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Kretinga vs Telsiai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 83-81 (OT)
24-21 11-17 19-20 21-17 8-6
Position#8
Record19-23
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game83.0
Kretinga 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Telsiai
Lithuania
Position#2
Record30-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game73.2
LithuaniaNKLNKL - Quarter-finals· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kretinga v Telsiai
13 Jan 2026
KRET75
TELS89
18 Nov 2024
KRET66
TELS93
16 Mar 2024
KRET83
TELS81
21 Dec 2023
KRET67
TELS95
08 Oct 2022
KRET98
TELS103
13 Jan 2022
KRET71
TELS94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Telsiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#12
L
84-96
84
96
-12
79avg 70
A10/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
84-87
84
87
-3
76avg 70
A17/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
79-93
79
93
-14
67avg 70
A22/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
89-88
89
88
+1
83avg 70
H24/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
89-74
89
74
+15
86avg 70
H29/02
NKL
Silute
#14
W
89-67
89
67
+22
78avg 70
A02/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
67-64
67
64
+3
53avg 70
A07/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
72-88
72
88
-16
56avg 70
H09/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
74avg 70
A11/03
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
100-92 OT
100
92
+8
no box
A13/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
16-34
27-22
24-17
25-17
15-27
19-23
25-20
26-29
12-17
17-27
24-20
23-18
18-33
17-18
31-19
20-23
26-10
26-20
17-21
15-11
27-20
14-20
33-16
19-12
13-15
16-14
19-23
16-25
17-25
24-20
15-18
25-21
17-23
13-21
32-18
26-24
30-20
11-15
16-24
167.2Avg total
84.0Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)79.783.0162.6-3.345%
Season at home (20)80.183.1163.2-3.045%
Season away (22)79.382.8162.1-3.545%
Last 10 (10)84.083.2167.2+0.860%
Last 5 (5)83.078.8161.8+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)80.988.7169.6-7.929%
vs Similar (23)80.880.5161.3+0.361%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TelsiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTelsiai
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
81-67
81
67
+14
78avg 80
A01/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
96-69
96
69
+27
101avg 80
H03/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
95-85
95
85
+10
91avg 80
H08/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
89-83
89
83
+6
80avg 80
A10/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
83-67
83
67
+16
84avg 80
H15/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
68avg 80
A17/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
104-76
104
76
+28
97avg 80
A22/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
70-62
70
62
+8
69avg 80
H24/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
79-65
79
65
+14
67avg 80
A29/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
92-100 OT
92
100
-8
no box
H13/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
16-19
25-15
24-15
24-16
26-15
24-18
22-20
27-11
24-21
19-24
25-29
18-27
17-17
32-14
22-25
18-13
21-21
22-15
22-18
10-21
20-16
19-20
24-21
26-26
23-17
19-19
36-14
18-11
12-18
19-16
21-17
16-18
22-16
21-16
20-15
24-26
20-30
15-11
24-16
161.4Avg total
86.2Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)83.373.2156.5+10.177%
Season at home (20)83.772.2155.9+11.580%
Season away (19)82.974.4157.3+8.574%
Last 10 (10)86.275.2161.4+11.080%
Last 5 (5)83.676.2159.8+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)73.671.7145.3+1.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)84.872.6157.4+12.378%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +5.0+5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +5.0+5.0
KretingaTelsiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#12
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A10/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A17/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A22/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H24/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H29/02
NKL
Silute
#14
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A02/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A07/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H09/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A11/03
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A13/03
NKL
83.0Avg total
40.3Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.282.2-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.640.682.1+1.044%-
Last 30 away (14)40.541.982.4-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)40.342.783.0-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.280.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)43.941.685.4+2.343%-
vs Similar (23)40.241.081.3-0.843%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TelsiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A01/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H03/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H08/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A10/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H15/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A17/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A22/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H24/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A29/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H13/03
NKL
77.5Avg total
39.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.635.876.3+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.734.275.9+7.475%-
Last 30 away (14)39.337.576.8+1.857%-
Last 10 (10)39.837.777.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.878.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)34.935.170.0-0.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.336.078.3+6.374%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.619.9
45.6%
51.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.4
30.2%
33.3%19.2
🏀 Free throws29.422.2
75.5%
70.3%22.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Telsiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Telsiai: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.5
54.7%
51.9%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.06.7
33.5%
33.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws25.317.4
68.8%
70.3%17.4
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
WWLWWWWLLL
Telsiai
LWWWLWWWWW
#8
League position
#2
+0.1
Net rating
+15.6
103.6
Offensive rating
110.7
103.5
Defensive rating
95.1
45.5%
Effective FG%
53.3%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.6%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.41
30.2%
3-point %
33.5%
56.3%
Assist %
65.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 110.7Defence103.5 · 95.1Shooting45.5% · 53.3%3-point %30.2% · 33.5%Ball care16.5% · 16.6%Off. rebounds31.2% · 29.9%Free throws0.45 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Kretinga   ■ Telsiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kretinga wins
6
Telsiai wins
DateGameScore
13/03/24Telsiai v Kretinga92-100 OT
21/12/23Kretinga v Telsiai67-95
31/10/23Telsiai v Kretinga96-69
24/11/22Telsiai v Kretinga92-71
08/10/22Kretinga v Telsiai98-103 OT
13/01/22Kretinga v Telsiai71-94
21/10/21Telsiai v Kretinga91-60
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24ATelsiai100-92 OT
11/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas 287-83
09/03/24HZalgiris Kaunas 272-88
07/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas 267-64
02/03/24ASilute89-67
29/02/24HRytas 289-74
24/02/24HDelikatesas Joniskis89-88
22/02/24AUkmerges Stekas79-93
17/02/24AKauno Atletas84-87
10/02/24ANeptunas 284-96
Telsiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24HKretinga92-100 OT
29/02/24AZalgiris Kaunas 279-65
24/02/24HSuduva-Mantinga70-62
22/02/24AVytis VDU104-76
17/02/24ABC Olimpas Palanga73-78
15/02/24HVilkaviskis83-67
10/02/24AJurbarkas89-83
08/02/24HJurbarkas95-85
03/02/24HVytis VDU96-69
01/02/24ASuduva-Mantinga81-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW45%
HomeWWWWL45%
AwayLWWWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422022
Win %45%45%45%
Points / game79.780.179.3
Allowed / game83.083.182.8
Point differential-3.3-3.0-3.5
Avg total162.6163.2162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)80% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Telsiai
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL77%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWLWW74%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %77%80%74%
Points / game83.383.782.9
Allowed / game73.272.274.4
Point differential+10.1+11.6+8.5
Avg total156.5155.8157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+51%50%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)57% (7)67% (3)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Olimpas Palanga3932782%81.272.7+8.5
2 Suduva-Mantinga3930977%83.773.6+10.1
3 Telsiai3930977%83.373.2+10.1
4 Ukmerges Stekas41221954%77.376.4+0.9
5 Delikatesas Joniskis42222052%81.783.7-2.0
6 Vytis VDU41212051%86.887.0-0.2
7 Jurbarkas39192049%81.881.8+0.0
8 Vilkaviskis42202248%79.181.4-2.3
9 Kretinga42192345%79.783.0-3.3
10 Zalgiris Kaunas 241172441%74.474.1+0.2
11 Kauno Atletas41152637%76.779.5-2.8
12 Neptunas 238122632%78.484.1-5.7
13 Rytas 240122830%82.189.3-7.2
14 Silute38102826%78.384.0-5.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Kretinga24111921883
Telsiai21172017681
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