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Tenerife vs Murcia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 02 May 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record4-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game91.1
SpainACBRound 31· Pabellón Insular Santiago Martín
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Tenerife v Murcia
02 May 2027
TEN v MUR
upcoming
18 Oct 2025
TEN96
MUR80
21 Dec 2024
TEN82
MUR74
27 Jan 2024
TEN75
MUR73
03 May 2023
TEN109
MUR111
24 Jan 2023
TEN85
MUR65
06 Feb 2022
TEN87
MUR71
20 Mar 2021
TEN85
MUR78
13 Apr 2019
TEN83
MUR76
14 Mar 2018
TEN72
MUR83
04 Oct 2017
TEN84
MUR78
11 Dec 2016
TEN94
MUR80
24 Jan 2016
TEN70
MUR69
18 Jan 2015
TEN78
MUR72
30 Dec 2013
TEN82
MUR69
04 Jan 2013
TEN80
MUR68
04 Jan 2011
TEN70
MUR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tenerife win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TenerifeSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTenerife
Date
Competition
Maxima Roma
#11
W
96-71
96
71
+25
100avg 79
H14/10
Eurocup
Baskonia
#5
W
82-77
82
77
+5
76avg 79
H18/10
ACB
Frankfurt
#22
W
104-94
104
94
+10
97avg 79
A21/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#13
W
106-76
106
76
+30
109avg 79
H25/10
ACB
Venezia
#14
W
82-80
82
80
+2
74avg 79
H28/10
Eurocup
Leyma Coruna
#14
L
89-93
89
93
-4
78avg 79
A31/10
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#29
W
113-73
113
73
+40
no box
H05/11
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#12
W
80-74
80
74
+6
no box
H08/11
ACB
Siauliai
#19
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
A14/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
19-19
20-15
31-23
25-18
14-18
15-24
28-17
14-22
17-21
43-23
30-28
20-19
29-14
30-17
27-26
24-25
24-16
17-25
17-14
18-18
29-21
26-25
16-29
36-19
23-22
28-11
26-21
25-24
14-21
21-15
20-14
17-15
21-12
25-23
23-21
22-15
22-25
24-20
22-24
172.1Avg total
92.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.179.6166.8+7.575%
Season at home (4)87.077.0164.0+10.075%
Season away (4)87.282.2169.5+5.075%
Last 10 (10)92.879.3172.1+13.590%
Last 5 (5)91.679.0170.6+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)86.396.1182.4-9.822%
vs Similar (6)81.884.5166.3-2.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.783.0174.7+8.773%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Varese
#37
W
85-58
85
58
+27
89avg 80
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
L
77-90
77
90
-13
64avg 80
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
86-67
86
67
+19
80avg 80
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
93-116
93
116
-23
78avg 80
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
88-81
88
81
+7
74avg 80
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
60avg 80
H27/10
Champions League
Forca Lleida
#18
W
125-98
125
98
+27
117avg 80
H31/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
no box
A08/11
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
98-66
98
66
+32
no box
H11/11
Champions League
Bilbao
#9
W
84-76
84
76
+8
no box
A15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-8
23-14
27-20
19-16
13-16
20-28
24-22
20-24
15-17
19-15
32-23
20-12
14-25
22-33
24-28
33-30
18-17
19-23
26-18
25-23
15-16
17-17
18-27
22-20
34-21
26-19
25-25
40-33
20-22
19-25
16-16
16-27
29-19
21-18
15-11
33-18
25-16
15-21
25-19
19-20
170.1Avg total
87.9Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.491.1180.5-1.850%
Season at home (4)97.590.8188.2+6.875%
Season away (4)81.291.5172.8-10.225%
Last 10 (10)87.982.2170.1+5.760%
Last 5 (5)90.082.0172.0+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)85.297.5182.8-12.225%
vs Similar (7)87.191.3178.4-4.143%
vs Weaker (19)91.479.8171.3+11.684%
This opponent (Tenerife) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
TenerifeMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TenerifeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maxima Roma
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H14/10
Eurocup
Baskonia
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H18/10
ACB
Frankfurt
#22
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A21/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#13
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H25/10
ACB
Venezia
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H28/10
Eurocup
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A31/10
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#29
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H05/11
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#12
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H08/11
ACB
Siauliai
#19
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A11/11
