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Texas State vs Marshall Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 75-79
40-37 35-42
Position#214
Record6-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game69.9
vs
Position#289
Record7-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game75.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Texas State v Marshall
28 Jan 2026
TEXA72
MARS68
06 Jan 2024
TEXA75
MARS79
19 Jan 2023
TEXA73
MARS81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marshall winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#7
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H21/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H22/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A25/11
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A01/12
NCAA
Jarvis Christian
#628
W
107-58
107
58
+49
H12/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A16/12
NCAA
Le Tourneau
#550
W
110-68
110
68
+42
H19/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
37-72
37
72
-35
A22/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
A30/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
20-26
28-33
25-28
42-46
32-27
41-39
26-36
32-41
36-24
71-34
23-33
50-27
53-30
57-38
18-29
19-43
28-36
37-46
31-33
32-38
138.8Avg total
70.1Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)69.169.9139.0-0.743%
Season at home (6)77.865.3143.2+12.550%
Season away (8)62.673.2135.9-10.638%
Last 10 (10)70.168.7138.8+1.440%
Last 5 (5)69.670.6140.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)61.173.8134.9-12.86%
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.664.8136.5+6.882%
vs Weaker (3)93.365.7159.0+27.767%
This opponent (Marshall) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarshallUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#50
L
82-118
82
118
-36
A25/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H03/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H07/12
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A09/12
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
87-88
87
88
-1
A14/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H17/12
NCAA
Bluefield State
#516
W
103-70
103
70
+33
H19/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H22/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-69
41-49
24-32
50-47
32-39
40-46
37-38
37-31
39-48
48-40
32-34
40-31
46-23
57-47
31-40
38-38
39-25
36-36
39-21
29-36
154.6Avg total
77.6Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.975.9151.8-0.147%
Season at home (7)79.173.0152.1+6.157%
Season away (8)73.078.5151.5-5.538%
Last 10 (10)77.677.0154.6+0.650%
Last 5 (5)77.466.2143.6+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.680.6154.1-7.033%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.671.4149.0+6.262%
vs Weaker (12)81.673.2154.8+8.375%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +1.5+1.5
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +1.5+1.5
Texas StateMarshall
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#7
L
20-26
20
26
-6
H21/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H22/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A01/12
NCAA
Jarvis Christian
#628
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H12/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A16/12
NCAA
Le Tourneau
#550
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H19/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
18-29
18
29
-11
A22/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A30/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H05/01
NCAA
59.4Avg total
29.2Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.432.863.2-2.427%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.931.463.2+0.536%-
Last 30 away (16)29.234.163.2-4.919%-
Last 10 (10)29.230.259.4-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)30.632.262.8-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)27.735.763.4-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)31.829.661.5+2.255%-
vs Weaker (3)40.029.069.0+11.067%-
This opponent (Marshall) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarshallLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#50
L
41-69
41
69
-28
A25/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H03/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H07/12
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A09/12
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A14/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H17/12
NCAA
Bluefield State
#516
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H19/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H22/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
39-21
39
21
+18
A04/01
NCAA
72.9Avg total
36.0Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.334.070.2+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.632.669.1+4.057%-
Last 30 away (16)36.035.271.2+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)36.036.972.9-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.428.666.0+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.040.274.2-6.211%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.532.969.4+3.662%-
vs Weaker (12)37.030.967.9+6.175%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Texas State wins
1
Marshall wins
DateGameScore
04/03/23Marshall v Texas State68-71
20/01/23Texas State v Marshall73-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24HCoastal Carolina63-71
30/12/23AJames Madison65-82
22/12/23AHouston37-72
19/12/23HLe Tourneau110-68
16/12/23ASam Houston St.73-60
12/12/23HJarvis Christian107-58
01/12/23ATexas58-77
25/11/23AUT Arlington73-66
22/11/23HSouthern Utah67-74
21/11/23HMcNeese State48-59
Marshalllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24ALouisiana Monroe68-57
30/12/23HLouisiana Lafayette75-61
22/12/23HNC Wilmington69-78
19/12/23HBluefield State103-70
17/12/23HNC Greensboro72-65
14/12/23AToledo87-88
09/12/23AOhio74-69
07/12/23HDuquesne72-85
03/12/23HMiami (Ohio)74-79
25/11/23AKentucky82-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayWLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %43%50%38%
Points / game69.177.862.6
Allowed / game69.965.373.2
Point differential-0.7+12.5-10.6
Avg total139.0143.2135.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Marshall
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW47%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayLLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%57%38%
Points / game75.979.173.0
Allowed / game75.973.078.5
Point differential-0.1+6.1-5.5
Avg total151.8152.1151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison1514193%88.871.9+16.9
2 Appalachian State1511473%78.364.9+13.5
3 Troy159660%81.570.3+11.3
4 Southern Miss158753%71.171.5-0.3
5 South Alabama158753%74.375.7-1.4
6 Georgia State147750%80.174.7+5.4
7 Louisiana Lafayette147750%75.971.3+4.6
8 Marshall157847%75.975.9-0.1
9 Texas State146843%69.169.9-0.7
10 Arkansas State156940%78.778.9-0.3
11 Coastal Carolina134931%78.777.6+1.1
12 Louisiana Monroe134931%68.672.6-4.0
13 Old Dominion1541127%70.877.9-7.1
14 Georgia Southern1521313%68.979.6-10.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State403575
Marshall374279
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