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Tobol Kostanay vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 101-76
31-24 24-19 20-11 26-22
Position#4
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game76.6
vs
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game78.2
KazakhstanNational League
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Aktobe
06 Nov 2024
TOBO85
AKTO82
05 Nov 2024
TOBO109
AKTO81
15 May 2024
TOBO109
AKTO97
14 May 2024
TOBO89
AKTO105
09 Nov 2023
TOBO101
AKTO76
08 Nov 2023
TOBO96
AKTO88
22 Jan 2023
TOBO82
AKTO79
21 Jan 2023
TOBO83
AKTO78
03 Nov 2022
TOBO88
AKTO69
02 Nov 2022
TOBO85
AKTO76
11 May 2022
TOBO61
AKTO66
10 May 2022
TOBO79
AKTO77
11 Oct 2021
TOBO92
AKTO90
10 Oct 2021
TOBO77
AKTO74
02 Feb 2021
TOBO92
AKTO72
01 Feb 2021
TOBO104
AKTO84
21 Nov 2019
TOBO98
AKTO73
20 Nov 2019
TOBO81
AKTO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aktobe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKostanay
Date
Competition
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
H03/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
no box
H04/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
56-85
56
85
-29
no box
A07/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
69-86
69
86
-17
no box
A08/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
H12/05
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
86-68
86
68
+18
83avg 79
A22/10
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
98-71
98
71
+27
93avg 79
A23/10
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
65-79
65
79
-14
57avg 79
A26/10
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
72-77
72
77
-5
62avg 79
A27/10
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
96-88
96
88
+8
100avg 79
H08/11
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
26-11
22-19
24-33
26-21
11-21
23-10
16-24
17-14
12-24
12-27
15-20
21-15
12-26
18-18
18-27
20-20
18-23
19-21
27-14
28-20
22-21
17-10
19-17
24-20
27-25
25-15
22-11
21-22
9-14
16-25
19-18
18-26
14-14
19-22
21-15
26-20
30-19
17-27
23-22
161.9Avg total
81.2Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.476.6160.0+6.860%
Season at home (1)96.088.0184.0+8.0100%
Season away (4)80.273.8154.0+6.550%
Last 10 (10)81.280.7161.9+0.560%
Last 5 (5)83.476.6160.0+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.385.9153.2-18.611%
vs Similar ◀ (17)80.183.2163.3-3.159%
vs Weaker (4)80.273.8154.0+6.550%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktobe
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
no box
A16/03
National League
Astana
#1
L
55-107
55
107
-52
no box
H03/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
73-79
73
79
-6
no box
H04/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
81-88
81
88
-7
no box
H11/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
72-53
72
53
+19
no box
H12/04
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
83-74
83
74
+9
74avg 83
A18/10
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
83-72
83
72
+11
76avg 83
A19/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
85-74
85
74
+11
no box
H26/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
89-75
89
75
+14
96avg 83
H27/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
88-96
88
96
-8
88avg 83
A08/11
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
27-15
17-23
13-15
15-29
9-27
11-27
20-24
26-23
14-20
18-14
15-22
29-26
19-18
19-18
14-26
19-17
16-14
23-11
14-11
23-19
8-21
19-21
33-13
18-24
25-14
15-16
25-18
21-25
20-15
23-18
21-16
20-22
20-16
29-24
20-13
20-26
19-30
27-17
22-23
158.9Avg total
78.7Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.678.2163.8+7.480%
Season at home (2)87.074.5161.5+12.5100%
Season away (3)84.780.7165.3+4.067%
Last 10 (10)78.780.2158.9-1.550%
Last 5 (5)85.678.2163.8+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)69.778.0147.7-8.315%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.782.4160.1-4.727%
vs Weaker (2)87.074.5161.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
Tobol KostanayAktobe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H03/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H04/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A07/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A08/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H12/05
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A22/10
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A23/10
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A26/10
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A27/10
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H08/11
National League
80.8Avg total
40.5Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.580.7-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.939.281.1+2.757%-
Last 30 away (16)36.843.480.2-6.619%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.380.8+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.284.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.945.479.3-11.611%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.639.681.2+2.147%-
vs Weaker (4)40.840.581.2+0.250%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A16/03
National League
Astana
#1
L
24-56
24
56
-32
H03/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H04/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H11/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H12/04
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A18/10
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A19/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H26/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H27/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A08/11
National League
82.1Avg total
38.9Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.943.280.1-6.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.341.177.4-4.947%-
Last 30 away (15)37.645.282.8-7.613%-
Last 10 (10)38.943.282.1-4.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.481.2-3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.542.478.8-5.923%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.944.481.3-7.527%-
vs Weaker (2)40.539.079.5+1.5100%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Tobol Kostanay wins
2
Aktobe wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23HAktobe96-88
27/10/23AAstana 272-77
26/10/23AAstana 265-79
23/10/23APavlodar98-71
22/10/23APavlodar86-68
12/05/23HIrbis Almaty84-78
08/05/23AIrbis Almaty69-86
07/05/23AIrbis Almaty56-85
04/05/23HIrbis Almaty91-85 OT
03/05/23HIrbis Almaty95-90
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23ATobol Kostanay88-96
27/10/23HKaspiy Aktau89-75
26/10/23HKaspiy Aktau85-74
19/10/23AAstana 283-72
18/10/23AAstana 283-74
12/04/23HTobol Kostanay72-53
11/04/23HTobol Kostanay81-88
04/04/23HAstana73-79
03/04/23HAstana55-107
16/03/23AAtyrau78-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay
National League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeW100%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %60%100%50%
Points / game83.496.080.2
Allowed / game76.688.073.8
Point differential+6.8+8.0+6.5
Avg total160.0184.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aktobe
National League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game85.687.084.7
Allowed / game78.274.580.7
Point differential+7.4+12.5+4.0
Avg total163.8161.5165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Irbis Almaty440100%94.577.8+16.8
2 Atyrau65183%78.068.8+9.2
3 Aktobe54180%85.678.2+7.4
4 Tobol Kostanay53260%83.476.6+6.8
5 Almaty63350%83.282.5+0.7
6 Astana 263350%71.772.8-1.2
7 Kaspiy Aktau61517%72.884.7-11.8
8 Pavlodar8080%72.687.5-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tobol Kostanay31242026101
Aktobe2419112276
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