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A14/11
ACB
81.7Avg total
43.9Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.684.7+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.740.284.9+4.571%-
Last 30 away (16)41.742.984.6-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)43.937.881.7+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)45.438.483.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.446.088.4-3.644%-
vs Similar (6)39.839.078.8+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.840.184.9+4.773%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#37
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#14
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H27/10
Champions League
Forca Lleida
#18
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H31/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A08/11
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H11/11
Champions League
Bilbao
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A15/11
ACB
79.0Avg total
40.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.882.9+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.340.884.1+2.559%-
Last 30 away (13)40.640.881.4-0.254%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.079.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.883.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.548.887.2-10.20%-
vs Similar (7)41.442.684.0-1.157%-
vs Weaker (19)43.238.581.6+4.768%-
This opponent (Tenerife) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tenerifetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tenerife: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.0
55.2%
55.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.911.4
42.4%
36.4%34.2
🏀 Free throws21.016.6
79.0%
76.0%16.6
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.4
50.8%
55.8%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.710.7
32.7%
36.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.519.0
77.6%
76.0%19.0
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tenerife
WWWWLWWWWW
Murcia
WWLWLWLWLW
#3
League position
#10
+9.9
Net rating
+1.2
105.9
Offensive rating
97.1
96.0
Defensive rating
95.9
58.9%
Effective FG%
50.0%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
13.8%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
42.4%
3-point %
32.7%
66.4%
Assist %
53.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 97.1Defence96.0 · 95.9Shooting58.9% · 50.0%3-point %42.4% · 32.7%Ball care13.8% · 14.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Tenerife   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tenerife wins
4
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
11/10/26Murcia v Tenerife77-90
25/04/26Murcia v Tenerife86-80
18/10/25Tenerife v Murcia96-80
08/02/25Murcia v Tenerife77-78
21/12/24Tenerife v Murcia82-74
27/01/24Tenerife v Murcia75-73
30/09/23Murcia v Tenerife80-68
03/05/23Tenerife v Murcia109-111 OT
15/03/23Murcia v Tenerife82-67
24/01/23Tenerife v Murcia85-65
Tenerifelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AMoraBanc Andorra90-84
11/11/26ASiauliai86-71
08/11/26HJoventut Badalona80-74
05/11/26HCluj-Napoca113-73
31/10/26ALeyma Coruna89-93
28/10/26HVenezia82-80
25/10/26HObradoiro CAB106-76
21/10/26AFrankfurt104-94
18/10/26HBaskonia82-77
14/10/26HMaxima Roma96-71
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ABilbao84-76
11/11/26HBamberg98-66
08/11/26AReal Madrid71-90
31/10/26HForca Lleida125-98
27/10/26HPeristeri72-80
24/10/26HLeyma Coruna88-81
18/10/26AValencia93-116
14/10/26ABamberg86-67
11/10/26HTenerife77-90
07/10/26HVarese85-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tenerife
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game87.187.087.2
Allowed / game79.677.082.2
Point differential+7.5+10.0+5.0
Avg total166.8164.0169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game89.497.581.2
Allowed / game91.190.891.5
Point differential-1.8+6.8-10.2
Avg total180.5188.2172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+21.0
2 Valencia86275%100.689.1+11.5
3 Tenerife86275%87.179.6+7.5
4 Barcelona86275%98.693.0+5.6
5 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
6 Breogan85362%104.8100.1+4.6
7 Basket Zaragoza85362%92.889.1+3.6
8 Unicaja84450%87.984.1+3.8
9 Bilbao84450%90.091.5-1.5
10 Murcia84450%89.491.1-1.8
11 Basquet Girona84450%88.195.4-7.2
12 Joventut Badalona83538%90.590.4+0.1
13 Obradoiro CAB83538%89.498.0-8.6
14 Leyma Coruna83538%92.5101.2-8.8
15 San Pablo Burgos82625%91.493.0-1.6
16 Manresa82625%88.0101.0-13.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra81712%86.496.5-10.1
18 Forca Lleida81712%92.8104.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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