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Alftanes vs Stjarnan Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-97
20-23 23-30 17-29 17-15
Position#6
Record4-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game92.8
vs
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game101.9
Allowed / game86.8
IcelandPremier leagueRound 9· Ungmennafélag Álftaness
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alftanes v Stjarnan
28 Dec 2026
ALFT v STJA
upcoming
26 Mar 2026
ALFT124
STJA115
19 Jan 2025
ALFT88
STJA100
06 Dec 2024
ALFT77
STJA97
14 Mar 2024
ALFT86
STJA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alftanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stjarnan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#3
L
84-88
84
88
-4
69avg 79
A19/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
85-114
85
114
-29
72avg 79
H23/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
101-108 OT
101
108
-7
70avg 79
H03/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
80-89
80
89
-9
67avg 79
A12/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
100-103 OT
100
103
-3
95avg 79
H17/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
84-72
84
72
+12
85avg 79
A24/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
93-87
93
87
+6
94avg 79
H31/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
91-86
91
86
+5
87avg 79
A08/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
90-88
90
88
+2
79avg 79
H14/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
99-109
99
109
-10
94avg 79
A29/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
16-25
25-25
15-19
14-28
25-30
21-33
25-23
25-30
23-25
31-18
17-23
25-24
19-21
16-23
20-21
19-20
21-17
27-19
21-32
24-17
19-24
21-22
20-9
26-20
26-30
19-28
22-9
25-28
26-16
17-27
23-15
30-20
24-25
19-23
17-20
21-29
38-26
20-32
20-22
185.1Avg total
90.7Scored
94.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.292.8185.0-0.550%
Season at home (4)96.096.5192.5-0.550%
Season away (4)88.589.0177.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)90.794.4185.1-3.740%
Last 5 (5)91.488.4179.8+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)81.388.4169.7-7.129%
vs Similar (17)85.486.7172.1-1.347%
vs Weaker (5)97.882.2180.0+15.6100%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#2
W
91-90
91
90
+1
84avg 87
H28/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
96-80
96
80
+16
86avg 87
H04/04
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
95-81
95
81
+14
92avg 87
H04/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
87-86
87
86
+1
83avg 87
A10/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
117-88
117
88
+29
112avg 87
H17/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
114-87
114
87
+27
110avg 87
A25/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
104-98
104
98
+6
99avg 87
H31/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
76avg 87
A03/11
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
77avg 87
H14/11
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
124-82
124
82
+42
124avg 87
H30/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
25-25
21-19
22-22
34-18
21-22
22-12
19-28
17-18
23-16
26-31
29-16
18-28
25-18
23-24
21-16
28-11
28-23
27-29
34-25
32-29
33-16
25-18
24-24
23-25
29-23
32-18
20-32
24-28
21-27
28-19
14-18
21-25
19-13
29-16
18-26
31-25
40-15
23-15
30-27
186.6Avg total
100.2Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)101.986.8188.6+15.188%
Season at home (5)105.485.8191.2+19.6100%
Season away (3)96.088.3184.3+7.767%
Last 10 (10)100.286.4186.6+13.890%
Last 5 (5)103.287.8191.0+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)87.388.5175.8-1.267%
vs Similar (11)84.388.2172.5-3.927%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)99.584.2183.7+15.392%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +6.6+6.6Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +6.6+6.6Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
AlftanesStjarnan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A19/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H23/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H03/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A12/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H17/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A24/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H31/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A08/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H14/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A29/11
Premier league
94.8Avg total
47.4Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.143.487.5+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.643.788.3+0.967%-
Last 30 away (15)43.543.186.7+0.447%-
Last 10 (10)47.447.494.8+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)51.847.098.8+4.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)45.746.692.3-0.943%-
vs Similar (17)41.243.484.6-2.147%-
vs Weaker (5)50.440.490.8+10.0100%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#2
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H28/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H04/04
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H04/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A10/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H17/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
65-45
65
45
+20
A25/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H31/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A03/11
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H14/11
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
71-40
71
40
+31
H30/11
Premier league
94.4Avg total
51.5Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.643.490.9+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.342.991.2+5.462%-
Last 30 away (14)46.743.990.6+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)51.542.994.4+8.670%-
Last 5 (5)54.645.299.8+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.345.790.0-1.333%-
vs Similar (11)43.546.690.2-3.136%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)53.040.393.3+12.792%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.424.8
57.1%
53.7%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.4
33.2%
34.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.715.4
71.0%
75.6%15.4
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 100.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.525.0
53.8%
53.7%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.2
37.6%
34.4%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.616.5
76.4%
75.6%16.5
They take 76.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alftanes
LWWWWLLLLL
Stjarnan
WWLWWWWWWW
#6
League position
#2
-4.9
Net rating
+17.6
110.7
Offensive rating
119.9
115.6
Defensive rating
102.3
54.4%
Effective FG%
54.8%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
15.1%
Turnover %
14.1%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.2%
3-point %
37.6%
58.1%
Assist %
61.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 119.9Defence115.6 · 102.3Shooting54.4% · 54.8%3-point %33.2% · 37.6%Ball care15.1% · 14.1%Off. rebounds24.2% · 32.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Alftanes   ■ Stjarnan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alftanes wins
0
Stjarnan wins
DateGameScore
14/03/24Alftanes v Stjarnan86-77
01/12/23Stjarnan v Alftanes84-90 OT
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24ATindastoll99-109
14/11/24HGrindavik90-88
08/11/24AHaukar91-86
31/10/24HIR Reykjavik93-87
24/10/24AKR Basket84-72
17/10/24HValur100-103 OT
12/10/24ANjardvik80-89
03/10/24HKeflavik101-108 OT
23/04/24HKeflavik85-114
19/04/24AKeflavik84-88
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24HThorl124-82
14/11/24HHottur87-80
03/11/24ATindastoll87-92
31/10/24HGrindavik104-98
25/10/24AHaukar114-87
17/10/24HIR Reykjavik117-88
10/10/24AKR Basket87-86
04/10/24HValur95-81
04/04/24HBreidablik96-80
28/03/24HGrindavik91-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alftanes
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game92.296.088.5
Allowed / game92.896.589.0
Point differential-0.5-0.5-0.5
Avg total185.0192.5177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
Stjarnan
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game101.9105.496.0
Allowed / game86.885.888.3
Point differential+15.1+19.6+7.7
Avg total188.6191.2184.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan87188%101.986.8+15.1
2 Tindastoll87188%97.283.4+13.9
3 Njardvik96367%91.486.6+4.9
4 Grindavik95456%96.888.0+8.8
5 Thorl95456%86.993.0-6.1
6 Keflavik84450%98.696.2+2.4
7 Alftanes84450%92.292.8-0.5
8 KR Basket94544%88.989.4-0.6
9 Valur93633%91.292.9-1.7
10 Hottur93633%86.694.3-7.8
11 IR Reykjavik93633%85.894.7-8.9
12 Haukar91811%83.9100.0-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alftanes2023171777
Stjarnan2330291597
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