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Alftanes vs Valur Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 100-103 (OT)
19-20 21-17 27-19 21-32 12-15
Position#6
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game98.5
vs
Valur 🏆
Iceland
Position#5
Record0-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game95.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 3· Ungmennafélag Álftaness
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alftanes v Valur
18 Feb 2027
ALFT v VALU
upcoming
20 Feb 2026
ALFT87
VALU108
17 Oct 2024
ALFT100
VALU103
23 Nov 2023
ALFT73
VALU67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alftanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#7
W
86-77
86
77
+9
76avg 76
H14/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
72-90
72
90
-18
60avg 76
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Haukar
#10
W
98-91
98
91
+7
100avg 76
A28/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
63-54
63
54
+9
55avg 76
H04/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
92-99
92
99
-7
91avg 76
A11/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
77-56
77
56
+21
74avg 76
H15/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
84-88
84
88
-4
69avg 76
A19/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
85-114
85
114
-29
72avg 76
H23/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
101-108 OT
101
108
-7
70avg 76
H03/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
80-89
80
89
-9
67avg 76
A12/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
27-21
12-10
28-16
17-23
22-28
24-14
9-25
23-24
27-18
21-26
27-23
14-14
12-11
20-10
17-19
20-24
17-27
23-26
32-22
17-6
20-23
18-18
22-9
28-19
16-25
25-25
15-19
14-28
25-30
21-33
25-23
25-30
23-25
31-18
17-23
25-24
19-21
16-23
20-21
170.4Avg total
83.8Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.598.5189.0-8.00%
Season at home (1)101.0108.0209.0-7.00%
Season away (1)80.089.0169.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)83.886.6170.4-2.840%
Last 5 (5)85.491.0176.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.783.5161.2-5.833%
vs Similar ◀ (17)83.686.6170.2-2.941%
vs Weaker (6)95.879.2175.0+16.7100%
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
W
68-67
68
67
+1
57avg 79
H07/05
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
88-91
88
91
-3
73avg 79
A11/05
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
85-82
85
82
+3
71avg 79
H14/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
89-79
89
79
+10
88avg 79
H17/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
89-93
89
93
-4
84avg 79
A20/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
80-62
80
62
+18
72avg 79
H23/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
78-80
78
80
-2
75avg 79
A26/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
80-73
80
73
+7
76avg 79
H29/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
81-95
81
95
-14
63avg 79
A04/10
Premier league
Thorl
#9
L
88-95 OT
88
95
-7
78avg 79
H10/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
23-16
20-15
8-14
22-25
31-22
19-24
16-20
27-29
17-21
16-15
25-17
21-22
16-15
32-21
20-21
29-20
23-25
21-21
16-27
21-19
16-18
27-11
16-14
25-23
18-21
15-14
20-22
27-22
22-18
19-17
12-16
18-17
16-23
31-26
16-29
14-25
27-12
20-31
20-13
164.3Avg total
82.6Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.595.0179.5-10.50%
Season at home (1)88.095.0183.0-7.00%
Season away (1)81.095.0176.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)82.681.7164.3+0.950%
Last 5 (5)81.481.0162.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.095.0176.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.984.0167.9-0.162%
vs Weaker (15)92.382.8175.1+9.580%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
AlftanesValur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#7
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H14/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Haukar
#10
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A28/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H04/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A11/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H15/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A19/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H23/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H03/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A12/10
Premier league
86.1Avg total
41.0Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.942.485.2+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.642.386.9+2.367%-
Last 30 away (15)41.142.483.5-1.333%-
Last 10 (10)41.045.186.1-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.446.288.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.844.086.8-1.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.443.583.9-3.135%-
vs Weaker (6)48.838.387.2+10.5100%-
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H07/05
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A11/05
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H14/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A20/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H23/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A26/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H29/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A04/10
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H10/10
Premier league
84.5Avg total
43.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.342.286.4+2.152%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.540.884.3+2.756%-
Last 30 away (13)45.243.889.1+1.446%-
Last 10 (10)43.041.584.5+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.680.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.040.074.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.343.888.2+0.546%-
vs Weaker (15)44.940.985.8+4.160%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.5
51.6%
53.7%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.2
33.8%
34.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.412.1
69.5%
75.6%12.1
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.3
47.7%
53.7%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.1
32.3%
34.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.915.1
68.9%
75.6%15.1
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alftanes
LLLLWLWWLW
Valur
LLWLWLWWLW
#6
League position
#5
-2.5
Net rating
+1.6
104.4
Offensive rating
103.1
106.9
Defensive rating
101.4
51.2%
Effective FG%
48.0%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
15.4%
Turnover %
16.3%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.8%
3-point %
32.3%
61.2%
Assist %
53.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 103.1Defence106.9 · 101.4Shooting51.2% · 48.0%3-point %33.8% · 32.3%Ball care15.4% · 16.3%Off. rebounds24.6% · 30.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Alftanes   ■ Valur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alftanes wins
1
Valur wins
DateGameScore
07/03/24Valur v Alftanes89-71
23/11/23Alftanes v Valur73-67
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24ANjardvik80-89
03/10/24HKeflavik101-108 OT
23/04/24HKeflavik85-114
19/04/24AKeflavik84-88
15/04/24HKeflavik77-56
11/04/24AKeflavik92-99
04/04/24HHottur63-54
28/03/24AHaukar98-91
19/03/24HTindastoll72-90
14/03/24HStjarnan86-77
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/24HThorl88-95 OT
04/10/24AStjarnan81-95
29/05/24HGrindavik80-73
26/05/24AGrindavik78-80
23/05/24HGrindavik80-62
20/05/24AGrindavik89-93
17/05/24HGrindavik89-79
14/05/24HNjardvik85-82
11/05/24ANjardvik88-91
07/05/24HNjardvik68-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alftanes
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game90.5101.080.0
Allowed / game98.5108.089.0
Point differential-8.0-7.0-9.0
Avg total189.0209.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%100%0%
Valur
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game84.588.081.0
Allowed / game95.095.095.0
Point differential-10.5-7.0-14.0
Avg total179.5183.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hottur220100%114.097.5+16.5
2 Grindavik220100%96.080.5+15.5
3 Stjarnan220100%91.083.5+7.5
4 Thorl220100%94.089.0+5.0
5 KR Basket21150%90.086.0+4.0
6 Njardvik21150%89.586.5+3.0
7 Keflavik21150%111.5110.5+1.0
8 Tindastoll21150%89.088.0+1.0
9 Alftanes2020%90.598.5-8.0
10 Valur2020%84.595.0-10.5
11 IR Reykjavik2020%81.596.5-15.0
12 Haukar2020%80.0100.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Alftanes1921272112100
Valur2017193215103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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