%
35.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws22.618.8
83.2%
77.3%18.8
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 116.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.828.8
52.6%
54.0%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.713.2
36.0%
35.1%39.6
🏀 Free throws27.018.9
70.0%
77.3%18.9
They take 91.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLLWWWWLLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWWWLWLL
#12
League position
#7
-1.1
Net rating
+4.6
104.8
Offensive rating
110.9
105.9
Defensive rating
106.3
50.7%
Effective FG%
53.1%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
13.1%
Turnover %
14.3%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.2%
3-point %
36.0%
57.5%
Assist %
57.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 110.9Defence105.9 · 106.3Shooting50.7% · 53.1%3-point %34.2% · 36.0%Ball care13.1% · 14.3%Off. rebounds25.5% · 34.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALos Angeles Clippers112-113
12/11/26APortland Trail Blazers108-118
11/11/26APortland Trail Blazers103-123
08/11/26HWashington Wizards114-75
07/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies128-97
05/11/26HCleveland Cavaliers124-116
03/11/26ACleveland Cavaliers117-112
01/11/26AHouston Rockets98-119
29/10/26ADallas Mavericks96-120
27/10/26HPhoenix Suns125-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HChicago Bulls106-117
13/11/26HDallas Mavericks133-94
09/11/26HUtah Jazz115-100
07/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans115-109
05/11/26AHouston Rockets117-107
03/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks112-100
01/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-121
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL62%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %62%100%38%
Points / game111.2113.4109.8
Allowed / game107.498.0113.2
Point differential+3.8+15.4-3.5
Avg total218.5211.4223.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game118.3117.7119.0
Allowed / game106.8103.6110.5
Point differential+11.5+14.1+8.5
Avg total225.1221.3229.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers1411379%112.6110.4+2.1
5 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers145936%112.1114.5-2.4
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
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