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Kretinga vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 69-64
10-21 25-17 15-17 19-9
Position#13
Record3-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#8
Record4-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game84.6
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas
10 Oct 2026
KRET95
UKME99
15 Jan 2026
KRET113
UKME79
06 Feb 2025
KRET75
UKME77
26 Oct 2024
KRET69
UKME64
03 Feb 2024
KRET107
UKME92
16 Dec 2023
KRET75
UKME81
11 Mar 2023
KRET63
UKME90
26 Nov 2022
KRET72
UKME85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
L
76-84
76
84
-8
66avg 68
H20/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
56avg 68
A25/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
84-89
84
89
-5
71avg 68
H28/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
93-85
93
85
+8
86avg 68
H03/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
86-87
86
87
-1
72avg 68
A05/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
65-90
65
90
-25
43avg 68
H10/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
98-74
98
74
+24
96avg 68
A12/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
91-87
91
87
+4
86avg 68
A17/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
76-78
76
78
-2
72avg 68
H19/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
48-66
48
66
-18
34avg 68
A24/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
21-31
21-18
16-12
14-22
23-27
18-24
21-20
13-18
16-25
22-15
33-31
25-14
24-22
20-30
24-19
17-22
19-14
26-28
24-23
10-24
11-21
21-21
23-24
17-10
30-18
26-21
25-25
22-23
21-25
20-21
28-18
16-28
25-18
14-12
21-20
15-16
10-13
12-17
11-20
162.6Avg total
79.3Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.681.0160.6-1.443%
Season at home (3)78.084.3162.3-6.333%
Season away (4)80.878.5159.2+2.250%
Last 10 (10)79.383.3162.6-4.030%
Last 5 (5)75.679.0154.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)76.880.1156.9-3.360%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.881.5164.3+1.353%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
92-64
92
64
+28
86avg 72
H06/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
85-88
85
88
-3
80avg 72
A08/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
80-81
80
81
-1
70avg 72
H10/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
81-71
81
71
+10
71avg 72
H03/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
93-73
93
73
+20
86avg 72
A05/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
88-95
88
95
-7
74avg 72
H10/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
67-85
67
85
-18
53avg 72
A12/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
81-75
81
75
+6
74avg 72
A17/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
85-101
85
101
-16
68avg 72
A19/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
94-92 OT
94
92
+2
91avg 72
H24/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
23-18
31-9
14-22
30-29
24-21
14-18
17-20
15-22
23-25
18-18
24-16
22-22
20-18
18-7
21-24
22-26
28-16
21-11
22-20
16-15
26-23
17-31
29-26
16-23
14-20
18-24
19-18
14-22
19-16
21-14
27-23
21-27
16-33
22-18
26-23
10-16
19-24
23-23
25-14
167.1Avg total
84.6Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.184.6168.7-0.457%
Season at home (3)87.786.0173.7+1.767%
Season away (4)81.583.5165.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)84.682.5167.1+2.150%
Last 5 (5)83.089.6172.6-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.383.3164.7-2.033%
vs Similar ◀ (16)79.678.2157.8+1.450%
vs Weaker (11)84.376.5160.8+7.782%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
KretingaUkmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H20/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A25/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H28/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H03/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A05/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
21-45
21
45
-24
H10/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A12/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A17/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H19/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A24/10
NKL
78.1Avg total
36.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.279.5-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.843.780.5-6.923%-
Last 30 away (17)39.439.478.8+0.135%-
Last 10 (10)36.741.478.1-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)35.439.274.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.340.076.3-3.720%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.342.582.7-2.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H06/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A08/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H10/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H03/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A05/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H10/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A12/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A17/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
37-60
37
60
-23
A19/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H24/10
NKL
83.3Avg total
40.2Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.580.0-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.439.177.5-0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)40.542.082.5-1.553%-
Last 10 (10)40.243.183.3-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)34.243.878.0-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.342.376.7-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.441.381.8-0.950%-
vs Weaker (11)39.438.978.3+0.555%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.7
49.1%
52.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.86.8
28.6%
32.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.714.6
67.3%
70.5%14.6
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.3
54.0%
52.5%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.38.7
29.7%
32.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.013.3
70.0%
70.5%13.3
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
LLWWLLWLLL
Ukmerges Stekas
WLWLLWWLLW
#13
League position
#8
-4.5
Net rating
+2.8
100.9
Offensive rating
110.3
105.3
Defensive rating
107.6
46.7%
Effective FG%
50.1%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
15.8%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.6%
3-point %
29.7%
57.6%
Assist %
56.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 110.3Defence105.3 · 107.6Shooting46.7% · 50.1%3-point %28.6% · 29.7%Ball care17.6% · 15.8%Off. rebounds33.9% · 35.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Kretinga   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kretinga wins
6
Ukmerges Stekas wins
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/24ABC Olimpas Palanga48-66
19/10/24HNeptunas 276-78
17/10/24AVytis VDU91-87
12/10/24APlunges Olimpas98-74
10/10/24HZalgiris Kaunas 265-90
05/10/24AJurbarkas86-87
03/10/24HVilkaviskis93-85
28/04/24HJurbarkas84-89
25/04/24AJurbarkas76-93
20/04/24HJurbarkas76-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/24HTelsiai94-92 OT
19/10/24ARytas 285-101
17/10/24ADelikatesas Joniskis81-75
12/10/24ANeptunas 267-85
10/10/24HVytis VDU88-95
05/10/24APlunges Olimpas93-73
03/10/24HZalgiris Kaunas 281-71
10/03/24HDelikatesas Joniskis80-81
08/03/24ADelikatesas Joniskis85-88
06/03/24HDelikatesas Joniskis92-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game79.678.080.8
Allowed / game81.084.378.5
Point differential-1.4-6.3+2.2
Avg total160.6162.3159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW57%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game84.187.781.5
Allowed / game84.686.083.5
Point differential-0.4+1.7-2.0
Avg total168.7173.7165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas87188%84.579.0+5.5
2 Telsiai86275%88.279.5+8.8
3 Suduva-Mantinga75271%89.081.0+8.0
4 BC Olimpas Palanga85362%78.568.8+9.8
5 Vilkaviskis85362%86.280.4+5.9
6 Neptunas 285362%76.172.5+3.6
7 Omega-Tauras85362%80.477.2+3.1
8 Zalgiris Kaunas 285362%80.678.2+2.4
9 Vytis VDU74357%95.091.6+3.4
10 Ukmerges Stekas74357%84.184.6-0.4
11 Kretinga73443%79.681.0-1.4
12 Rytas 283538%81.183.9-2.8
13 Silute82625%78.684.9-6.2
14 Plunges Olimpas82625%74.883.8-9.0
15 Alytaus Alytus81712%74.189.1-15.0
16 Delikatesas Joniskis8080%73.688.0-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga1025151969
Ukmerges Stekas211717964
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