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Tofas vs Afyon Belediye Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 145-55
27-15 54-19 35-14 29-7
Position#9
Record7-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game83.5
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
vs
Position#16
Record3-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game92.7
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 15
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Tofas v Afyon Belediye
02 Jan 2022
TOF145
ABE55
24 Jan 2021
TOF83
ABE85
08 Mar 2020
TOF79
ABE71
10 Feb 2019
TOF95
ABE74
14 May 2016
TOF109
ABE67
12 May 2016
TOF105
ABE68
15 Nov 2015
TOF89
ABE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Afyon Belediye winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#16
W
85-75
85
75
+10
84avg 80
H10/11
Champions League
Gaziantep
#4
L
70-89
70
89
-19
58avg 80
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
W
79-77
79
77
+2
70avg 80
A20/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
97-77
97
77
+20
93avg 80
H01/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 80
A04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oostende
#28
W
83-78
83
78
+5
68avg 80
A08/12
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#7
L
69-71
69
71
-2
60avg 80
H12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
72-82
72
82
-10
67avg 80
A19/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
BC Kalev/Cramo
#11
L
70-72
70
72
-2
66avg 80
A21/12
Champions League
Galatasaray
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
72avg 80
H26/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
19-20
17-27
22-13
9-22
27-21
12-23
22-23
16-22
22-21
20-20
21-14
22-23
28-17
21-18
26-19
20-24
22-22
25-15
16-21
10-19
31-13
21-30
21-16
22-17
21-22
9-14
17-18
16-25
19-19
15-20
22-18
15-21
18-20
21-11
16-20
25-23
15-28
24-12
13-25
157.6Avg total
78.5Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.983.5165.4-1.650%
Season at home (7)86.086.0172.0+0.043%
Season away (7)77.981.0158.9-3.157%
Last 10 (10)78.579.1157.6-0.650%
Last 5 (5)74.278.2152.4-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.584.5163.0-6.00%
vs Similar (16)81.883.3165.1-1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.276.7162.9+9.683%
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelediye
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#14
L
79-87
79
87
-8
69avg 69
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
48-68
48
68
-20
40avg 69
A06/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#13
W
91-70
91
70
+21
99avg 69
H13/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#7
L
76-90
76
90
-14
76avg 69
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
L
82-102
82
102
-20
74avg 69
H01/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
51-100
51
100
-49
38avg 69
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
83-140
83
140
-57
62avg 69
H11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#3
L
82-124
82
124
-42
56avg 69
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#6
L
55-108
55
108
-53
28avg 69
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
L
64-115
64
115
-51
50avg 69
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
20-22
17-24
20-16
9-17
14-11
12-22
13-18
20-8
27-19
22-23
22-20
17-28
20-20
22-20
17-22
22-27
16-26
19-27
25-22
11-29
16-25
15-25
9-21
13-46
20-29
14-38
36-27
20-23
22-26
20-37
20-38
12-29
16-29
15-15
12-35
19-35
16-27
6-31
23-22
171.5Avg total
71.1Scored
100.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)70.492.7163.1-22.421%
Season at home (7)73.197.3170.4-24.129%
Season away (7)67.688.1155.7-20.614%
Last 10 (10)71.1100.4171.5-29.310%
Last 5 (5)67.0117.4184.4-50.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)75.390.3165.5-15.032%
vs Similar (5)79.890.2170.0-10.420%
vs Weaker (3)93.799.7193.3-6.033%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -10.2-10.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -10.0-10.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -4.4-4.4
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -10.2-10.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -10.0-10.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -4.4-4.4
TofasAfyon Belediye
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#16
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H10/11
Champions League
Gaziantep
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A20/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H01/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oostende
#28
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A08/12
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#7
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A19/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
