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Keflavik vs Hottur Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 112-98
23-29 37-24 33-23 19-22
Position#10
Record6-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game94.6
vs
Position#11
Record4-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game92.4
IcelandPremier leagueRound 13· Blue-hollin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Keflavik v Hottur
29 Oct 2026
KEFL112
HOTT99
09 Jan 2025
KEFL112
HOTT98
11 Mar 2024
KEFL110
HOTT71
08 Dec 2022
KEFL71
HOTT62
01 Mar 2021
KEFL93
HOTT73
12 Feb 2018
KEFL93
HOTT95
30 Oct 2015
KEFL99
HOTT69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hottur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Valur
#5
L
80-104
80
104
-24
64avg 87
A24/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
94-88
94
88
+6
85avg 87
H01/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
91-79
91
79
+12
89avg 87
A08/11
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
117-85
117
85
+32
111avg 87
H14/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
96-104
96
104
-8
56avg 87
H29/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
120-93
120
93
+27
126avg 87
H06/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#12
W
81-70
81
70
+11
78avg 87
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
78avg 87
A12/12
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
105-86
105
86
+19
96avg 87
H19/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
87-89
87
89
-2
76avg 87
H02/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
21-19
25-27
13-33
31-29
18-22
27-10
18-27
32-22
27-21
21-19
11-17
26-23
31-19
34-22
26-21
24-26
23-34
32-18
17-26
28-20
31-30
32-19
29-24
23-24
27-21
16-17
15-8
28-20
22-30
17-22
26-25
31-31
30-19
20-19
24-17
23-22
20-21
20-30
24-16
185.9Avg total
96.4Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)99.594.6194.1+4.950%
Season at home (7)101.090.6191.6+10.457%
Season away (5)97.4100.2197.6-2.840%
Last 10 (10)96.489.5185.9+6.960%
Last 5 (5)97.287.0184.2+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)100.393.0193.3+7.333%
vs Similar (20)91.794.0185.7-2.355%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)109.289.7198.8+19.583%
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
L
76-91
76
91
-15
62avg 72
H24/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
59-99
59
99
-40
38avg 72
A31/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
83-70
83
70
+13
76avg 72
H08/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 72
A14/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
85-88
85
88
-3
73avg 72
H29/11
Premier league
Thorl
#9
L
84-106
84
106
-22
70avg 72
A05/12
Premier league
KR Basket
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
58avg 72
H08/12
Icelandic Cup
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
79-82
79
82
-3
66avg 72
H12/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
92-89
92
89
+3
80avg 72
A19/12
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
86-89
86
89
-3
70avg 72
H03/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-26
26-21
18-24
20-20
17-29
13-26
15-24
14-20
30-11
15-32
22-14
16-13
25-21
13-19
16-29
26-18
19-25
16-17
25-23
25-23
20-29
28-24
15-29
21-24
23-13
15-22
23-13
11-25
15-13
19-24
25-28
20-17
8-28
34-26
23-19
27-16
12-22
27-16
23-26
24-25
167.0Avg total
79.6Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.392.4178.8-6.133%
Season at home (6)88.289.2177.3-1.033%
Season away (6)84.595.7180.2-11.233%
Last 10 (10)79.687.4167.0-7.820%
Last 5 (5)82.687.8170.4-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)83.194.8177.8-11.724%
vs Similar (8)81.181.9163.0-0.850%
vs Weaker (4)93.281.8175.0+11.575%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
KeflavikHottur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A24/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H01/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
59-43
59
43
+16
A08/11
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H14/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H29/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H06/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#12
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#2
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A12/12
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H19/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H02/01
Premier league
99.5Avg total
51.7Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.545.795.2+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.745.596.2+5.269%-
Last 30 away (14)48.245.994.1+2.443%-
Last 10 (10)51.747.899.5+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)52.647.6100.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)53.747.3101.0+6.367%-
vs Similar (20)47.546.493.8+1.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)54.242.796.8+11.583%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H24/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A31/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H08/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A14/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H29/11
Premier league
Thorl
#9
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A05/12
Premier league
KR Basket
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H08/12
Icelandic Cup
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H12/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A19/12
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H03/01
Premier league
83.1Avg total
38.7Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.144.085.1-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.943.183.9-2.247%-
Last 30 away (13)41.445.286.6-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)38.744.483.1-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.483.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.948.988.8-9.018%-
vs Similar (8)41.640.081.6+1.650%-
vs Weaker (4)46.033.579.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 95.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.4
53.3%
53.7%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.213.6
36.6%
34.4%40.8
🏀 Free throws20.916.2
77.5%
75.6%16.2
They take 73.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.519.4
45.6%
53.7%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.48.9
30.3%
34.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.613.5
72.6%
75.6%13.5
They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
LWLWWLWWWL
Hottur
LWLLLLLWLL
#10
League position
#11
+9.3
Net rating
-8.9
115.8
Offensive rating
97.4
106.5
Defensive rating
106.3
54.1%
Effective FG%
45.5%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
15.4%
Turnover %
16.8%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.6%
3-point %
30.3%
56.1%
Assist %
54.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 97.4Defence106.5 · 106.3Shooting54.1% · 45.5%3-point %36.6% · 30.3%Ball care15.4% · 16.8%Off. rebounds30.1% · 28.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Keflavik   ■ Hottur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Keflavik wins
3
Hottur wins
DateGameScore
10/10/24Hottur v Keflavik120-115 OT
11/03/24Keflavik v Hottur110-71
21/01/24Hottur v Keflavik93-123
09/11/23Hottur v Keflavik83-75
16/03/23Hottur v Keflavik84-89
08/12/22Keflavik v Hottur71-62
10/05/21Hottur v Keflavik62-74
01/03/21Keflavik v Hottur93-73
12/02/18Keflavik v Hottur93-95
16/11/17Hottur v Keflavik66-92
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/25HAlftanes87-89
19/12/24HThorl105-86
12/12/24AStjarnan93-97
09/12/24HTindastoll81-70
06/12/24HTindastoll120-93
29/11/24HGrindavik96-104
14/11/24HHaukar117-85
08/11/24AIR Reykjavik91-79
01/11/24HKR Basket94-88
24/10/24AValur80-104
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25HHaukar86-89
19/12/24AAlftanes92-89
12/12/24HIR Reykjavik79-82
08/12/24HKR Basket72-73
05/12/24AThorl84-106
29/11/24HKR Basket85-88
14/11/24AStjarnan80-87
08/11/24HValur83-70
31/10/24ATindastoll59-99
24/10/24HNjardvik76-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%57%40%
Points / game99.5101.097.4
Allowed / game94.690.6100.2
Point differential+4.9+10.4-2.8
Avg total194.1191.6197.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %17%0%40%
Hottur
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game86.388.284.5
Allowed / game92.489.295.7
Point differential-6.1-1.0-11.2
Avg total178.8177.3180.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan1210283%99.086.4+12.6
2 Tindastoll129375%96.887.2+9.5
3 Njardvik127558%91.289.8+1.5
4 Grindavik126650%97.591.7+5.8
5 Keflavik126650%99.594.6+4.9
6 KR Basket126650%92.793.4-0.8
7 Thorl126650%88.493.8-5.4
8 Valur125742%90.291.0-0.8
9 Alftanes125742%89.292.2-3.0
10 IR Reykjavik125742%87.193.1-6.0
11 Hottur124833%86.392.4-6.1
12 Haukar123925%85.798.0-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keflavik23373319112
Hottur2924232298
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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