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Texas State vs Marshall Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 72-68
39-29 33-39
Position#125
Record11-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#124
Record13-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game74.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Texas State v Marshall
28 Jan 2026
TEXA72
MARS68
06 Jan 2024
TEXA75
MARS79
19 Jan 2023
TEXA73
MARS81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marshall winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
70-89
70
89
-19
H18/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H20/12
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
80-100
80
100
-20
A31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
70-80 OT
70
80
-10
A09/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H15/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A23/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
57-82
57
82
-25
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-41
38-48
25-39
42-26
33-45
47-55
46-40
38-39
28-29
37-36
37-43
45-40
29-22
30-32
27-28
47-39
27-32
43-40
28-47
29-35
148.4Avg total
71.3Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)73.171.5144.6+1.550%
Season at home (12)76.864.4141.2+12.483%
Season away (10)68.680.1148.7-11.510%
Last 10 (10)71.377.1148.4-5.840%
Last 5 (5)68.471.6140.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.879.8148.5-11.025%
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.380.0153.3-6.729%
vs Weaker (12)76.661.3137.9+15.283%
This opponent (Marshall) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarshallUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wright State
#94
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H13/12
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A20/12
NCAA
West Virginia University
#628
W
102-52
102
52
+50
H24/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H31/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H03/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A08/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A10/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H15/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H17/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
115-60
115
60
+55
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-39
44-35
32-36
31-34
46-26
56-26
33-35
51-45
44-32
44-49
36-25
30-39
38-38
35-43
32-39
51-46
36-32
41-40
65-36
50-24
154.6Avg total
82.7Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.274.8156.1+6.565%
Season at home (12)86.072.8158.8+13.283%
Season away (8)74.177.8151.9-3.638%
Last 10 (10)82.771.9154.6+10.870%
Last 5 (5)82.872.4155.2+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.082.8158.8-6.820%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.773.0149.7+3.773%
vs Weaker (9)83.172.3155.4+10.878%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.4-5.41st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +5.2+5.2
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.4-5.41st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +5.2+5.2
Texas StateMarshall
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H18/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H20/12
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A09/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H15/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H17/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A23/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A24/01
NCAA
67.8Avg total
31.2Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.233.067.2+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.830.866.6+5.159%-
Last 30 away (13)32.135.968.0-3.823%-
Last 10 (10)31.236.667.8-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)29.634.464.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.836.068.8-3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.637.468.0-6.70%-
vs Weaker (12)38.826.965.8+11.9100%-
This opponent (Marshall) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarshallLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wright State
#94
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H13/12
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A20/12
NCAA
West Virginia University
#628
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H24/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H31/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H03/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A08/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A10/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H15/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
65-36
65
36
+29
H22/01
NCAA
73.2Avg total
39.4Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.535.470.9+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.634.170.7+2.559%-
Last 30 away (13)34.237.171.2-2.923%-
Last 10 (10)39.433.873.2+5.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.434.075.4+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.641.674.2-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.134.368.5-0.253%-
vs Weaker (9)38.334.873.1+3.644%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Texas State wins
3
Marshall wins
DateGameScore
03/01/25Marshall v Texas State77-71
06/01/24Texas State v Marshall75-79
04/03/23Marshall v Texas State68-71
20/01/23Texas State v Marshall73-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26AJames Madison57-82
23/01/26ACoastal Carolina70-72
17/01/26HSouthern Miss74-67
15/01/26HLouisiana Lafayette59-54
10/01/26AArkansas State82-83
09/01/26ASouthern Miss70-80 OT
03/01/26ALouisiana Monroe84-79
31/12/25ATroy80-100
20/12/25HSouth Alabama67-65
18/12/25HArkansas State70-89
Marshalllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26HLouisiana Monroe115-60
17/01/26HJames Madison77-72
15/01/26HCoastal Carolina83-85
10/01/26AGeorgia State73-81
08/01/26AJames Madison66-64
03/01/26HAppalachian State88-81
31/12/25HGeorgia State84-80
24/12/25HWest Virginia University102-52
20/12/25ATroy63-70
13/12/25HWright State76-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %50%83%10%
Points / game73.176.868.6
Allowed / game71.564.480.1
Point differential+1.5+12.4-11.5
Avg total144.6141.2148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %9%8%10%
Marshall
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW65%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %65%83%38%
Points / game81.286.074.1
Allowed / game74.872.877.8
Point differential+6.5+13.2-3.6
Avg total156.1158.8151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy2115671%86.576.3+10.2
2 Marshall2013765%81.274.8+6.5
3 Arkansas State2113862%83.079.3+3.7
4 South Alabama2012860%74.269.3+4.8
5 Appalachian State2213959%72.265.5+6.6
6 Georgia Southern2213959%82.580.3+2.1
7 Coastal Carolina2213959%73.972.2+1.7
8 Texas State22111150%73.171.5+1.5
9 Southern Miss22111150%74.073.7+0.3
10 James Madison21101148%75.076.4-1.5
11 Georgia State2191243%71.173.7-2.6
12 Old Dominion2161529%74.177.6-3.4
13 Louisiana Lafayette2151624%60.169.2-9.1
14 Louisiana Monroe2131814%70.882.8-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State393372
Marshall293968
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