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Telsiai vs Jurbarkas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 111-78
29-18 25-14 27-22 30-24
Position#2
Record16-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game73.0
Telsiai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Jurbarkas
Lithuania
Position#4
Record12-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game76.8
LithuaniaNKL· Telsiu sporto arena (Telsiai)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Telsiai v Jurbarkas
05 Dec 2026
TELS v JURB
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
TELS74
JURB71
27 Feb 2025
TELS73
JURB62
03 Oct 2024
TELS85
JURB67
08 Feb 2024
TELS95
JURB85
16 Dec 2023
TELS111
JURB78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Telsiai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jurbarkas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TelsiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTelsiai
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
75-58
75
58
+17
74avg 82
H11/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
77-73
77
73
+4
80avg 82
H14/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
85-68
85
68
+17
85avg 82
A16/11
NKL
Silute
#14
L
67-72
67
72
-5
58avg 82
H23/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
75-84 OT
75
84
-9
no box
A25/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
71-66
71
66
+5
62avg 82
H30/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
77-84
77
84
-7
72avg 82
A02/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
82-65
82
65
+17
81avg 82
A05/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
97-69
97
69
+28
100avg 82
H07/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
98avg 82
A14/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
23-19
18-19
14-9
16-15
26-15
19-27
16-16
16-10
19-24
25-19
25-15
5-21
26-15
16-21
20-15
24-16
13-25
8-16
23-11
17-16
20-17
10-17
24-16
25-22
17-16
15-22
20-24
20-14
18-21
21-9
23-21
28-9
22-24
18-17
29-19
26-20
26-19
22-19
20-18
151.5Avg total
80.0Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.873.0156.7+10.880%
Season at home (9)84.270.2154.4+14.089%
Season away (11)83.475.2158.5+8.273%
Last 10 (10)80.071.5151.5+8.570%
Last 5 (5)84.272.0156.2+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.074.0149.0+1.0100%
vs Similar (5)76.482.4158.8-6.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)83.071.0154.0+12.079%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
57-73
57
73
-16
45avg 74
A11/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
82-78
82
78
+4
79avg 74
H16/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
87-92
87
92
-5
78avg 74
A18/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
88-75
88
75
+13
83avg 74
H25/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
76-62
76
62
+14
73avg 74
A26/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
68-79
68
79
-11
58avg 74
H30/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
54-62
54
62
-8
44avg 74
A02/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
78-67
78
67
+11
74avg 74
H07/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
93-78
93
78
+15
93avg 74
A09/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
62avg 74
H14/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-12
21-17
10-22
19-22
24-14
22-18
20-19
16-27
17-31
27-27
25-16
18-18
18-12
27-18
20-18
23-27
19-14
17-21
16-10
24-17
23-15
13-18
15-19
17-27
17-23
18-12
12-4
7-23
17-11
27-20
16-22
18-14
18-25
31-13
22-23
22-17
17-18
19-22
14-20
20-19
149.8Avg total
75.3Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.576.8156.3+2.757%
Season at home (11)78.876.8155.6+2.055%
Season away (10)80.276.8157.0+3.460%
Last 10 (10)75.374.5149.8+0.850%
Last 5 (5)72.673.0145.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)74.278.0152.2-3.825%
vs Similar (12)79.074.6153.6+4.467%
vs Weaker (5)84.881.2166.0+3.660%
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -2.7-2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -2.7-2.7
TelsiaiJurbarkas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TelsiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H11/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H14/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A16/11
NKL
Silute
#14
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H23/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A25/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H30/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A02/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H07/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A14/12
NKL
75.6Avg total
40.7Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.035.576.4+5.573%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.032.374.3+9.787%-
Last 30 away (15)39.938.678.5+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)40.734.975.6+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)43.835.679.4+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.030.075.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar (5)38.837.075.8+1.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.235.476.6+5.975%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A11/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H16/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A18/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H25/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A26/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H30/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A02/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H07/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A09/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H14/12
NKL
76.0Avg total
39.9Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)40.538.879.3+1.752%-
Last 30 at home (11)39.236.976.1+2.355%-
Last 30 away (10)41.940.982.8+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)39.936.176.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.035.475.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.538.074.5-1.525%-
vs Similar (12)40.238.478.7+1.858%-
vs Weaker (5)44.240.484.6+3.860%-
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Telsiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Telsiai: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.8
55.8%
51.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.6
39.8%
33.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.011.1
61.7%
70.3%11.1
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.517.4
47.7%
51.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.2
31.7%
33.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.612.1
65.1%
70.3%12.1
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Telsiai
WWWLWLLWWW
Jurbarkas
LWWLLWWLWL
#2
League position
#4
+18.5
Net rating
+1.1
112.5
Offensive rating
100.0
94.0
Defensive rating
98.9
57.3%
Effective FG%
47.6%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
17.7%
Turnover %
18.6%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.8%
3-point %
31.7%
68.4%
Assist %
74.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 100.0Defence94.0 · 98.9Shooting57.3% · 47.6%3-point %39.8% · 31.7%Ball care17.7% · 18.6%Off. rebounds29.0% · 31.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Telsiai   ■ Jurbarkas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Telsiai wins
0
Jurbarkas wins
DateGameScore
28/10/23Jurbarkas v Telsiai80-82
Telsiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/23AVilkaviskis94-76
07/12/23HRytas 297-69
05/12/23ADelikatesas Joniskis82-65
02/12/23AVytis VDU77-84
30/11/23HBC Olimpas Palanga71-66
25/11/23ASuduva-Mantinga75-84 OT
23/11/23HSilute67-72
16/11/23AKauno Atletas85-68
14/11/23HKauno Atletas77-73
11/11/23HUkmerges Stekas75-58
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/23HSuduva-Mantinga70-79
09/12/23AVytis VDU93-78
07/12/23HDelikatesas Joniskis78-67
02/12/23AUkmerges Stekas54-62
30/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas 268-79
26/11/23AKauno Atletas76-62
25/11/23HNeptunas 288-75
18/11/23ARytas 287-92
16/11/23HRytas 282-78
11/11/23ABC Olimpas Palanga57-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Telsiai
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayWLLWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %80%89%73%
Points / game83.884.283.4
Allowed / game73.070.275.2
Point differential+10.8+14.0+8.2
Avg total156.7154.4158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%56%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Jurbarkas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeWWLWL55%
AwayLLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %57%55%60%
Points / game79.578.880.2
Allowed / game76.876.876.8
Point differential+2.7+2.0+3.4
Avg total156.3155.6157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%27%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga1917289%85.272.2+13.1
2 Telsiai2016480%83.873.0+10.8
3 BC Olimpas Palanga2217577%81.172.5+8.7
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 22112957%76.773.9+2.8
5 Jurbarkas2112957%79.576.8+2.7
6 Vytis VDU1810856%86.484.7+1.7
7 Vilkaviskis21111052%82.782.3+0.3
8 Ukmerges Stekas2091145%74.677.5-2.9
9 Kauno Atletas2191243%76.378.7-2.4
10 Delikatesas Joniskis1981142%76.883.7-6.9
11 Kretinga2171433%77.281.1-4.0
12 Rytas 22061430%80.288.6-8.4
13 Silute2261627%77.783.0-5.4
14 Neptunas 22131814%75.885.2-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Telsiai29252730111
Jurbarkas1814222478
← all games of the day
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