BC Kalev/Cramo
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A21/12
Champions League
Galatasaray
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H26/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.8Avg total
40.4Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.283.9+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.542.387.9+3.267%-
Last 30 away (15)39.940.079.9-0.140%-
Last 10 (10)40.441.481.8-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.479.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.547.089.5-4.50%-
vs Similar (16)42.942.985.9+0.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.437.880.2+4.658%-
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
23-28
23
28
-5
A06/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#13
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H13/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H01/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
33-75
33
75
-42
H11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#6
L
28-58
28
58
-30
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
L
35-62
35
62
-27
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.3Avg total
35.2Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.845.185.0-5.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.145.485.5-5.347%-
Last 30 away (15)39.644.984.5-5.313%-
Last 10 (10)35.250.185.3-14.910%-
Last 5 (5)33.059.692.6-26.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.244.482.6-6.236%-
vs Similar (5)43.844.288.0-0.420%-
vs Weaker (3)45.052.097.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.8
50.8%
53.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.5
33.7%
36.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.212.5
77.2%
75.6%12.5
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Afyon Belediye: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.517.4
46.4%
53.2%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.4
30.9%
36.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws13.010.3
79.2%
75.6%10.3
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LLLLWWWWLW
Afyon Belediye
LLLLLLLWLL
#9
League position
#16
-1.3
Net rating
-38.3
107.9
Offensive rating
91.9
109.2
Defensive rating
130.2
50.7%
Effective FG%
46.4%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
61.9%
17.7%
Turnover %
17.7%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
19.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.20
33.7%
3-point %
30.9%
68.9%
Assist %
57.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 91.9Defence109.2 · 130.2Shooting50.7% · 46.4%3-point %33.7% · 30.9%Ball care17.7% · 17.7%Off. rebounds34.8% · 19.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Tofas   ■ Afyon Belediye
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Tofas wins
2
Afyon Belediye wins
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/21HGalatasaray77-88
21/12/21ABC Kalev/Cramo70-72
19/12/21AFenerbahce72-82
12/12/21HKarsiyaka69-71
08/12/21AOostende83-78
04/12/21ABesiktas83-82
01/12/21HMerkezefendi97-77
20/11/21AYalovaspor79-77
14/11/21HGaziantep70-89
10/11/21HStrasbourg85-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/21HDarussafaka64-115
25/12/21HBursaspor55-108
18/12/21AGalatasaray82-124
11/12/21HAnadolu Efes83-140
05/12/21AFenerbahce51-100
01/12/21HBahcesehir Kol.82-102
21/11/21AKarsiyaka76-90
13/11/21HPetkim Spor91-70
06/11/21ABesiktas48-68
24/10/21AMerkezefendi79-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeLLWLL43%
AwayWLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%43%57%
Points / game81.986.077.9
Allowed / game83.586.081.0
Point differential-1.6+0.0-3.1
Avg total165.4172.0158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Afyon Belediye
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeWLLLL29%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %21%29%14%
Points / game70.473.167.6
Allowed / game92.797.388.1
Point differential-22.4-24.1-20.6
Avg total163.1170.4155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1413193%83.970.0+13.9
2 Anadolu Efes1411379%91.881.4+10.4
3 Darussafaka1511473%78.972.3+6.6
4 Galatasaray149564%90.081.4+8.6
5 Karsiyaka149564%77.973.8+4.1
6 Gaziantep149564%80.876.9+3.9
7 Bahcesehir Kol.148657%85.379.6+5.6
8 Besiktas147750%73.173.4-0.3
9 Tofas147750%81.983.5-1.6
10 Bursaspor146843%81.279.8+1.4
11 Turk Telekom145936%70.872.2-1.4
12 Merkezefendi145936%75.982.6-6.7
13 Yalovaspor1441029%74.480.4-6.0
14 Buyukcekmece1331023%78.885.3-6.5
15 Afyon Belediye1431121%70.492.7-22.4
16 Petkim Spor1421214%72.783.4-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas27543529145
Afyon Belediye151914755
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