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Texas State vs Abilene Christian Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 63-49
32-22 31-27
Position#125
Record3-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game70.6
vs
Position#264
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Texas State v Abilene Christian
18 Nov 2025
TEXA63
ABIL49
25 Nov 2019
TEXA61
ABIL56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Abilene Christian winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H20/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
H22/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H26/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
102-93 OT
102
93
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
48-83
48
83
-35
A04/11
NCAA
Texas A&M SA Jaguars
#619
W
114-55
114
55
+59
H06/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A08/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H13/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-25
40-38
36-36
46-46
37-36
32-38
33-41
44-36
29-27
32-37
29-40
19-43
53-25
61-30
39-26
32-53
38-26
42-43
47-30
30-37
153.4Avg total
79.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.070.6148.6+7.460%
Season at home (3)90.363.7154.0+26.7100%
Season away (2)59.581.0140.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)79.573.9153.4+5.660%
Last 5 (5)78.070.6148.6+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.779.6149.3-9.929%
vs Similar (8)75.477.6153.0-2.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)81.169.3150.4+11.767%
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abilene ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#350
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H23/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A28/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
70-59
70
59
+11
A01/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H07/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Seattle
#252
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H14/03
NCAA
McMurry
#528
W
92-55
92
55
+37
H04/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H07/11
NCAA
Southwest Adventist
#641
W
104-63
104
63
+41
H11/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-31
36-40
25-37
27-30
32-23
38-36
29-36
31-37
44-44
30-30
25-30
38-39
41-22
51-33
37-37
36-34
56-25
48-38
33-35
33-41
142.7Avg total
74.2Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.866.2150.0+17.575%
Season at home (3)89.763.0152.7+26.7100%
Season away (1)66.076.0142.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)74.268.5142.7+5.760%
Last 5 (5)79.666.8146.4+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)61.480.3141.7-18.914%
vs Similar (13)66.867.9134.8-1.146%
vs Weaker (8)76.965.8142.6+11.175%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.9+6.91st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: +1.0+1.0
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.9+6.91st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: +1.0+1.0
Texas StateAbilene Christian
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H20/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H26/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H07/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A04/11
NCAA
Texas A&M SA Jaguars
#619
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H06/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A08/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H13/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H15/11
NCAA
69.3Avg total
38.1Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.833.869.6+2.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.032.371.3+6.769%-
Last 30 away (14)32.135.567.6-3.421%-
Last 10 (10)38.131.269.3+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)41.229.470.6+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.937.170.0-4.314%-
vs Similar (8)32.035.467.4-3.425%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.131.470.5+7.773%-
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abilene ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#350
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H23/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A28/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A01/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H07/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H08/03
NCAA
Seattle
#252
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H14/03
NCAA
McMurry
#528
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H04/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H07/11
NCAA
Southwest Adventist
#641
W
56-25
56
25
+31
H11/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A15/11
NCAA
68.6Avg total
36.6Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.232.466.6+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.030.567.5+6.553%-
Last 30 away (15)31.334.365.7-3.040%-
Last 10 (10)36.632.068.6+4.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.429.868.2+8.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)28.939.368.1-10.40%-
vs Similar (13)32.532.064.5+0.546%-
vs Weaker (8)38.929.168.0+9.875%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Texas State wins
1
Abilene Christian wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HTexas Southern77-67
13/11/25HUTSA Roadrunners80-69
08/11/25ATulane71-79
06/11/25HTexas A&M SA Jaguars114-55
04/11/25ABowling Green48-83
07/03/25HOld Dominion61-64
01/03/25HJames Madison102-93 OT
26/02/25HTroy69-74
22/02/25HSouth Alabama93-92 OT
20/02/25HLouisiana Monroe80-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25AStephen F. Austin66-76
11/11/25HSouthwest Adventist104-63
07/11/25HNebraska O.73-71
04/11/25HMcMurry92-55
14/03/25HSeattle63-69
08/03/25HGrand Canyon82-81 OT
07/03/25HUtah Valley State60-73
01/03/25AUT Arlington70-59
28/02/25ATarleton52-67
23/02/25HUtah Tech80-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game78.090.359.5
Allowed / game70.663.781.0
Point differential+7.4+26.7-21.5
Avg total148.6154.0140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Abilene Christian
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game83.889.766.0
Allowed / game66.263.076.0
Point differential+17.5+26.7-10.0
Avg total150.0152.7142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Alabama54180%75.866.0+9.8
2 Arkansas State43175%83.881.8+2.0
3 Marshall43175%84.284.5-0.2
4 Troy53260%87.276.4+10.8
5 Appalachian State53260%74.466.8+7.6
6 Texas State53260%78.070.6+7.4
7 Georgia Southern53260%88.284.6+3.6
8 Coastal Carolina42250%82.865.0+17.8
9 James Madison63350%76.276.0+0.2
10 Old Dominion52340%73.478.4-5.0
11 Southern Miss41325%80.275.0+5.2
12 Louisiana Lafayette41325%61.570.2-8.8
13 Georgia State51420%65.267.8-2.6
14 Louisiana Monroe51420%72.478.8-6.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 California Baptist330100%75.065.0+10.0
2 UT Arlington43175%82.856.0+26.8
3 Abilene Christian43175%83.866.2+17.5
4 Utah Valley State42250%89.567.8+21.8
5 Tarleton63350%75.879.8-4.0
6 Utah Tech73443%77.477.1+0.3
7 Southern Utah51420%77.889.6-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State323163
Abilene Christian222749
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