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Kretinga vs Telsiai Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 67-95
20-19 23-21 15-30 9-25
Position#8
Record7-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game81.1
Kretinga
Lithuania
vs
Telsiai 🏆
Lithuania
Position#2
Record18-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game72.5
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kretinga v Telsiai
13 Jan 2026
KRET75
TELS89
18 Nov 2024
KRET66
TELS93
16 Mar 2024
KRET83
TELS81
21 Dec 2023
KRET67
TELS95
08 Oct 2022
KRET98
TELS103
13 Jan 2022
KRET71
TELS94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Telsiai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#12
W
83-74
83
74
+9
71avg 68
A16/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
90-68
90
68
+22
85avg 68
H18/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 68
H23/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
73-84
73
84
-11
58avg 68
H25/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
81-77
81
77
+4
70avg 68
H30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
66-67
66
67
-1
56avg 68
A02/12
NKL
Silute
#14
L
84-87
84
87
-3
72avg 68
H07/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
75-83
75
83
-8
71avg 68
H09/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
75-71 OT
75
71
+4
no box
A14/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
75-81
75
81
-6
65avg 68
H16/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
17-20
18-6
24-22
16-20
20-11
25-21
29-16
21-18
21-24
18-19
12-20
11-15
26-26
21-21
15-22
19-21
21-20
15-17
26-19
15-16
19-18
15-21
17-12
18-22
21-22
21-26
24-17
24-16
11-22
21-18
19-27
18-26
18-7
18-14
10-17
23-22
27-14
9-27
16-18
154.7Avg total
77.4Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.181.1158.2-4.032%
Season at home (11)77.881.8159.6-4.027%
Season away (11)76.480.5156.8-4.136%
Last 10 (10)77.477.3154.7+0.140%
Last 5 (5)75.077.8152.8-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.483.3153.8-12.911%
vs Similar (20)79.281.7160.9-2.540%
vs Weaker (1)77.092.0169.0-15.00%
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TelsiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTelsiai
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
85-68
85
68
+17
85avg 82
A16/11
NKL
Silute
#14
L
67-72
67
72
-5
58avg 82
H23/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
75-84 OT
75
84
-9
no box
A25/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
71-66
71
66
+5
62avg 82
H30/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
77-84
77
84
-7
72avg 82
A02/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
82-65
82
65
+17
81avg 82
A05/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
97-69
97
69
+28
100avg 82
H07/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
98avg 82
A14/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
111-78
111
78
+33
120avg 82
H16/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
63-59
63
59
+4
54avg 82
H19/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-10
19-24
25-19
25-15
5-21
26-15
16-21
20-15
24-16
13-25
8-16
23-11
17-16
20-17
10-17
24-16
25-22
17-16
15-22
20-24
20-14
18-21
21-9
23-21
28-9
22-24
18-17
29-19
26-20
26-19
22-19
20-18
29-18
25-14
27-22
30-24
18-12
18-14
15-17
12-16
154.3Avg total
82.2Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.072.5156.6+11.582%
Season at home (11)84.769.9154.6+14.891%
Season away (11)83.475.2158.5+8.273%
Last 10 (10)82.272.1154.3+10.170%
Last 5 (5)89.469.4158.8+20.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.074.0149.0+1.0100%
vs Similar (5)74.075.4149.4-1.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)84.371.5155.8+12.879%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +4.7+4.7
KretingaTelsiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#12
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A16/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H18/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H23/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H25/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A02/12
NKL
Silute
#14
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H07/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H09/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A14/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H16/12
NKL
77.6Avg total
39.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.780.3-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.141.780.8-2.520%-
Last 30 away (15)38.141.779.9-3.640%-
Last 10 (10)39.038.677.6+0.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.075.8+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.042.877.8-7.811%-
vs Similar (20)40.240.680.9-0.440%-
vs Weaker (1)39.053.092.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TelsiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A16/11
NKL
Silute
#14
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H23/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A25/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H30/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A02/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H07/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A14/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H16/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H19/12
NKL
75.9Avg total
41.2Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.434.976.4+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.632.074.6+10.688%-
Last 30 away (14)40.138.378.4+1.864%-
Last 10 (10)41.234.775.9+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)46.033.079.0+13.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.030.075.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar (5)38.433.672.0+4.880%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.935.477.3+6.575%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.0
48.4%
51.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.0
31.5%
33.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.212.8
66.7%
70.3%12.8
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Telsiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Telsiai: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.2
54.6%
51.9%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.49.3
39.7%
33.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.512.1
65.4%
70.3%12.1
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
LWLLLWLLWW
Telsiai
WWWWWLWLLW
#8
League position
#2
-0.4
Net rating
+16.5
98.9
Offensive rating
112.6
99.2
Defensive rating
96.1
48.0%
Effective FG%
56.5%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
16.8%
Turnover %
17.8%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.5%
3-point %
39.7%
62.9%
Assist %
70.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 112.6Defence99.2 · 96.1Shooting48.0% · 56.5%3-point %31.5% · 39.7%Ball care16.8% · 17.8%Off. rebounds27.6% · 29.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Kretinga   ■ Telsiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kretinga wins
5
Telsiai wins
DateGameScore
31/10/23Telsiai v Kretinga96-69
24/11/22Telsiai v Kretinga92-71
08/10/22Kretinga v Telsiai98-103 OT
13/01/22Kretinga v Telsiai71-94
21/10/21Telsiai v Kretinga91-60
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HUkmerges Stekas75-81
14/12/23AZalgiris Kaunas 275-71 OT
09/12/23HVilkaviskis75-83
07/12/23HSilute84-87
02/12/23ABC Olimpas Palanga66-67
30/11/23HRytas 281-77
25/11/23HVytis VDU73-84
23/11/23HDelikatesas Joniskis72-81
18/11/23HNeptunas 290-68
16/11/23ANeptunas 283-74
Telsiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/23HSuduva-Mantinga63-59
16/12/23HJurbarkas111-78
14/12/23AVilkaviskis94-76
07/12/23HRytas 297-69
05/12/23ADelikatesas Joniskis82-65
02/12/23AVytis VDU77-84
30/11/23HBC Olimpas Palanga71-66
25/11/23ASuduva-Mantinga75-84 OT
23/11/23HSilute67-72
16/11/23AKauno Atletas85-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL32%
HomeLWLLL27%
AwayLLWLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%27%36%
Points / game77.177.876.4
Allowed / game81.181.880.5
Point differential-4.0-4.0-4.1
Avg total158.2159.6156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Telsiai
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeLWWWW91%
AwayWLLWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %82%91%73%
Points / game84.084.783.4
Allowed / game72.569.975.2
Point differential+11.5+14.8+8.2
Avg total156.6154.6158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%55%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)80% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2219386%86.071.6+14.5
2 Telsiai2218482%84.072.5+11.5
3 BC Olimpas Palanga2318578%81.472.0+9.4
4 Vytis VDU2112957%85.784.0+1.8
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 222121055%76.173.5+2.6
6 Jurbarkas22121055%79.478.4+1.0
7 Vilkaviskis23121152%82.784.0-1.4
8 Ukmerges Stekas21101148%74.977.4-2.5
9 Kauno Atletas2291341%75.779.1-3.4
10 Delikatesas Joniskis2081240%76.584.4-7.8
11 Kretinga2271532%77.181.1-4.0
12 Rytas 22271532%81.089.0-8.0
13 Silute2261627%77.783.0-5.4
14 Neptunas 22231914%76.185.5-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga202315967
Telsiai1921302595
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