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Texas State vs Texas Southern Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#27
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game62.8
vs
Position#328
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game93.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Texas State v Texas Southern
19 Dec 2026
TEXA v TEXA
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
TEXA77
TEXA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Texas Southern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#84
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H12/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
95-84
95
84
+11
H14/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
90-82 OT
90
82
+8
A20/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A21/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H06/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#216
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H03/11
NCAA
Howard Payne
#502
W
135-66
135
66
+69
H06/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#211
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A11/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#227
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-29
38-33
45-43
50-41
40-33
35-42
18-34
36-33
34-33
26-24
33-37
44-44
35-26
32-29
64-30
71-36
30-28
42-37
44-37
41-28
149.3Avg total
80.9Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.862.8152.5+27.0100%
Season at home (3)95.762.0157.7+33.7100%
Season away (1)72.065.0137.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.968.4149.3+12.580%
Last 5 (5)87.266.4153.6+20.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)72.475.7148.2-3.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.663.1143.7+17.592%
This opponent (Texas Southern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas SouthernUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
83-64
83
64
+19
A20/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A21/02
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
H27/02
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
82-57
82
57
+25
H28/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H06/03
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
L
74-85 OT
74
85
-11
H12/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
79-103
79
103
-24
A03/11
NCAA
LSU
#13
L
51-92
51
92
-41
A07/11
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#414
W
98-78
98
78
+20
H11/11
NCAA
Murray State
#25
L
78-99
78
99
-21
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-36
43-28
34-36
37-36
41-41
35-35
37-30
45-27
30-38
29-32
31-27
35-39
37-48
42-55
28-47
23-45
42-37
56-41
38-50
40-49
157.4Avg total
76.7Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.593.0169.5-16.525%
Season at home (1)98.078.0176.0+20.0100%
Season away (3)69.398.0167.3-28.70%
Last 10 (10)76.780.7157.4-4.040%
Last 5 (5)76.091.4167.4-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)69.290.4159.5-21.29%
vs Similar (10)75.673.5149.1+2.150%
vs Weaker (9)85.667.8153.3+17.878%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: -0.2-0.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: -0.2-0.2
Texas StateTexas Southern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#84
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H14/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A20/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
18-34
18
34
-16
A21/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H06/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#216
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H03/11
NCAA
Howard Payne
#502
W
64-30
64
30
+34
H06/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#211
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A11/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#227
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H14/11
NCAA
70.9Avg total
37.9Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.033.768.7+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.332.169.4+5.367%-
Last 30 away (12)31.536.267.8-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)37.933.070.9+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)41.231.672.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)32.335.667.9-3.322%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.030.969.9+8.192%-
This opponent (Texas Southern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas SouthernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A20/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A21/02
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/02
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H06/03
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H12/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A03/11
NCAA
LSU
#13
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A07/11
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#414
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Murray State
#25
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A14/11
NCAA
74.8Avg total
35.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.837.872.6-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.233.469.6+2.853%-
Last 30 away (15)33.342.375.6-8.920%-
Last 10 (10)35.839.074.8-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.241.877.0-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)31.445.977.3-14.59%-
vs Similar (10)33.834.268.0-0.440%-
vs Weaker (9)40.032.072.0+8.067%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Texas State wins
0
Texas Southern wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Texas State v Texas Southern77-67
01/12/24Texas Southern v Texas State59-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSouthern Miss85-65
11/11/26AUTRGV72-65
06/11/26HHoward Payne135-66
03/11/26HTexas A&M-CC67-55
06/03/26HSouthern Miss77-81
28/02/26HAppalachian State60-57
21/02/26ALouisiana Lafayette54-67
20/02/26ASouth Alabama90-82 OT
14/02/26HLouisiana Monroe95-84
12/02/26HTroy74-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AMurray State78-99
11/11/26HCBS Ambassadors98-78
07/11/26ALSU51-92
03/11/26AGrand Canyon79-103
12/03/26HAlabama A&M Bulldogs74-85 OT
06/03/26HPrairie View A&M59-70
28/02/26HJackson State82-57
27/02/26HAlcorn State92-87 OT
21/02/26AMiss. Valley St.71-72
20/02/26AArkansas-Pine Bluff83-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.895.772.0
Allowed / game62.862.065.0
Point differential+27.0+33.7+7.0
Avg total152.5157.7137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Texas Southern
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game76.598.069.3
Allowed / game93.078.098.0
Point differential-16.5+20.0-28.7
Avg total169.5176.0167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State440100%89.862.8+27.0
2 Old Dominion550100%77.058.4+18.6
3 Appalachian State42250%69.060.2+8.8
4 Southern Miss42250%72.070.8+1.2
5 Arkansas State42250%80.279.5+0.8
6 Coastal Carolina42250%72.573.5-1.0
7 South Alabama52340%74.676.0-1.4
8 Louisiana Lafayette31233%59.060.3-1.3
9 James Madison31233%76.078.7-2.7
10 Georgia State41325%85.877.2+8.5
11 Marshall41325%78.276.0+2.2
12 Georgia Southern41325%77.882.8-5.0
13 Troy41325%66.078.0-12.0
14 Louisiana Monroe61517%75.087.7-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs43175%81.267.8+13.5
2 Grambling St.21150%75.590.0-14.5
3 Prairie View A&M52340%75.482.0-6.6
4 Jackson State52340%68.483.0-14.6
5 Alabama State31233%69.778.7-9.0
6 Florida A&M41325%77.880.8-3.0
7 Texas Southern41325%76.593.0-16.5
8 Bethune-Cookman4040%71.085.5-14.5
9 Miss. Valley St.4040%63.085.5-22.5
10 Alcorn State4040%66.890.0-23.2
11 Southern Univ.5050%60.488.2-27.8
12 Arkansas-Pine Bluff4040%52.898.8-46.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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